TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13078184
Played Sep 5Finished
Filip Mlynarski
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9111012611––––
Patryk Jendrzejewski
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFilip Mlynarski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingFilip Mlynarski above · Patryk Jendrzejewski below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 59 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Filip Mlynarski at 54.0%
59 points played in total.
H2H Filip Mlynarski 5–4 Patryk Jendrzejewski Patryk Jendrzejewski has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:09What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Jendrzejewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mlynarski 1731 vs Jendrzejewski 1592
Mlynarski
Wrong
both rated, 139 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mlynarski 60% vs Jendrzejewski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mlynarski 50% vs Jendrzejewski 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mlynarski +1 · Jendrzejewski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mlynarski)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMlynarski 1.83 / Jendrzejewski 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Mlynarski)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13078184
Mlynarski1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Jendrzejewski1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeMlynarski5wins
AwayJendrzejewski4wins
2 of 9 to a deciderMlynarski leads 5–4, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMlynarski66.7%2 of 3
AwayJendrzejewski50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mlynarski3Jendrzejewski6n = 9Jendrzejewski took 6 of 9
S2Mlynarski6Jendrzejewski3n = 9Mlynarski took 6 of 9
S3Mlynarski5Jendrzejewski4n = 9Mlynarski took 5 of 9
S4Mlynarski4Jendrzejewski3n = 7Mlynarski took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home333%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricMlynarskiJendrzejewskiM − JBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match38.636.7+1.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMlynarskiJendrzejewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime160 / 281 vs 347 / 70856.9%49%160 / 281 vs 347 / 708Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MlynarskiMlynarski 1.83/Jendrzejewski 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Mlynarski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jendrzejewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 5 · 15:45F. Mlynarski—91060P. Jendrzejewski—1112113
LAug 30 · 22:35F. Mlynarski—1011391P. Jendrzejewski—12211113
WAug 30 · 17:40F. Mlynarski—11128123P. Jendrzejewski—91011101
WAug 29 · 22:55F. Mlynarski—7111311113P. Jendrzejewski—11715562
WAug 29 · 20:05F. Mlynarski—61111123P. Jendrzejewski—1195101
LAug 16 · 22:10F. Mlynarski—571161P. Jendrzejewski—11117113
WAug 16 · 17:40F. Mlynarski—1111113P. Jendrzejewski—7840
LAug 16 · 24:35F. Mlynarski—117117102P. Jendrzejewski—211711123
WAug 15 · 16:55F. Mlynarski—101311113P. Jendrzejewski—1211881
F. Mlynarski10
WSep 6 · 23:20K. Kapik1.9161151172F. Mlynarski1.80119115113LSep 6 · 22:35A. Wos3.25125117113F. Mlynarski1.33101181162LSep 6 · 22:10F. Mlynarski1.501156101L. Pietraszko2.5071111123LSep 6 · 21:00D. Jadam1.911311118113F. Mlynarski1.8015941172LSep 6 · 20:30F. Mlynarski1.8311811382K. Kapik1.83811811113LSep 6 · 18:50F. Mlynarski1.40810111192J. Zochniak2.75111254113LSep 6 · 17:40F. Mlynarski1.4491311962L. Pietraszko2.631111511113WSep 6 · 16:05F. Mlynarski1.4411812113D. Jadam2.638111011LSep 6 · 15:00F. Mlynarski2.38131171172J. Kuzmicz1.53158114113LSep 6 · 24:35P. Jendrzejewski2.001111123F. Mlynarski1.7396100
P. Jendrzejewski10
WSep 6 · 24:35P. Jendrzejewski2.001111123F. Mlynarski1.7396100LSep 5 · 23:45D. Jadam1.911111113P. Jendrzejewski1.805980WSep 5 · 22:35P. Jendrzejewski1.731111113T. Filbrandt2.008980WSep 5 · 21:50A. Wos2.759870P. Jendrzejewski1.401111113WSep 5 · 19:40J. Kuzmicz1.731013691P. Jendrzejewski2.00121111113LSep 5 · 18:50T. Filbrandt1.83121177123P. Jendrzejewski1.831071111102LSep 5 · 18:05P. Jendrzejewski1.4091361152A. Wos2.751111116113LSep 5 · 16:30P. Jendrzejewski1.739850D. Jadam2.001111113LSep 5 · 24:20M. Rutkowski1.801413113P. Jendrzejewski1.91121150LSep 4 · 23:35J. Kuzmicz1.679111211113P. Jendrzejewski2.10118101382
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