TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13079866
Played Sep 5Finished
Jakub Kuzmicz
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911118711119711
Filip Mlynarski
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:58 and never touched — 62.1% is still 62.1%
Graded at full timeJakub Kuzmicz to win
62.1%
62.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJakub Kuzmicz above · Filip Mlynarski below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 95 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Jakub Kuzmicz at 62.1%
95 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Kuzmicz 5–2 Filip Mlynarski Filip Mlynarski has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:58What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kuzmicz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Kuzmicz
Wrong
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzmicz 1809 vs Mlynarski 1690
Kuzmicz
Wrong
both rated, 119 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmicz 100% vs Mlynarski 60%
Kuzmicz
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmicz 80% vs Mlynarski 60%
Kuzmicz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmicz +5 · Mlynarski +2
Kuzmicz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Kuzmicz) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mlynarski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmicz 1.50 / Mlynarski 2.50
Signal prob.67% / 34%
Edge (Kuzmicz)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13079866
Kuzmicz1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 419 of 678
Up 2–0, closes it98% 172 of 176
Up 1–0, closes it82% 290 of 356
Mlynarski2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog28% won 18 of 65
Down 0–1, comes back19% 8 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKuzmicz5wins
AwayMlynarski2wins
Kuzmicz leads 5–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzmicz71.4%5 of 7
AwayMlynarskin = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzmicz7Mlynarski0n = 7Kuzmicz took 7 of 7
S2Kuzmicz5Mlynarski2n = 7Kuzmicz took 5 of 7
S3Kuzmicz5Mlynarski2n = 7Kuzmicz took 5 of 7
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home571%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricKuzmiczMlynarskiK − MBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set70+7of 7Avg pointsper match34.327.4+6.9per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmiczMlynarskiBasisWin rate · lifetime655 / 1135 vs 158 / 27957.7%56.6%655 / 1135 vs 158 / 279Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.038.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzmiczKuzmicz 1.50/Mlynarski 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.5%
Kuzmicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Mlynarski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LJul 25 · 23:15J. Kuzmicz—125751F. Mlynarski—101111113
LJul 25 · 21:00J. Kuzmicz—1197131F. Mlynarski—31111153
WJul 25 · 20:05J. Kuzmicz—1211143F. Mlynarski—104120
WJul 19 · 20:30J. Kuzmicz—1111113F. Mlynarski—8770
WJul 18 · 18:30J. Kuzmicz—1112113F. Mlynarski—51050
WJul 4 · 20:05J. Kuzmicz—1111123F. Mlynarski—76100
WJun 28 · 15:00J. Kuzmicz—1111113F. Mlynarski—8460
J. Kuzmicz10
WSep 6 · 20:05L. Pietraszko3.401110961J. Kuzmicz1.3091211113WSep 6 · 19:15K. Kapik2.258911101J. Kuzmicz1.5711115123WSep 6 · 17:20D. Jadam2.3881141172J. Kuzmicz1.53117118113LSep 6 · 16:30J. Zochniak2.75139144113J. Kuzmicz1.401111121162WSep 6 · 15:00F. Mlynarski2.38131171172J. Kuzmicz1.53158114113LSep 5 · 19:40J. Kuzmicz1.731013691P. Jendrzejewski2.00121111113WSep 5 · 17:20J. Kuzmicz1.5711118113D. Jadam2.25661171WSep 5 · 16:05T. Filbrandt2.251111781J. Kuzmicz1.5791311103WSep 5 · 15:25J. Kuzmicz1.22911116113A. Wos4.0011991192WSep 5 · 01:30J. Kuzmicz1.50111188113T. Filbrandt2.5048111192
F. Mlynarski10
WSep 6 · 23:20K. Kapik1.9161151172F. Mlynarski1.80119115113LSep 6 · 22:35A. Wos3.25125117113F. Mlynarski1.33101181162LSep 6 · 22:10F. Mlynarski1.501156101L. Pietraszko2.5071111123LSep 6 · 21:00D. Jadam1.911311118113F. Mlynarski1.8015941172LSep 6 · 20:30F. Mlynarski1.8311811382K. Kapik1.83811811113LSep 6 · 18:50F. Mlynarski1.40810111192J. Zochniak2.75111254113LSep 6 · 17:40F. Mlynarski1.4491311962L. Pietraszko2.631111511113WSep 6 · 16:05F. Mlynarski1.4411812113D. Jadam2.638111011LSep 6 · 15:00F. Mlynarski2.38131171172J. Kuzmicz1.53158114113LSep 6 · 24:35P. Jendrzejewski2.001111123F. Mlynarski1.7396100
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