TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13079867
Played Sep 5Finished
Jakub Kuzmicz
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116116811117––
Dawid Jadam
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:58 and never touched — 55.2% is still 55.2%
Graded at full timeJakub Kuzmicz to win
55.2%
55.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Kuzmicz above · Dawid Jadam below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 10-4
Point 67 set 4, 10-4 — our read held Jakub Kuzmicz at 55.2%
67 points drawn · the score is 4 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Jakub Kuzmicz 5–6 Dawid Jadam Jakub Kuzmicz has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:58What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kuzmicz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-6 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzmicz 1800 vs Jadam 1686
Kuzmicz
Correct
both rated, 114 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmicz 100% vs Jadam 60%
Kuzmicz
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmicz 80% vs Jadam 50%
Kuzmicz
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmicz +5 · Jadam +2
Kuzmicz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Kuzmicz) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jadam form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmicz 1.57 / Jadam 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Kuzmicz)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13079867
Kuzmicz1.57
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 419 of 678
Up 2–0, closes it98% 172 of 176
Up 1–0, closes it82% 290 of 356
Jadam2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 79 of 192
Down 0–1, comes back22% 22 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzmicz5wins
AwayJadam5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzmicz66.7%2 of 3
AwayJadam57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzmicz3Jadam7n = 10Jadam took 7 of 10
S2Kuzmicz4Jadam6n = 10Jadam took 6 of 10
S3Kuzmicz4Jadam6n = 10Jadam took 6 of 10
S4Kuzmicz5Jadam3n = 8Kuzmicz took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzmiczJadamK − JBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.036.4+0.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmiczJadamBasisWin rate · lifetime654 / 1134 vs 147 / 30057.7%49%654 / 1134 vs 147 / 300Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.037.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzmiczKuzmicz 1.57/Jadam 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Kuzmicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kuzmicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 7 · 22:05J. Kuzmicz—11118113D. Jadam—771191
LJul 2 · 17:20J. Kuzmicz—119461D. Jadam—71111113
WJul 1 · 16:05J. Kuzmicz—11311113D. Jadam—911241
LJun 21 · 15:25J. Kuzmicz—58110D. Jadam—1111133
WJun 20 · 16:30J. Kuzmicz—411911123D. Jadam—114117102
WJun 10 · 24:15J. Kuzmicz—71111113D. Jadam—112681
LJun 9 · 21:50J. Kuzmicz—4911101D. Jadam—11111123
LJun 9 · 16:20J. Kuzmicz—4911141D. Jadam—11116163
LJun 8 · 23:50J. Kuzmicz—101070D. Jadam—1212113
WJun 8 · 21:30J. Kuzmicz—911711153D. Jadam—113117132
J. Kuzmicz10
WSep 6 · 20:05L. Pietraszko3.401110961J. Kuzmicz1.3091211113WSep 6 · 19:15K. Kapik2.258911101J. Kuzmicz1.5711115123WSep 6 · 17:20D. Jadam2.3881141172J. Kuzmicz1.53117118113LSep 6 · 16:30J. Zochniak2.75139144113J. Kuzmicz1.401111121162WSep 6 · 15:00F. Mlynarski2.38131171172J. Kuzmicz1.53158114113LSep 5 · 19:40J. Kuzmicz1.731013691P. Jendrzejewski2.00121111113LSep 5 · 18:30J. Kuzmicz1.5091171172F. Mlynarski2.50118119113WSep 5 · 16:05T. Filbrandt2.251111781J. Kuzmicz1.5791311103WSep 5 · 15:25J. Kuzmicz1.22911116113A. Wos4.0011991192WSep 5 · 01:30J. Kuzmicz1.50111188113T. Filbrandt2.5048111192
D. Jadam10
WSep 7 · 24:10K. Kapik2.251261081D. Jadam1.57101112113WSep 6 · 23:45D. Jadam1.5011113113A. Wos2.50711161WSep 6 · 22:55D. Jadam1.67115811113L. Pietraszko2.1091111792WSep 6 · 21:00D. Jadam1.911311118113F. Mlynarski1.8015941172WSep 6 · 19:40D. Jadam1.61178912113J. Zochniak2.201511111092LSep 6 · 18:30D. Jadam1.67105120L. Pietraszko2.101211143LSep 6 · 17:20D. Jadam2.3881141172J. Kuzmicz1.53117118113LSep 6 · 16:05F. Mlynarski1.4411812113D. Jadam2.638111011LSep 6 · 15:25D. Jadam1.6766100K. Kapik2.101111113LSep 6 · 24:10A. Wos2.5011116113D. Jadam1.50851191
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