TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13078435
Played Sep 5Finished
Tomasz Filbrandt
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117711116119––
Alan Wos
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:01 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeTomasz Filbrandt to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomasz Filbrandt above · Alan Wos below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 73 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Tomasz Filbrandt at 62.5%
73 points played in total.
H2H Tomasz Filbrandt 7–3 Alan Wos Alan Wos has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:01What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Filbrandt
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-3 in 10
Filbrandt
Correct
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Filbrandt 1612 vs Wos 1577
Filbrandt
Correct
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Filbrandt 20% vs Wos 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Filbrandt 30% vs Wos 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Filbrandt +1 · Wos -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Filbrandt) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wos form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFilbrandt 1.57 / Wos 2.25
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Filbrandt)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13078435
Filbrandt1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 147 of 235
Up 2–0, closes it97% 56 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it79% 98 of 124
Wos2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog32% won 93 of 294
Down 0–1, comes back18% 31 of 174
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 96
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFilbrandt7wins
AwayWos3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderFilbrandt leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFilbrandt100%4 of 4
AwayWos50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Filbrandt4Wos6n = 10Wos took 6 of 10
S2Filbrandt7Wos3n = 10Filbrandt took 7 of 10
S3Filbrandt8Wos2n = 10Filbrandt took 8 of 10
S4Filbrandt5Wos2n = 7Filbrandt took 5 of 7
S5Filbrandt2Wos2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricFilbrandtWosF − WBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.635.5+5.1per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFilbrandtWosBasisWin rate · lifetime678 / 1271 vs 260 / 67553.3%38.5%678 / 1271 vs 260 / 675Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.236.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FilbrandtFilbrandt 1.57/Wos 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.3%
Filbrandt · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Filbrandt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 26 · 16:55T. Filbrandt—1111113A. Wos—8180
WJul 5 · 18:05T. Filbrandt—911118113A. Wos—11731162
WJul 4 · 19:40T. Filbrandt—61111123A. Wos—1167101
LJun 29 · 24:10T. Filbrandt—510111172A. Wos—111298113
LJun 28 · 21:45T. Filbrandt—3111081A. Wos—11712113
WApr 4 · 16:25T. Filbrandt—1111113A. Wos—9780
WApr 4 · 14:35T. Filbrandt—1111113A. Wos—9780
LJan 24 · 20:30T. Filbrandt—69121182A. Wos—1111106113
WJan 24 · 02:05T. Filbrandt—11811113A. Wos—711661
WJan 23 · 23:40T. Filbrandt—6111111153A. Wos—112138132
T. Filbrandt10
WSep 5 · 23:20A. Wos2.38101115572T. Filbrandt1.531291311113LSep 5 · 22:35P. Jendrzejewski1.731111113T. Filbrandt2.008980WSep 5 · 22:10T. Filbrandt1.67119124113F. Mlynarski2.10411101172WSep 5 · 21:00D. Jadam2.0091490T. Filbrandt1.731116113WSep 5 · 18:50T. Filbrandt1.83121177123P. Jendrzejewski1.831071111102LSep 5 · 17:40T. Filbrandt1.83511761F. Mlynarski1.8311911113LSep 5 · 16:05T. Filbrandt2.251111781J. Kuzmicz1.5791311103LSep 5 · 15:00T. Filbrandt1.7361111952D. Jadam2.00113711113LSep 5 · 01:30J. Kuzmicz1.50111188113T. Filbrandt2.5048111192LSep 4 · 23:55M. Kolek2.1011911113T. Filbrandt1.67411791
A. Wos10
LSep 7 · 24:35A. Wos2.201121111102L. Pietraszko1.61811613123LSep 6 · 23:45D. Jadam1.5011113113A. Wos2.50711161WSep 6 · 22:35A. Wos3.25125117113F. Mlynarski1.33101181162LSep 6 · 21:50K. Kapik1.441111113A. Wos2.638640LSep 6 · 20:05A. Wos1.63115111082A. Lilien2.10911712113LSep 6 · 18:30J. Michalczyk2.50411117113A. Wos1.4611681172WSep 6 · 17:45M. Trela2.851110121062A. Wos1.359121012113WSep 6 · 16:55A. Wos1.361111113A. Myszewski2.805640WSep 6 · 15:50A. Wos1.421511113113B. Sulkowski2.6017761162LSep 5 · 23:20A. Wos2.38101115572T. Filbrandt1.531291311113
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