TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13083278
Played Sep 7Finished
Alan Wos
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11821111611131012
Lukasz Pietraszko
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:29 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukasz Pietraszko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAlan Wos above · Lukasz Pietraszko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 95 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Lukasz Pietraszko at 54.0%
95 points played in total.
H2H Alan Wos 1–2 Lukasz Pietraszko Alan Wos has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:29What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Pietraszko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wos 1526 vs Pietraszko 1702
Pietraszko
Correct
both rated, 176 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wos 20% vs Pietraszko 60%
Pietraszko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wos 50% vs Pietraszko 70%
Pietraszko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wos -1 · Pietraszko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Pietraszko) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wos form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWos 2.20 / Pietraszko 1.61
Signal prob.40% / 61%
Edge (Pietraszko)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13083278
Wos2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 95 of 303
Down 0–1, comes back17% 31 of 179
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 98
Pietraszko1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 123 of 191
Up 2–0, closes it92% 58 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it80% 89 of 111
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeWos1wins
AwayPietraszko2wins
3 of 3 to a deciderPietraszko leads 2–1, and 3 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wos1Pietraszko2n = 3Pietraszko took 2 of 3
S2Wos2Pietraszko1n = 3Wos took 2 of 3
S3Wos2Pietraszko1n = 3Wos took 2 of 3
S4Wos1Pietraszko2n = 3Pietraszko took 2 of 3
S5Wos1Pietraszko2n = 3Pietraszko took 2 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away267%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricWosPietraszkoW − PBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match45.047.7−2.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWosPietraszkoBasisWin rate · lifetime265 / 688 vs 431 / 85438.5%50.5%265 / 688 vs 431 / 854Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.238.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PietraszkoWos 2.20/Pietraszko 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Pietraszko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pietraszko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 16 · 17:20A. Wos—71116852L. Pietraszko—1191411113
LJul 5 · 15:45A. Wos—11117952L. Pietraszko—771111113
WJun 28 · 18:30A. Wos—571111113L. Pietraszko—11118732
A. Wos10
LSep 6 · 23:45D. Jadam1.5011113113A. Wos2.50711161WSep 6 · 22:35A. Wos3.25125117113F. Mlynarski1.33101181162LSep 6 · 21:50K. Kapik1.441111113A. Wos2.638640LSep 6 · 20:05A. Wos1.63115111082A. Lilien2.10911712113LSep 6 · 18:30J. Michalczyk2.50411117113A. Wos1.4611681172WSep 6 · 17:45M. Trela2.851110121062A. Wos1.359121012113WSep 6 · 16:55A. Wos1.361111113A. Myszewski2.805640WSep 6 · 15:50A. Wos1.421511113113B. Sulkowski2.6017761162WSep 6 · 24:10A. Wos2.5011116113D. Jadam1.50851191LSep 5 · 23:20A. Wos2.38101115572T. Filbrandt1.531291311113
L. Pietraszko10
LSep 6 · 22:55D. Jadam1.67115811113L. Pietraszko2.1091111792WSep 6 · 22:10F. Mlynarski1.501156101L. Pietraszko2.5071111123WSep 6 · 21:25K. Kapik1.671091181L. Pietraszko2.1012119113LSep 6 · 20:05L. Pietraszko3.401110961J. Kuzmicz1.3091211113WSep 6 · 18:30D. Jadam1.67105120L. Pietraszko2.101211143WSep 6 · 17:40F. Mlynarski1.4491311962L. Pietraszko2.631111511113WSep 6 · 16:55L. Pietraszko1.831111123K. Kapik1.8362100WSep 6 · 15:45L. Pietraszko1.73961111113J. Zochniak2.0011119562LSep 2 · 23:20J. Chmielowski1.67117911153L. Pietraszko2.10811116132WSep 2 · 22:35M. Rutkowski1.449111181L. Pietraszko2.6311137113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.