TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13083193
Played Sep 6Finished
Dawid Jadam
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811117411118711
Jakub Kuzmicz
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:22 and never touched — 55.6% is still 55.6%
Graded at full timeJakub Kuzmicz to win
55.6%
55.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDawid Jadam above · Jakub Kuzmicz below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 89 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Jakub Kuzmicz at 55.6%
89 points played in total.
H2H Dawid Jadam 7–7 Jakub Kuzmicz Dead even across their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:22What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Kuzmicz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-7 in 14
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jadam 1605 vs Kuzmicz 1762
Kuzmicz
Correct
both rated, 157 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jadam 20% vs Kuzmicz 40%
Kuzmicz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jadam 30% vs Kuzmicz 70%
Kuzmicz
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jadam -3 · Kuzmicz -1
Jadam
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Kuzmicz) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzmicz form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJadam 2.38 / Kuzmicz 1.53
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Kuzmicz)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13083193
Jadam2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog41% won 82 of 198
Down 0–1, comes back21% 22 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 56
Kuzmicz1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 422 of 683
Up 2–0, closes it98% 173 of 177
Up 1–0, closes it82% 291 of 357
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJadam4wins
AwayKuzmicz6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKuzmicz leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJadam60%3 of 5
AwayKuzmicz80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jadam5Kuzmicz5n = 10split evenly
S2Jadam6Kuzmicz4n = 10Jadam took 6 of 10
S3Jadam5Kuzmicz5n = 10split evenly
S4Jadam4Kuzmicz5n = 9Kuzmicz took 5 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJadamKuzmiczJ − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.136.7−1.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJadamKuzmiczBasisWin rate · lifetime150 / 312 vs 659 / 114248.1%57.7%150 / 312 vs 659 / 1142Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.740.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzmiczJadam 2.38/Kuzmicz 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.6%
Kuzmicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kuzmicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 17:20D. Jadam—81141172J. Kuzmicz—117118113
LSep 5 · 17:20D. Jadam—661171J. Kuzmicz—11118113
WJul 8 · 24:20D. Jadam—11117113J. Kuzmicz—561141
LJul 7 · 22:05D. Jadam—771191J. Kuzmicz—11118113
WJul 2 · 17:20D. Jadam—71111113J. Kuzmicz—119461
LJul 1 · 16:05D. Jadam—911241J. Kuzmicz—11311113
WJun 21 · 15:25D. Jadam—1111133J. Kuzmicz—58110
LJun 20 · 16:30D. Jadam—114117102J. Kuzmicz—411911123
LJun 10 · 24:15D. Jadam—112681J. Kuzmicz—71111113
WJun 9 · 21:50D. Jadam—11111123J. Kuzmicz—4911101
D. Jadam10
WSep 7 · 24:10K. Kapik2.251261081D. Jadam1.57101112113WSep 6 · 23:45D. Jadam1.5011113113A. Wos2.50711161WSep 6 · 22:55D. Jadam1.67115811113L. Pietraszko2.1091111792WSep 6 · 21:00D. Jadam1.911311118113F. Mlynarski1.8015941172WSep 6 · 19:40D. Jadam1.61178912113J. Zochniak2.201511111092LSep 6 · 18:30D. Jadam1.67105120L. Pietraszko2.101211143LSep 6 · 16:05F. Mlynarski1.4411812113D. Jadam2.638111011LSep 6 · 15:25D. Jadam1.6766100K. Kapik2.101111113LSep 6 · 24:10A. Wos2.5011116113D. Jadam1.50851191WSep 5 · 23:45D. Jadam1.911111113P. Jendrzejewski1.805980
J. Kuzmicz10
WSep 6 · 20:05L. Pietraszko3.401110961J. Kuzmicz1.3091211113WSep 6 · 19:15K. Kapik2.258911101J. Kuzmicz1.5711115123LSep 6 · 16:30J. Zochniak2.75139144113J. Kuzmicz1.401111121162WSep 6 · 15:00F. Mlynarski2.38131171172J. Kuzmicz1.53158114113LSep 5 · 19:40J. Kuzmicz1.731013691P. Jendrzejewski2.00121111113LSep 5 · 18:30J. Kuzmicz1.5091171172F. Mlynarski2.50118119113WSep 5 · 17:20J. Kuzmicz1.5711118113D. Jadam2.25661171WSep 5 · 16:05T. Filbrandt2.251111781J. Kuzmicz1.5791311103WSep 5 · 15:25J. Kuzmicz1.22911116113A. Wos4.0011991192WSep 5 · 01:30J. Kuzmicz1.50111188113T. Filbrandt2.5048111192
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