TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13083188
Played Sep 6Finished
Dawid Jadam
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119511811117119
Lukasz Pietraszko
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:20 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDawid Jadam to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDawid Jadam above · Lukasz Pietraszko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 93 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Dawid Jadam at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Dawid Jadam 8–8 Lukasz Pietraszko Dead even across their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:20What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Jadam
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-8 in 16
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jadam 1636 vs Pietraszko 1702
Pietraszko
Wrong
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jadam 40% vs Pietraszko 80%
Pietraszko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jadam 30% vs Pietraszko 70%
Pietraszko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jadam +2 · Pietraszko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jadam)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pietraszko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJadam 1.67 / Pietraszko 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jadam)-1.8pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13083188
Jadam1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite61% won 64 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it97% 29 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it86% 42 of 49
Pietraszko2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 98 of 261
Down 0–1, comes back19% 28 of 149
Down 0–2, comes back9% 8 of 91
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJadam5wins
AwayPietraszko5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJadam83.3%5 of 6
AwayPietraszko100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jadam6Pietraszko4n = 10Jadam took 6 of 10
S2Jadam5Pietraszko5n = 10split evenly
S3Jadam4Pietraszko6n = 10Pietraszko took 6 of 10
S4Jadam4Pietraszko3n = 7Jadam took 4 of 7
S5Jadam2Pietraszko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJadamPietraszkoJ − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.239.5−1.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJadamPietraszkoBasisWin rate · lifetime152 / 314 vs 431 / 85448.4%50.5%152 / 314 vs 431 / 854Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadamJadam 1.67/Pietraszko 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Jadam · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Jadam won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 22:55D. Jadam—115811113L. Pietraszko—91111792
LSep 6 · 18:30D. Jadam—105120L. Pietraszko—1211143
WAug 16 · 23:45D. Jadam—11511113L. Pietraszko—911781
WAug 16 · 16:30D. Jadam—1111113L. Pietraszko—5970
WJul 2 · 24:45D. Jadam—1115113L. Pietraszko—91370
LJul 1 · 22:30D. Jadam—1011561L. Pietraszko—12711113
LJul 1 · 20:30D. Jadam—69111162L. Pietraszko—111167113
LJun 21 · 23:55D. Jadam—11116272L. Pietraszko—871111113
LJun 21 · 21:45D. Jadam—911851L. Pietraszko—11711113
WJun 21 · 18:05D. Jadam—13101111113L. Pietraszko—111213872
D. Jadam10
WSep 7 · 24:10K. Kapik2.251261081D. Jadam1.57101112113WSep 6 · 23:45D. Jadam1.5011113113A. Wos2.50711161WSep 6 · 21:00D. Jadam1.911311118113F. Mlynarski1.8015941172WSep 6 · 19:40D. Jadam1.61178912113J. Zochniak2.201511111092LSep 6 · 18:30D. Jadam1.67105120L. Pietraszko2.101211143LSep 6 · 17:20D. Jadam2.3881141172J. Kuzmicz1.53117118113LSep 6 · 16:05F. Mlynarski1.4411812113D. Jadam2.638111011LSep 6 · 15:25D. Jadam1.6766100K. Kapik2.101111113LSep 6 · 24:10A. Wos2.5011116113D. Jadam1.50851191WSep 5 · 23:45D. Jadam1.911111113P. Jendrzejewski1.805980
L. Pietraszko10
WSep 7 · 24:35A. Wos2.201121111102L. Pietraszko1.61811613123WSep 6 · 22:10F. Mlynarski1.501156101L. Pietraszko2.5071111123WSep 6 · 21:25K. Kapik1.671091181L. Pietraszko2.1012119113LSep 6 · 20:05L. Pietraszko3.401110961J. Kuzmicz1.3091211113WSep 6 · 18:30D. Jadam1.67105120L. Pietraszko2.101211143WSep 6 · 17:40F. Mlynarski1.4491311962L. Pietraszko2.631111511113WSep 6 · 16:55L. Pietraszko1.831111123K. Kapik1.8362100WSep 6 · 15:45L. Pietraszko1.73961111113J. Zochniak2.0011119562LSep 2 · 23:20J. Chmielowski1.67117911153L. Pietraszko2.10811116132WSep 2 · 22:35M. Rutkowski1.449111181L. Pietraszko2.6311137113
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