TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13073783
Played Sep 5Finished
Jakub Kuzmicz
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
114118811811119
Tomasz Filbrandt
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:27 and never touched — 62.2% is still 62.2%
Graded at full timeJakub Kuzmicz to win
62.2%
62.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Kuzmicz above · Tomasz Filbrandt below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 92 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Jakub Kuzmicz at 62.2%
92 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Kuzmicz 9–5 Tomasz Filbrandt Tomasz Filbrandt has won 5 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:27What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kuzmicz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-5 in 14
Kuzmicz
Correct
gap of 4 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzmicz 1806 vs Filbrandt 1635
Kuzmicz
Correct
both rated, 171 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmicz 60% vs Filbrandt 40%
Kuzmicz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmicz 80% vs Filbrandt 30%
Kuzmicz
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmicz +2 · Filbrandt -3
Filbrandt
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Kuzmicz) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmicz 1.50 / Filbrandt 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Kuzmicz)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13073783
Kuzmicz1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 421 of 684
Up 2–0, closes it98% 171 of 175
Up 1–0, closes it81% 290 of 357
Filbrandt2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 58 of 178
Down 0–1, comes back18% 20 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzmicz6wins
AwayFilbrandt4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKuzmicz leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzmicz100%5 of 5
AwayFilbrandt80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzmicz5Filbrandt5n = 10split evenly
S2Kuzmicz5Filbrandt5n = 10split evenly
S3Kuzmicz9Filbrandt1n = 10Kuzmicz took 9 of 10
S4Kuzmicz4Filbrandt3n = 7Kuzmicz took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzmiczFilbrandtK − FBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.732.5+4.2per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmiczFilbrandtBasisWin rate · lifetime651 / 1131 vs 677 / 126657.6%53.5%651 / 1131 vs 677 / 1266Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.939.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzmiczKuzmicz 1.50/Filbrandt 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Kuzmicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kuzmicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 14 · 18:50J. Kuzmicz—71111113T. Filbrandt—116491
WAug 14 · 24:35J. Kuzmicz—12411113T. Filbrandt—1011751
WAug 7 · 17:40J. Kuzmicz—1111103T. Filbrandt—4590
LAug 1 · 19:15J. Kuzmicz—1191151T. Filbrandt—13117113
WJul 25 · 23:55J. Kuzmicz—111311113T. Filbrandt—815531
WJul 25 · 21:45J. Kuzmicz—1111113T. Filbrandt—6680
LJul 17 · 21:00J. Kuzmicz—5111091T. Filbrandt—11812113
LJul 16 · 23:35J. Kuzmicz—86111372T. Filbrandt—1111811113
LJul 16 · 21:20J. Kuzmicz—791121T. Filbrandt—11112113
WJul 4 · 16:30J. Kuzmicz—1111113T. Filbrandt—7780
J. Kuzmicz10
WSep 6 · 20:05L. Pietraszko3.401110961J. Kuzmicz1.3091211113WSep 6 · 19:15K. Kapik2.258911101J. Kuzmicz1.5711115123WSep 6 · 17:20D. Jadam2.3881141172J. Kuzmicz1.53117118113LSep 6 · 16:30J. Zochniak2.75139144113J. Kuzmicz1.401111121162WSep 6 · 15:00F. Mlynarski2.38131171172J. Kuzmicz1.53158114113LSep 5 · 19:40J. Kuzmicz1.731013691P. Jendrzejewski2.00121111113LSep 5 · 18:30J. Kuzmicz1.5091171172F. Mlynarski2.50118119113WSep 5 · 17:20J. Kuzmicz1.5711118113D. Jadam2.25661171WSep 5 · 16:05T. Filbrandt2.251111781J. Kuzmicz1.5791311103WSep 5 · 15:25J. Kuzmicz1.22911116113A. Wos4.0011991192
T. Filbrandt10
WSep 5 · 23:20A. Wos2.38101115572T. Filbrandt1.531291311113LSep 5 · 22:35P. Jendrzejewski1.731111113T. Filbrandt2.008980WSep 5 · 22:10T. Filbrandt1.67119124113F. Mlynarski2.10411101172WSep 5 · 21:00D. Jadam2.0091490T. Filbrandt1.731116113WSep 5 · 20:30T. Filbrandt1.5711711113A. Wos2.25711691WSep 5 · 18:50T. Filbrandt1.83121177123P. Jendrzejewski1.831071111102LSep 5 · 17:40T. Filbrandt1.83511761F. Mlynarski1.8311911113LSep 5 · 16:05T. Filbrandt2.251111781J. Kuzmicz1.5791311103LSep 5 · 15:00T. Filbrandt1.7361111952D. Jadam2.00113711113LSep 4 · 23:55M. Kolek2.1011911113T. Filbrandt1.67411791
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