TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13083280
Played Sep 6Finished
Krzysztof Kapik
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118116114––––
Alan Wos
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:30 and never touched — 63.2% is still 63.2%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Kapik to win
63.2%
63.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKrzysztof Kapik above · Alan Wos below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 51 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Krzysztof Kapik at 63.2%
51 points played in total.
H2H Krzysztof Kapik 7–5 Alan Wos Alan Wos has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:30What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kapik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-5 in 12
Kapik
Correct
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kapik 1661 vs Wos 1529
Kapik
Correct
both rated, 131 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kapik 20% vs Wos 60%
Wos
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kapik 50% vs Wos 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kapik -1 · Wos -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Kapik) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wos form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKapik 1.44 / Wos 2.63
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Kapik)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13083280
Kapik1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 257 of 412
Up 2–0, closes it97% 131 of 135
Up 1–0, closes it79% 177 of 224
Wos2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 95 of 303
Down 0–1, comes back17% 31 of 179
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 98
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKapik6wins
AwayWos4wins
Kapik leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKapik100%4 of 4
AwayWos66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kapik4Wos6n = 10Wos took 6 of 10
S2Kapik4Wos6n = 10Wos took 6 of 10
S3Kapik7Wos3n = 10Kapik took 7 of 10
S4Kapik5Wos2n = 7Kapik took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKapikWosK − WBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.131.8+3.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKapikWosBasisWin rate · lifetime1116 / 2108 vs 264 / 68552.9%38.5%1116 / 2108 vs 264 / 685Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.136.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KapikKapik 1.44/Wos 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.7%
Kapik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kapik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 23 · 14:35K. Kapik—11870A. Wos—1311113
WAug 22 · 14:35K. Kapik—111111113A. Wos—138251
LJul 26 · 15:45K. Kapik—6970A. Wos—1111113
WJul 5 · 16:30K. Kapik—11116113A. Wos—981161
WMay 15 · 01:05K. Kapik—11811113A. Wos—711381
WMay 14 · 22:40K. Kapik—91111113A. Wos—118361
WMay 14 · 20:35K. Kapik—1111113A. Wos—8570
LApr 26 · 10:30K. Kapik—541181A. Wos—11116113
WApr 25 · 20:40K. Kapik—11811113A. Wos—611791
LDec 21 · 01:45K. Kapik—1081161A. Wos—12115113
K. Kapik10
LSep 7 · 24:10K. Kapik2.251261081D. Jadam1.57101112113LSep 6 · 23:20K. Kapik1.9161151172F. Mlynarski1.80119115113LSep 6 · 21:25K. Kapik1.671091181L. Pietraszko2.1012119113WSep 6 · 20:30F. Mlynarski1.8311811382K. Kapik1.83811811113LSep 6 · 19:15K. Kapik2.258911101J. Kuzmicz1.5711115123LSep 6 · 18:05J. Zochniak2.6371111123K. Kapik1.441159101LSep 6 · 16:55L. Pietraszko1.831111123K. Kapik1.8362100WSep 6 · 15:25D. Jadam1.6766100K. Kapik2.101111113LSep 2 · 20:05M. Olbrycht1.83611116113K. Kapik1.8311981182WSep 2 · 19:15J. Chmielowski1.6111411882K. Kapik2.20911811113
A. Wos10
LSep 7 · 24:35A. Wos2.201121111102L. Pietraszko1.61811613123LSep 6 · 23:45D. Jadam1.5011113113A. Wos2.50711161WSep 6 · 22:35A. Wos3.25125117113F. Mlynarski1.33101181162LSep 6 · 20:05A. Wos1.63115111082A. Lilien2.10911712113LSep 6 · 18:30J. Michalczyk2.50411117113A. Wos1.4611681172WSep 6 · 17:45M. Trela2.851110121062A. Wos1.359121012113WSep 6 · 16:55A. Wos1.361111113A. Myszewski2.805640WSep 6 · 15:50A. Wos1.421511113113B. Sulkowski2.6017761162WSep 6 · 24:10A. Wos2.5011116113D. Jadam1.50851191LSep 5 · 23:20A. Wos2.38101115572T. Filbrandt1.531291311113
Upcoming Matches
K. Kapik5 of 9 neutral
Sep 7 · 15:45K. Kapik—K. Glazowski——Sep 7 · 16:55K. Kapik—M. Rutkowski——Sep 7 · 17:40K. Kapik—K. Staszczyk——Sep 7 · 18:30K. Kapik—K. Strowski——Sep 7 · 20:05K. Kapik—K. Kostyk——Sep 7 · 21:25K. Kapik—M. Rutkowski——Sep 7 · 22:10K. Kapik—K. Staszczyk——Sep 7 · 22:55K. Kapik—K. Kostyk——Sep 8 · 24:35K. Kapik—B. Sulkowski——
A. Wos
Nothing scheduled
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