TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13076456
Played Sep 4Finished
Patryk Jendrzejewski
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
4117111210911––
Krystian Kolodziej
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:48 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeKrystian Kolodziej to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPatryk Jendrzejewski above · Krystian Kolodziej below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 75 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Krystian Kolodziej at 54.3%
75 points played in total.
H2H Patryk Jendrzejewski 15–46 Krystian Kolodziej Patryk Jendrzejewski has won 15 of their 61 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:48What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kolodziej
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-46 in 61
Kolodziej
Correct
gap of 31 in 61, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jendrzejewski 1629 vs Kolodziej 1897
Kolodziej
Correct
both rated, 268 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jendrzejewski 20% vs Kolodziej 100%
Kolodziej
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jendrzejewski 40% vs Kolodziej 80%
Kolodziej
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jendrzejewski -3 · Kolodziej +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Kolodziej) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolodziej form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJendrzejewski 2.63 / Kolodziej 1.44
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Kolodziej)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13076456
Jendrzejewski2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 87 of 199
Down 0–1, comes back23% 23 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back12% 7 of 60
Kolodziej1.44
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite76% won 518 of 682
Up 2–0, closes it98% 321 of 328
Up 1–0, closes it88% 423 of 483
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJendrzejewski1wins
AwayKolodziej9wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKolodziej leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJendrzejewskin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKolodziej100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jendrzejewski2Kolodziej8n = 10Kolodziej took 8 of 10
S2Jendrzejewski1Kolodziej9n = 10Kolodziej took 9 of 10
S3Jendrzejewski3Kolodziej7n = 10Kolodziej took 7 of 10
S4Jendrzejewski2Kolodziej3n = 5Kolodziej took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricJendrzejewskiKolodziejJ − KBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match26.838.3−11.5per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJendrzejewskiKolodziejBasisWin rate · lifetime342 / 697 vs 1330 / 197149.1%67.5%342 / 697 vs 1330 / 1971Avg sets wonper match2.02.4per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolodziejJendrzejewski 2.63/Kolodziej 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.9%
Kolodziej · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kolodziej won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 30 · 18:05P. Jendrzejewski—381291K. Kolodziej—111110113
LJul 23 · 15:00P. Jendrzejewski—98111152K. Kolodziej—111196113
LJul 2 · 16:40P. Jendrzejewski—8360K. Kolodziej—1111113
LJul 2 · 16:05P. Jendrzejewski—8360K. Kolodziej—1111113
LJun 17 · 19:15P. Jendrzejewski—8370K. Kolodziej—1111113
WJun 17 · 24:20P. Jendrzejewski—12124113K. Kolodziej—10101191
LJun 16 · 22:05P. Jendrzejewski—9640K. Kolodziej—1111113
LJun 16 · 16:55P. Jendrzejewski—152281K. Kolodziej—131111113
LJun 15 · 15:25P. Jendrzejewski—88100K. Kolodziej—1111123
LJun 12 · 19:45P. Jendrzejewski—5111121K. Kolodziej—11135113
P. Jendrzejewski10
WSep 6 · 24:35P. Jendrzejewski2.001111123F. Mlynarski1.7396100LSep 5 · 23:45D. Jadam1.911111113P. Jendrzejewski1.805980WSep 5 · 22:35P. Jendrzejewski1.731111113T. Filbrandt2.008980WSep 5 · 21:50A. Wos2.759870P. Jendrzejewski1.401111113WSep 5 · 19:40J. Kuzmicz1.731013691P. Jendrzejewski2.00121111113LSep 5 · 18:50T. Filbrandt1.83121177123P. Jendrzejewski1.831071111102LSep 5 · 18:05P. Jendrzejewski1.4091361152A. Wos2.751111116113LSep 5 · 16:30P. Jendrzejewski1.739850D. Jadam2.001111113WSep 5 · 15:45F. Mlynarski1.8391060P. Jendrzejewski1.831112113LSep 5 · 24:20M. Rutkowski1.801413113P. Jendrzejewski1.91121150
K. Kolodziej10
LSep 4 · 21:00A. Daniel2.10581211113K. Kolodziej1.67111110592WSep 4 · 19:15K. Kolodziej1.361311113M. Rutkowski3.0011610WSep 4 · 17:40K. Kolodziej1.1451111113M. Kolek5.00113921WSep 4 · 16:55T. Filbrandt2.63116110K. Kolodziej1.441311133WSep 4 · 15:45A. Grela1.61116100K. Kolodziej2.201311123WSep 4 · 14:35K. Kolodziej2.751181011113A. Dosz1.4061112752WSep 4 · 13:20M. Jadczyk1.44591191K. Kolodziej2.6311118113LSep 4 · 12:05D. Michna1.671111113K. Kolodziej2.109480WSep 4 · 10:25A. Wiecek1.331171121K. Kolodziej3.2513119113WSep 3 · 14:10A. Wiecek1.339980K. Kolodziej3.251111113
Upcoming Matches
P. Jendrzejewski
Nothing scheduled
K. Kolodziej1 of 6 neutral
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