TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13078438
Played Sep 5Finished
Tomasz Filbrandt
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611113117911511
Dawid Jadam
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomasz Filbrandt to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomasz Filbrandt above · Dawid Jadam below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 2-6
Point 77 set 5, 2-6 — our read held Tomasz Filbrandt at 54.0%
77 points drawn · the score is 8 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Tomasz Filbrandt 1–3 Dawid Jadam Tomasz Filbrandt has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:03What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Filbrandt
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Jadam
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Filbrandt 1623 vs Jadam 1669
Jadam
Correct
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Filbrandt 20% vs Jadam 40%
Jadam
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Filbrandt 30% vs Jadam 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Filbrandt -4 · Jadam -1
Filbrandt
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jadam) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Filbrandt form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFilbrandt 1.73 / Jadam 2.00
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Jadam)+7.7pp
TT Elite Series · #13078438
Filbrandt1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 147 of 235
Up 2–0, closes it97% 56 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it79% 98 of 124
Jadam2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog41% won 79 of 192
Down 0–1, comes back22% 22 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeFilbrandt1wins
AwayJadam3wins
2 of 4 to a deciderJadam leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Filbrandt2Jadam2n = 4split evenly
S2Filbrandt3Jadam1n = 4Filbrandt took 3 of 4
S3Filbrandt1Jadam3n = 4Jadam took 3 of 4
S4Filbrandt2Jadam2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away250%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricFilbrandtJadamF − JBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match42.543.0−0.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFilbrandtJadamBasisWin rate · lifetime678 / 1271 vs 148 / 30353.3%48.8%678 / 1271 vs 148 / 303Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.237.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadamFilbrandt 1.73/Jadam 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Jadam · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Jadam won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 5 · 15:00T. Filbrandt—61111922D. Jadam—11371163
LApr 5 · 02:00T. Filbrandt—6128111D. Jadam—111011133
WApr 4 · 23:30T. Filbrandt—111116113D. Jadam—981861
LApr 4 · 21:35T. Filbrandt—117511112D. Jadam—611117133
T. Filbrandt10
WSep 5 · 23:20A. Wos2.38101115572T. Filbrandt1.531291311113LSep 5 · 22:35P. Jendrzejewski1.731111113T. Filbrandt2.008980WSep 5 · 22:10T. Filbrandt1.67119124113F. Mlynarski2.10411101172WSep 5 · 21:00D. Jadam2.0091490T. Filbrandt1.731116113WSep 5 · 20:30T. Filbrandt1.5711711113A. Wos2.25711691WSep 5 · 18:50T. Filbrandt1.83121177123P. Jendrzejewski1.831071111102LSep 5 · 17:40T. Filbrandt1.83511761F. Mlynarski1.8311911113LSep 5 · 16:05T. Filbrandt2.251111781J. Kuzmicz1.5791311103LSep 5 · 01:30J. Kuzmicz1.50111188113T. Filbrandt2.5048111192LSep 4 · 23:55M. Kolek2.1011911113T. Filbrandt1.67411791
D. Jadam10
WSep 7 · 24:10K. Kapik2.251261081D. Jadam1.57101112113WSep 6 · 23:45D. Jadam1.5011113113A. Wos2.50711161WSep 6 · 22:55D. Jadam1.67115811113L. Pietraszko2.1091111792WSep 6 · 21:00D. Jadam1.911311118113F. Mlynarski1.8015941172WSep 6 · 19:40D. Jadam1.61178912113J. Zochniak2.201511111092LSep 6 · 18:30D. Jadam1.67105120L. Pietraszko2.101211143LSep 6 · 17:20D. Jadam2.3881141172J. Kuzmicz1.53117118113LSep 6 · 16:05F. Mlynarski1.4411812113D. Jadam2.638111011LSep 6 · 15:25D. Jadam1.6766100K. Kapik2.101111113LSep 5 · 21:00D. Jadam2.0091490T. Filbrandt1.731116113
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