TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13078177
Played Sep 5Finished
Dawid Jadam
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115119118––––
Patryk Jendrzejewski
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:08 and never touched — 57.4% is still 57.4%
Graded at full timePatryk Jendrzejewski to win
57.4%
57.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDawid Jadam above · Patryk Jendrzejewski below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 55 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Patryk Jendrzejewski at 57.4%
55 points played in total.
H2H Dawid Jadam 10–10 Patryk Jendrzejewski Dead even across their 20 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:08What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Jendrzejewski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-10 in 20
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jadam 1643 vs Jendrzejewski 1634
Jadam
Correct
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jadam 20% vs Jendrzejewski 60%
Jendrzejewski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jadam 40% vs Jendrzejewski 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jadam -3 · Jendrzejewski +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jendrzejewski) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jadam form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJadam 1.91 / Jendrzejewski 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Jendrzejewski)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13078177
Jadam1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 79 of 192
Down 0–1, comes back22% 22 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 53
Jendrzejewski1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 154 of 271
Up 2–0, closes it96% 68 of 71
Up 1–0, closes it80% 116 of 145
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJadam6wins
AwayJendrzejewski4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderJadam leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJadam83.3%5 of 6
AwayJendrzejewski75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jadam6Jendrzejewski4n = 10Jadam took 6 of 10
S2Jadam7Jendrzejewski3n = 10Jadam took 7 of 10
S3Jadam4Jendrzejewski6n = 10Jendrzejewski took 6 of 10
S4Jadam5Jendrzejewski2n = 7Jadam took 5 of 7
S5Jadam1Jendrzejewski2n = 3Jendrzejewski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJadamJendrzejewskiJadam − JendrzejewskiBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.337.2+1.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJadamJendrzejewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime148 / 305 vs 349 / 71048.5%49.2%148 / 305 vs 349 / 710Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JendrzejewskiJadam 1.91/Jendrzejewski 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Jendrzejewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Jadam won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 16:30D. Jadam—1111113P. Jendrzejewski—9850
WAug 17 · 24:35D. Jadam—11611113P. Jendrzejewski—311681
LAug 16 · 15:45D. Jadam—612541P. Jendrzejewski—111011113
LAug 15 · 22:55D. Jadam—118121182P. Jendrzejewski—511147113
WAug 15 · 19:15D. Jadam—12129113P. Jendrzejewski—10101191
WJul 4 · 01:30D. Jadam—1212113P. Jendrzejewski—101010
LJul 3 · 23:15D. Jadam—6770P. Jendrzejewski—1111113
WJul 3 · 18:05D. Jadam—131167123P. Jendrzejewski—1181111102
WJul 3 · 24:45D. Jadam—71111133P. Jendrzejewski—1189111
LJul 2 · 22:30D. Jadam—81181162P. Jendrzejewski—116118113
D. Jadam10
WSep 7 · 24:10K. Kapik2.251261081D. Jadam1.57101112113WSep 6 · 23:45D. Jadam1.5011113113A. Wos2.50711161WSep 6 · 22:55D. Jadam1.67115811113L. Pietraszko2.1091111792WSep 6 · 21:00D. Jadam1.911311118113F. Mlynarski1.8015941172WSep 6 · 19:40D. Jadam1.61178912113J. Zochniak2.201511111092LSep 6 · 18:30D. Jadam1.67105120L. Pietraszko2.101211143LSep 6 · 17:20D. Jadam2.3881141172J. Kuzmicz1.53117118113LSep 6 · 16:05F. Mlynarski1.4411812113D. Jadam2.638111011LSep 6 · 15:25D. Jadam1.6766100K. Kapik2.101111113LSep 6 · 24:10A. Wos2.5011116113D. Jadam1.50851191
P. Jendrzejewski10
WSep 6 · 24:35P. Jendrzejewski2.001111123F. Mlynarski1.7396100WSep 5 · 22:35P. Jendrzejewski1.731111113T. Filbrandt2.008980WSep 5 · 21:50A. Wos2.759870P. Jendrzejewski1.401111113WSep 5 · 19:40J. Kuzmicz1.731013691P. Jendrzejewski2.00121111113LSep 5 · 18:50T. Filbrandt1.83121177123P. Jendrzejewski1.831071111102LSep 5 · 18:05P. Jendrzejewski1.4091361152A. Wos2.751111116113LSep 5 · 16:30P. Jendrzejewski1.739850D. Jadam2.001111113WSep 5 · 15:45F. Mlynarski1.8391060P. Jendrzejewski1.831112113LSep 5 · 24:20M. Rutkowski1.801413113P. Jendrzejewski1.91121150LSep 4 · 23:35J. Kuzmicz1.679111211113P. Jendrzejewski2.10118101382
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