TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13078176
Played Sep 6Finished
Patryk Jendrzejewski
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191161210––––
Filip Mlynarski
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFilip Mlynarski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPatryk Jendrzejewski above · Filip Mlynarski below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 59 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Filip Mlynarski at 54.0%
59 points played in total.
H2H Patryk Jendrzejewski 4–5 Filip Mlynarski Patryk Jendrzejewski has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:08What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Mlynarski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-5 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jendrzejewski 1621 vs Mlynarski 1749
Mlynarski
Wrong
both rated, 128 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jendrzejewski 60% vs Mlynarski 80%
Mlynarski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jendrzejewski 40% vs Mlynarski 70%
Mlynarski
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jendrzejewski -1 · Mlynarski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mlynarski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mlynarski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJendrzejewski 2.00 / Mlynarski 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Mlynarski)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13078176
Jendrzejewski2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 87 of 203
Down 0–1, comes back23% 23 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back11% 7 of 62
Mlynarski1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 136 of 208
Up 2–0, closes it96% 71 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it81% 97 of 120
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeJendrzejewski4wins
AwayMlynarski5wins
2 of 9 to a deciderMlynarski leads 5–4, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJendrzejewski50%3 of 6
AwayMlynarski66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jendrzejewski6Mlynarski3n = 9Jendrzejewski took 6 of 9
S2Jendrzejewski3Mlynarski6n = 9Mlynarski took 6 of 9
S3Jendrzejewski4Mlynarski5n = 9Mlynarski took 5 of 9
S4Jendrzejewski3Mlynarski4n = 7Mlynarski took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricJendrzejewskiMlynarskiJ − MBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set63+3of 9Avg pointsper match36.738.6−1.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJendrzejewskiMlynarskiBasisWin rate · lifetime349 / 711 vs 162 / 28449.1%57%349 / 711 vs 162 / 284Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MlynarskiJendrzejewski 2.00/Mlynarski 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Mlynarski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Jendrzejewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 5 · 15:45P. Jendrzejewski—1112113F. Mlynarski—91060
WAug 30 · 22:35P. Jendrzejewski—12211113F. Mlynarski—1011391
LAug 30 · 17:40P. Jendrzejewski—91011101F. Mlynarski—11128123
LAug 29 · 22:55P. Jendrzejewski—11715562F. Mlynarski—7111311113
LAug 29 · 20:05P. Jendrzejewski—1195101F. Mlynarski—61111123
WAug 16 · 22:10P. Jendrzejewski—11117113F. Mlynarski—571161
LAug 16 · 17:40P. Jendrzejewski—7840F. Mlynarski—1111113
WAug 16 · 24:35P. Jendrzejewski—211711123F. Mlynarski—117117102
LAug 15 · 16:55P. Jendrzejewski—1211881F. Mlynarski—101311113
P. Jendrzejewski10
LSep 5 · 23:45D. Jadam1.911111113P. Jendrzejewski1.805980WSep 5 · 22:35P. Jendrzejewski1.731111113T. Filbrandt2.008980WSep 5 · 21:50A. Wos2.759870P. Jendrzejewski1.401111113WSep 5 · 19:40J. Kuzmicz1.731013691P. Jendrzejewski2.00121111113LSep 5 · 18:50T. Filbrandt1.83121177123P. Jendrzejewski1.831071111102LSep 5 · 18:05P. Jendrzejewski1.4091361152A. Wos2.751111116113LSep 5 · 16:30P. Jendrzejewski1.739850D. Jadam2.001111113WSep 5 · 15:45F. Mlynarski1.8391060P. Jendrzejewski1.831112113LSep 5 · 24:20M. Rutkowski1.801413113P. Jendrzejewski1.91121150LSep 4 · 23:35J. Kuzmicz1.679111211113P. Jendrzejewski2.10118101382
F. Mlynarski10
WSep 6 · 23:20K. Kapik1.9161151172F. Mlynarski1.80119115113LSep 6 · 22:35A. Wos3.25125117113F. Mlynarski1.33101181162LSep 6 · 22:10F. Mlynarski1.501156101L. Pietraszko2.5071111123LSep 6 · 21:00D. Jadam1.911311118113F. Mlynarski1.8015941172LSep 6 · 20:30F. Mlynarski1.8311811382K. Kapik1.83811811113LSep 6 · 18:50F. Mlynarski1.40810111192J. Zochniak2.75111254113LSep 6 · 17:40F. Mlynarski1.4491311962L. Pietraszko2.631111511113WSep 6 · 16:05F. Mlynarski1.4411812113D. Jadam2.638111011LSep 6 · 15:00F. Mlynarski2.38131171172J. Kuzmicz1.53158114113LSep 5 · 15:45F. Mlynarski1.8391060P. Jendrzejewski1.831112113
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