TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13083192
Played Sep 6Finished
Dawid Jadam
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
10125111214––––
Lukasz Pietraszko
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:21 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDawid Jadam to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDawid Jadam above · Lukasz Pietraszko below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 12-14
Point 64 set 3, 12-14 — our read held Dawid Jadam at 54.0%
64 points played in total.
H2H Dawid Jadam 7–7 Lukasz Pietraszko Dead even across their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:21What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Jadam
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-7 in 14
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jadam 1612 vs Pietraszko 1690
Pietraszko
Correct
both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jadam 20% vs Pietraszko 80%
Pietraszko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jadam 20% vs Pietraszko 60%
Pietraszko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jadam -4 · Pietraszko +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Jadam) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pietraszko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJadam 1.67 / Pietraszko 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Jadam)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13083192
Jadam1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite61% won 64 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it97% 29 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it86% 42 of 49
Pietraszko2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 98 of 261
Down 0–1, comes back19% 28 of 149
Down 0–2, comes back9% 8 of 91
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJadam5wins
AwayPietraszko5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJadam83.3%5 of 6
AwayPietraszko100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jadam6Pietraszko4n = 10Jadam took 6 of 10
S2Jadam5Pietraszko5n = 10split evenly
S3Jadam5Pietraszko5n = 10split evenly
S4Jadam3Pietraszko4n = 7Pietraszko took 4 of 7
S5Jadam2Pietraszko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJadamPietraszkoJ − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.638.5−1.9per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJadamPietraszkoBasisWin rate · lifetime149 / 310 vs 428 / 84948.1%50.4%149 / 310 vs 428 / 849Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadamJadam 1.67/Pietraszko 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Jadam · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Pietraszko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 16 · 23:45D. Jadam—11511113L. Pietraszko—911781
WAug 16 · 16:30D. Jadam—1111113L. Pietraszko—5970
WJul 2 · 24:45D. Jadam—1115113L. Pietraszko—91370
LJul 1 · 22:30D. Jadam—1011561L. Pietraszko—12711113
LJul 1 · 20:30D. Jadam—69111162L. Pietraszko—111167113
LJun 21 · 23:55D. Jadam—11116272L. Pietraszko—871111113
LJun 21 · 21:45D. Jadam—911851L. Pietraszko—11711113
WJun 21 · 18:05D. Jadam—13101111113L. Pietraszko—111213872
WJun 8 · 15:50D. Jadam—114119113L. Pietraszko—51171172
LJun 6 · 24:15D. Jadam—6410L. Pietraszko—1111113
D. Jadam10
WSep 7 · 24:10K. Kapik2.251261081D. Jadam1.57101112113WSep 6 · 23:45D. Jadam1.5011113113A. Wos2.50711161WSep 6 · 22:55D. Jadam1.67115811113L. Pietraszko2.1091111792WSep 6 · 21:00D. Jadam1.911311118113F. Mlynarski1.8015941172WSep 6 · 19:40D. Jadam1.61178912113J. Zochniak2.201511111092LSep 6 · 17:20D. Jadam2.3881141172J. Kuzmicz1.53117118113LSep 6 · 16:05F. Mlynarski1.4411812113D. Jadam2.638111011LSep 6 · 15:25D. Jadam1.6766100K. Kapik2.101111113LSep 6 · 24:10A. Wos2.5011116113D. Jadam1.50851191WSep 5 · 23:45D. Jadam1.911111113P. Jendrzejewski1.805980
L. Pietraszko10
WSep 7 · 24:35A. Wos2.201121111102L. Pietraszko1.61811613123LSep 6 · 22:55D. Jadam1.67115811113L. Pietraszko2.1091111792WSep 6 · 22:10F. Mlynarski1.501156101L. Pietraszko2.5071111123WSep 6 · 21:25K. Kapik1.671091181L. Pietraszko2.1012119113LSep 6 · 20:05L. Pietraszko3.401110961J. Kuzmicz1.3091211113WSep 6 · 17:40F. Mlynarski1.4491311962L. Pietraszko2.631111511113WSep 6 · 16:55L. Pietraszko1.831111123K. Kapik1.8362100WSep 6 · 15:45L. Pietraszko1.73961111113J. Zochniak2.0011119562LSep 2 · 23:20J. Chmielowski1.67117911153L. Pietraszko2.10811116132WSep 2 · 22:35M. Rutkowski1.449111181L. Pietraszko2.6311137113
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