TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13083387
Played Sep 6Finished
Filip Mlynarski
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1175116111012––
Lukasz Pietraszko
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:59 and never touched — 61.1% is still 61.1%
Graded at full timeFilip Mlynarski to win
61.1%
61.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingFilip Mlynarski above · Lukasz Pietraszko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 73 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Filip Mlynarski at 61.1%
73 points played in total.
H2H Filip Mlynarski 20–10 Lukasz Pietraszko Lukasz Pietraszko has won 10 of their 30 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:59What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Mlynarski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-10 in 30
Mlynarski
Wrong
gap of 10 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mlynarski 1676 vs Pietraszko 1700
Pietraszko
Correct
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mlynarski 20% vs Pietraszko 80%
Pietraszko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mlynarski 30% vs Pietraszko 60%
Pietraszko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mlynarski -4 · Pietraszko +1
Mlynarski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Mlynarski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pietraszko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMlynarski 1.50 / Pietraszko 2.50
Signal prob.62% / 39%
Edge (Mlynarski)-1.0pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13083387
Mlynarski1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 139 of 213
Up 2–0, closes it96% 73 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it81% 100 of 123
Pietraszko2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 98 of 261
Down 0–1, comes back19% 28 of 149
Down 0–2, comes back9% 8 of 91
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMlynarski8wins
AwayPietraszko2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMlynarski leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMlynarski100%7 of 7
AwayPietraszko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mlynarski7Pietraszko3n = 10Mlynarski took 7 of 10
S2Mlynarski4Pietraszko6n = 10Pietraszko took 6 of 10
S3Mlynarski5Pietraszko5n = 10split evenly
S4Mlynarski8Pietraszko1n = 9Mlynarski took 8 of 9
S5Mlynarski2Pietraszko1n = 3Mlynarski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMlynarskiPietraszkoM − PBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.637.4+4.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMlynarskiPietraszkoBasisWin rate · lifetime163 / 291 vs 430 / 85256%50.5%163 / 291 vs 430 / 852Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MlynarskiMlynarski 1.50/Pietraszko 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.5%
Mlynarski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pietraszko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 17:40F. Mlynarski—91311962L. Pietraszko—1111511113
WAug 22 · 22:10F. Mlynarski—11912123L. Pietraszko—91110101
WAug 22 · 17:40F. Mlynarski—11811113L. Pietraszko—811961
WAug 16 · 21:00F. Mlynarski—1110811113L. Pietraszko—91211492
WAug 16 · 15:00F. Mlynarski—11118113L. Pietraszko—671191
WAug 2 · 21:45F. Mlynarski—14911113L. Pietraszko—1211881
WAug 2 · 16:55F. Mlynarski—118511113L. Pietraszko—61111462
WJul 19 · 18:50F. Mlynarski—11119113L. Pietraszko—781181
WJul 5 · 23:15F. Mlynarski—41111113L. Pietraszko—113871
LJul 5 · 21:00F. Mlynarski—9570L. Pietraszko—1111113
F. Mlynarski10
WSep 6 · 23:20K. Kapik1.9161151172F. Mlynarski1.80119115113LSep 6 · 22:35A. Wos3.25125117113F. Mlynarski1.33101181162LSep 6 · 21:00D. Jadam1.911311118113F. Mlynarski1.8015941172LSep 6 · 20:30F. Mlynarski1.8311811382K. Kapik1.83811811113LSep 6 · 18:50F. Mlynarski1.40810111192J. Zochniak2.75111254113LSep 6 · 17:40F. Mlynarski1.4491311962L. Pietraszko2.631111511113WSep 6 · 16:05F. Mlynarski1.4411812113D. Jadam2.638111011LSep 6 · 15:00F. Mlynarski2.38131171172J. Kuzmicz1.53158114113LSep 6 · 24:35P. Jendrzejewski2.001111123F. Mlynarski1.7396100WSep 5 · 22:55D. Jadam1.7314630F. Mlynarski2.001611113
L. Pietraszko10
WSep 7 · 24:35A. Wos2.201121111102L. Pietraszko1.61811613123LSep 6 · 22:55D. Jadam1.67115811113L. Pietraszko2.1091111792WSep 6 · 21:25K. Kapik1.671091181L. Pietraszko2.1012119113LSep 6 · 20:05L. Pietraszko3.401110961J. Kuzmicz1.3091211113WSep 6 · 18:30D. Jadam1.67105120L. Pietraszko2.101211143WSep 6 · 17:40F. Mlynarski1.4491311962L. Pietraszko2.631111511113WSep 6 · 16:55L. Pietraszko1.831111123K. Kapik1.8362100WSep 6 · 15:45L. Pietraszko1.73961111113J. Zochniak2.0011119562LSep 2 · 23:20J. Chmielowski1.67117911153L. Pietraszko2.10811116132WSep 2 · 22:35M. Rutkowski1.449111181L. Pietraszko2.6311137113
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