TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13096067
Played Sep 8Finished
Jakub Kuzmicz
Home
1.90
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119711117711911
Artur Daniel
Away
1.76
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:00 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeArtur Daniel to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
94 points played in total.
Set by set
119711117711911
H2H Jakub Kuzmicz 7–13 Artur Daniel Jakub Kuzmicz has won 7 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:00What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.76 (52%)
Daniel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-13 in 20
Daniel
Correct
gap of 6 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzmicz 1775 vs Daniel 1766
Kuzmicz
Wrong
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmicz 80% vs Daniel 40%
Kuzmicz
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmicz 70% vs Daniel 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmicz +4 · Daniel -1
Kuzmicz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Daniel)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Daniel form (40%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmicz 1.90 / Daniel 1.76
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Daniel)+2.1pp
TT Elite Series · #13096067
Kuzmicz1.90
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog51% won 131 of 259
Down 0–1, comes back29% 35 of 123
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 48
Daniel1.76
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 206 of 342
Up 2–0, closes it94% 104 of 111
Up 1–0, closes it76% 158 of 208
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzmicz3wins
AwayDaniel7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDaniel leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzmicz60%3 of 5
AwayDaniel100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzmicz5Daniel5n = 10split evenly
S2Kuzmicz2Daniel8n = 10Daniel took 8 of 10
S3Kuzmicz2Daniel8n = 10Daniel took 8 of 10
S4Kuzmicz3Daniel2n = 5Kuzmicz took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzmiczDanielK − DBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match30.937.1−6.2per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmiczDanielBasisWin rate · lifetime660 / 1143 vs 774 / 145657.7%53.2%660 / 1143 vs 774 / 1456Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.037.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DanielKuzmicz 1.90/Daniel 1.76
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Daniel · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Daniel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 14:35J. Kuzmicz—128491A. Daniel—101111113
WAug 13 · 10:05J. Kuzmicz—1111113A. Daniel—6890
LAug 12 · 20:05J. Kuzmicz—7121141A. Daniel—111013113
LAug 4 · 20:30J. Kuzmicz—101070A. Daniel—1212113
WJul 15 · 16:30J. Kuzmicz—11911113A. Daniel—911441
LJul 1 · 18:30J. Kuzmicz—12391122A. Daniel—1011118113
LJun 19 · 18:30J. Kuzmicz—5470A. Daniel—1111113
LJun 18 · 18:05J. Kuzmicz—8550A. Daniel—1111113
LJun 3 · 17:25J. Kuzmicz—5940A. Daniel—1111113
WMay 29 · 14:45J. Kuzmicz—1171111113A. Daniel—81113782
J. Kuzmicz10
WSep 9 · 13:00A. Daniel1.83112661J. Kuzmicz1.8661111113WSep 9 · 12:10J. Kuzmicz1.88971113113M. Benes1.82111191152LSep 9 · 10:30J. Kuzmicz1.571291081K. Wisniewski2.16101112113LSep 9 · 09:45J. Braun1.54128611113J. Kuzmicz2.25101111792WSep 8 · 14:15J. Kuzmicz1.571111113K. Wisniewski2.157650WSep 8 · 12:35G. Poliniewicz2.197611111J. Kuzmicz1.5511116133LSep 8 · 11:45K. Glazowski1.8311119113J. Kuzmicz1.83881181WSep 8 · 09:45J. Kuzmicz1.9591111113M. Sklensky1.74116741WSep 6 · 20:05L. Pietraszko3.401110961J. Kuzmicz1.3091211113WSep 6 · 19:15K. Kapik2.258911101J. Kuzmicz1.5711115123
A. Daniel10
LSep 9 · 13:00A. Daniel1.83112661J. Kuzmicz1.8661111113WSep 9 · 11:45A. Daniel2.2561211123J. Braun1.5411105101LSep 9 · 10:05A. Daniel2.608870T. Spanik1.441111113WSep 9 · 09:00A. Daniel1.5311116113K. Wisniewski2.23261161WSep 8 · 19:40A. Daniel1.61116136113K. Glazowski2.20911111192LSep 8 · 18:30A. Daniel1.33851171L. Pietraszko3.2511117113LSep 8 · 17:20A. Daniel1.611198121M. Rutkowski2.2081111143WSep 8 · 16:05K. Kostyk2.75881161A. Daniel1.4011117113WSep 8 · 15:25A. Daniel1.611181111113K. Kapik2.2013119452LSep 8 · 14:35K. Glazowski1.86101111113A. Daniel1.80128581
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