TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13097819
Played Sep 8Finished
Artur Daniel
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811511117711––
Lukasz Pietraszko
Away
3.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:52 and never touched — 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeArtur Daniel to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingArtur Daniel above · Lukasz Pietraszko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 71 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Artur Daniel at 62.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H Artur Daniel 4–1 Lukasz Pietraszko Lukasz Pietraszko has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:52What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Daniel
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Daniel
Wrong
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Daniel 1759 vs Pietraszko 1715
Daniel
Wrong
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Daniel 60% vs Pietraszko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Daniel 50% vs Pietraszko 70%
Pietraszko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Daniel -1 · Pietraszko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Daniel) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pietraszko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDaniel 1.33 / Pietraszko 3.25
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Daniel)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13097819
Daniel1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 206 of 342
Up 2–0, closes it94% 104 of 111
Up 1–0, closes it76% 158 of 208
Pietraszko3.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 102 of 267
Down 0–1, comes back19% 29 of 151
Down 0–2, comes back9% 8 of 91
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeDaniel4wins
AwayPietraszko1wins
Daniel leads 4–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDaniel100%3 of 3
AwayPietraszkon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Daniel3Pietraszko2n = 5Daniel took 3 of 5
S2Daniel4Pietraszko1n = 5Daniel took 4 of 5
S3Daniel4Pietraszko1n = 5Daniel took 4 of 5
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home360%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricDanielPietraszkoD − PBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match35.428.6+6.8per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDanielPietraszkoBasisWin rate · lifetime778 / 1463 vs 426 / 84853.2%50.2%778 / 1463 vs 426 / 848Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DanielDaniel 1.33/Pietraszko 3.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.3%
Daniel · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pietraszko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 12 · 15:00A. Daniel—1113113L. Pietraszko—81180
WJul 15 · 18:05A. Daniel—1111113L. Pietraszko—7580
LJul 1 · 16:55A. Daniel—14970L. Pietraszko—1611113
WJun 24 · 18:05A. Daniel—1411113L. Pietraszko—12590
WApr 22 · 08:20A. Daniel—101111113L. Pietraszko—125781
A. Daniel10
WSep 8 · 19:40A. Daniel1.61116136113K. Glazowski2.20911111192LSep 8 · 17:20A. Daniel1.611198121M. Rutkowski2.2081111143WSep 8 · 16:05K. Kostyk2.75881161A. Daniel1.4011117113WSep 8 · 15:25A. Daniel1.611181111113K. Kapik2.2013119452LSep 8 · 14:35K. Glazowski1.86101111113A. Daniel1.80128581WSep 8 · 13:25A. Daniel1.5441111113K. Wisniewski2.22116761LSep 8 · 12:10M. Sklensky1.811211113A. Daniel1.8310970WSep 8 · 10:55J. Kuzmicz1.9011711792A. Daniel1.76911711113LSep 8 · 09:20G. Poliniewicz2.101151211113A. Daniel1.6041114842WSep 4 · 21:00A. Daniel2.10581211113K. Kolodziej1.67111110592
L. Pietraszko10
WSep 8 · 17:40K. Kostyk2.2081313852L. Pietraszko1.6111111111113WSep 8 · 16:55L. Pietraszko2.10631111113K. Kapik1.6711116982LSep 8 · 15:45L. Pietraszko3.0021140K. Glazowski1.361113113WSep 7 · 24:35A. Wos2.201121111102L. Pietraszko1.61811613123LSep 6 · 22:55D. Jadam1.67115811113L. Pietraszko2.1091111792WSep 6 · 22:10F. Mlynarski1.501156101L. Pietraszko2.5071111123WSep 6 · 21:25K. Kapik1.671091181L. Pietraszko2.1012119113LSep 6 · 20:05L. Pietraszko3.401110961J. Kuzmicz1.3091211113WSep 6 · 18:30D. Jadam1.67105120L. Pietraszko2.101211143WSep 6 · 17:40F. Mlynarski1.4491311962L. Pietraszko2.631111511113
Upcoming Matches
A. Daniel6 of 10 neutral
Sep 9 · 09:00A. Daniel—K. Wisniewski——Sep 9 · 10:05A. Daniel—T. Spanik——Sep 9 · 11:45A. Daniel—J. Braun——Sep 9 · 13:00A. Daniel—J. Kuzmicz——Sep 9 · 14:35A. Daniel—M. Benes——Sep 9 · 15:25A. Daniel—J. Krawczyk——Sep 9 · 16:05A. Daniel—J. Chmielowski——Sep 9 · 17:20A. Daniel—J. Braun——Sep 9 · 18:30A. Daniel—M. Olbrycht——Sep 9 · 19:40A. Daniel—M. Benes——
L. Pietraszko
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