TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13078180
Played Sep 5Finished
Jakub Kuzmicz
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10121311611911––
Patryk Jendrzejewski
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Kuzmicz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJakub Kuzmicz above · Patryk Jendrzejewski below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 83 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Jakub Kuzmicz at 54.0%
83 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Kuzmicz 19–15 Patryk Jendrzejewski Patryk Jendrzejewski has won 15 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:09What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kuzmicz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-15 in 34
Kuzmicz
Wrong
gap of 4 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzmicz 1779 vs Jendrzejewski 1557
Kuzmicz
Wrong
both rated, 222 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmicz 80% vs Jendrzejewski 20%
Kuzmicz
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmicz 70% vs Jendrzejewski 40%
Kuzmicz
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmicz -1 · Jendrzejewski -3
Jendrzejewski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kuzmicz) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jendrzejewski form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmicz 1.73 / Jendrzejewski 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Kuzmicz)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13078180
Kuzmicz1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 419 of 678
Up 2–0, closes it98% 172 of 176
Up 1–0, closes it82% 290 of 356
Jendrzejewski2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 87 of 203
Down 0–1, comes back23% 23 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back11% 7 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzmicz6wins
AwayJendrzejewski4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKuzmicz leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzmicz25%1 of 4
AwayJendrzejewski16.7%1 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzmicz4Jendrzejewski6n = 10Jendrzejewski took 6 of 10
S2Kuzmicz5Jendrzejewski5n = 10split evenly
S3Kuzmicz5Jendrzejewski5n = 10split evenly
S4Kuzmicz5Jendrzejewski4n = 9Kuzmicz took 5 of 9
S5Kuzmicz4Jendrzejewski1n = 5Kuzmicz took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzmiczJendrzejewskiK − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.442.7−1.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmiczJendrzejewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime655 / 1136 vs 346 / 70757.7%48.9%655 / 1136 vs 346 / 707Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.038.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzmiczKuzmicz 1.73/Jendrzejewski 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.9%
Kuzmicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jendrzejewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 23 · 21:20J. Kuzmicz—1111123P. Jendrzejewski—89100
WJul 22 · 18:50J. Kuzmicz—791211133P. Jendrzejewski—1111106112
LJul 17 · 01:10J. Kuzmicz—118891P. Jendrzejewski—91111113
WJul 16 · 22:50J. Kuzmicz—661112113P. Jendrzejewski—111191082
LJul 15 · 15:00J. Kuzmicz—114661P. Jendrzejewski—81111113
WJul 10 · 16:05J. Kuzmicz—51111123P. Jendrzejewski—1169101
WJul 9 · 18:05J. Kuzmicz—911147113P. Jendrzejewski—117121182
LJul 2 · 18:05J. Kuzmicz—611811102P. Jendrzejewski—117117123
LJun 17 · 23:15J. Kuzmicz—137961P. Jendrzejewski—111111113
WJun 17 · 21:00J. Kuzmicz—812511113P. Jendrzejewski—111011462
J. Kuzmicz10
WSep 6 · 20:05L. Pietraszko3.401110961J. Kuzmicz1.3091211113WSep 6 · 19:15K. Kapik2.258911101J. Kuzmicz1.5711115123WSep 6 · 17:20D. Jadam2.3881141172J. Kuzmicz1.53117118113LSep 6 · 16:30J. Zochniak2.75139144113J. Kuzmicz1.401111121162WSep 6 · 15:00F. Mlynarski2.38131171172J. Kuzmicz1.53158114113LSep 5 · 18:30J. Kuzmicz1.5091171172F. Mlynarski2.50118119113WSep 5 · 17:20J. Kuzmicz1.5711118113D. Jadam2.25661171WSep 5 · 16:05T. Filbrandt2.251111781J. Kuzmicz1.5791311103WSep 5 · 15:25J. Kuzmicz1.22911116113A. Wos4.0011991192WSep 5 · 01:30J. Kuzmicz1.50111188113T. Filbrandt2.5048111192
P. Jendrzejewski10
WSep 6 · 24:35P. Jendrzejewski2.001111123F. Mlynarski1.7396100LSep 5 · 23:45D. Jadam1.911111113P. Jendrzejewski1.805980WSep 5 · 22:35P. Jendrzejewski1.731111113T. Filbrandt2.008980WSep 5 · 21:50A. Wos2.759870P. Jendrzejewski1.401111113LSep 5 · 18:50T. Filbrandt1.83121177123P. Jendrzejewski1.831071111102LSep 5 · 18:05P. Jendrzejewski1.4091361152A. Wos2.751111116113LSep 5 · 16:30P. Jendrzejewski1.739850D. Jadam2.001111113WSep 5 · 15:45F. Mlynarski1.8391060P. Jendrzejewski1.831112113LSep 5 · 24:20M. Rutkowski1.801413113P. Jendrzejewski1.91121150LSep 4 · 23:35J. Kuzmicz1.679111211113P. Jendrzejewski2.10118101382
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