TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13078434
Played Sep 5Finished
Dawid Jadam
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9111416911––––
Tomasz Filbrandt
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:00 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomasz Filbrandt to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDawid Jadam above · Tomasz Filbrandt below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 14-16
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 70 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Tomasz Filbrandt at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Dawid Jadam 3–1 Tomasz Filbrandt Tomasz Filbrandt has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:00What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Filbrandt
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Jadam
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jadam 1669 vs Filbrandt 1612
Jadam
Wrong
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jadam 60% vs Filbrandt 20%
Jadam
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jadam 50% vs Filbrandt 30%
Jadam
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jadam -1 · Filbrandt +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jadam) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Filbrandt form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJadam 2.00 / Filbrandt 1.73
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jadam)+7.7pp
TT Elite Series · #13078434
Jadam2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 79 of 192
Down 0–1, comes back22% 22 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 53
Filbrandt1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 147 of 235
Up 2–0, closes it97% 56 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it79% 98 of 124
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeJadam3wins
AwayFilbrandt1wins
2 of 4 to a deciderJadam leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jadam2Filbrandt2n = 4split evenly
S2Jadam1Filbrandt3n = 4Filbrandt took 3 of 4
S3Jadam3Filbrandt1n = 4Jadam took 3 of 4
S4Jadam2Filbrandt2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home250%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricJadamFilbrandtJ − FBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match43.042.5+0.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJadamFilbrandtBasisWin rate · lifetime148 / 303 vs 678 / 127148.8%53.3%148 / 303 vs 678 / 1271Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.839.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadamJadam 2.00/Filbrandt 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Jadam · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Filbrandt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 5 · 15:00D. Jadam—11371163T. Filbrandt—61111922
WApr 5 · 02:00D. Jadam—111011133T. Filbrandt—6128111
LApr 4 · 23:30D. Jadam—981861T. Filbrandt—111116113
WApr 4 · 21:35D. Jadam—611117133T. Filbrandt—117511112
D. Jadam10
WSep 7 · 24:10K. Kapik2.251261081D. Jadam1.57101112113WSep 6 · 23:45D. Jadam1.5011113113A. Wos2.50711161WSep 6 · 22:55D. Jadam1.67115811113L. Pietraszko2.1091111792WSep 6 · 21:00D. Jadam1.911311118113F. Mlynarski1.8015941172WSep 6 · 19:40D. Jadam1.61178912113J. Zochniak2.201511111092LSep 6 · 18:30D. Jadam1.67105120L. Pietraszko2.101211143LSep 6 · 17:20D. Jadam2.3881141172J. Kuzmicz1.53117118113LSep 6 · 16:05F. Mlynarski1.4411812113D. Jadam2.638111011LSep 6 · 15:25D. Jadam1.6766100K. Kapik2.101111113LSep 6 · 24:10A. Wos2.5011116113D. Jadam1.50851191
T. Filbrandt10
WSep 5 · 23:20A. Wos2.38101115572T. Filbrandt1.531291311113LSep 5 · 22:35P. Jendrzejewski1.731111113T. Filbrandt2.008980WSep 5 · 22:10T. Filbrandt1.67119124113F. Mlynarski2.10411101172WSep 5 · 20:30T. Filbrandt1.5711711113A. Wos2.25711691WSep 5 · 18:50T. Filbrandt1.83121177123P. Jendrzejewski1.831071111102LSep 5 · 17:40T. Filbrandt1.83511761F. Mlynarski1.8311911113LSep 5 · 16:05T. Filbrandt2.251111781J. Kuzmicz1.5791311103LSep 5 · 15:00T. Filbrandt1.7361111952D. Jadam2.00113711113LSep 5 · 01:30J. Kuzmicz1.50111188113T. Filbrandt2.5048111192LSep 4 · 23:55M. Kolek2.1011911113T. Filbrandt1.67411791
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