TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13072246
Played Sep 4Finished
Artur Daniel
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
5118111210115119
Krystian Kolodziej
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:48 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKrystian Kolodziej to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingArtur Daniel above · Krystian Kolodziej below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 93 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Krystian Kolodziej at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Artur Daniel 36–37 Krystian Kolodziej Artur Daniel has won 36 of their 73 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:48What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kolodziej
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
36-37 in 73
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Daniel 1765 vs Kolodziej 1906
Kolodziej
Wrong
both rated, 141 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Daniel 60% vs Kolodziej 100%
Kolodziej
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Daniel 50% vs Kolodziej 90%
Kolodziej
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Daniel -2 · Kolodziej +5
Kolodziej
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kolodziej) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolodziej form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDaniel 2.10 / Kolodziej 1.67
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Kolodziej)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13072246
Daniel2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog34% won 80 of 233
Down 0–1, comes back20% 27 of 134
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 65
Kolodziej1.67
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite76% won 518 of 682
Up 2–0, closes it98% 321 of 328
Up 1–0, closes it88% 423 of 483
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDaniel5wins
AwayKolodziej5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDaniel50%3 of 6
AwayKolodziej50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Daniel6Kolodziej4n = 10Daniel took 6 of 10
S2Daniel4Kolodziej6n = 10Kolodziej took 6 of 10
S3Daniel3Kolodziej7n = 10Kolodziej took 7 of 10
S4Daniel4Kolodziej6n = 10Kolodziej took 6 of 10
S5Daniel3Kolodziej0n = 3Daniel took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDanielKolodziejD − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.340.2−0.9per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDanielKolodziejBasisWin rate · lifetime780 / 1464 vs 1330 / 197153.3%67.5%780 / 1464 vs 1330 / 1971Avg sets wonper match2.12.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolodziejDaniel 2.10/Kolodziej 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.6%
Kolodziej · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Daniel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 12 · 09:45A. Daniel—118991K. Kolodziej—71111113
WAug 4 · 12:35A. Daniel—119211113K. Kolodziej—91111672
LJul 31 · 20:05A. Daniel—115781K. Kolodziej—91111113
WJul 31 · 11:45A. Daniel—121011113K. Kolodziej—1012991
LJul 12 · 09:40A. Daniel—1198101K. Kolodziej—71111123
LJul 2 · 10:00A. Daniel—411591K. Kolodziej—11511113
LJul 1 · 15:45A. Daniel—311881K. Kolodziej—11511113
WJun 24 · 15:45A. Daniel—1181211113K. Kolodziej—91114862
WJun 19 · 17:20A. Daniel—711117113K. Kolodziej—11641182
WJun 10 · 20:10A. Daniel—71111113K. Kolodziej—114971
A. Daniel10
LSep 4 · 19:40A. Daniel1.3311114992T. Filbrandt3.25651111113LSep 4 · 18:30A. Daniel1.30123561M. Kolek3.40101111113WSep 4 · 17:20P. Jendrzejewski2.0071141182A. Daniel1.73119119113WSep 4 · 16:30A. Daniel1.501271113113M. Rutkowski2.50141141192WSep 4 · 14:35A. Daniel3.0011611113S. Dosz1.33411681WSep 4 · 13:00A. Daniel1.3511711113G. Poliniewicz2.85611591WSep 4 · 11:45A. Daniel1.80711911113K. Wloczko1.9011911682LSep 4 · 10:05A. Daniel1.3711911982J. Zochniak2.75611911113LSep 4 · 09:00A. Daniel1.42114711112K. Wisniewski2.60311119133LSep 3 · 19:40J. Braun1.731311113A. Daniel2.0011750
K. Kolodziej10
WSep 4 · 20:05P. Jendrzejewski2.63471291K. Kolodziej1.44111110113WSep 4 · 19:15K. Kolodziej1.361311113M. Rutkowski3.0011610WSep 4 · 17:40K. Kolodziej1.1451111113M. Kolek5.00113921WSep 4 · 16:55T. Filbrandt2.63116110K. Kolodziej1.441311133WSep 4 · 15:45A. Grela1.61116100K. Kolodziej2.201311123WSep 4 · 14:35K. Kolodziej2.751181011113A. Dosz1.4061112752WSep 4 · 13:20M. Jadczyk1.44591191K. Kolodziej2.6311118113LSep 4 · 12:05D. Michna1.671111113K. Kolodziej2.109480WSep 4 · 10:25A. Wiecek1.331171121K. Kolodziej3.2513119113WSep 3 · 14:10A. Wiecek1.339980K. Kolodziej3.251111113
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