TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13083198
Played Sep 6Finished
Filip Mlynarski
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1188111210111––
Dawid Jadam
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:22 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeFilip Mlynarski to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Mlynarski above · Dawid Jadam below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-1
Point 72 set 4, 11-1 — our read held Filip Mlynarski at 56.9%
72 points played in total.
H2H Filip Mlynarski 4–2 Dawid Jadam Dawid Jadam has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:22What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Mlynarski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Mlynarski
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mlynarski 1719 vs Jadam 1647
Mlynarski
Correct
both rated, 72 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mlynarski 40% vs Jadam 20%
Mlynarski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mlynarski 60% vs Jadam 40%
Mlynarski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mlynarski -2 · Jadam -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Mlynarski) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jadam form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMlynarski 1.44 / Jadam 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Mlynarski)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13083198
Mlynarski1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 139 of 213
Up 2–0, closes it96% 73 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it81% 100 of 123
Jadam2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 82 of 198
Down 0–1, comes back21% 22 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeMlynarski4wins
AwayJadam2wins
2 of 6 to a deciderMlynarski leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMlynarski75%3 of 4
AwayJadamn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mlynarski4Jadam2n = 6Mlynarski took 4 of 6
S2Mlynarski4Jadam2n = 6Mlynarski took 4 of 6
S3Mlynarski4Jadam2n = 6Mlynarski took 4 of 6
S4Mlynarski4Jadam0n = 4Mlynarski took 4 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricMlynarskiJadamM − JBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match42.034.5+7.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMlynarskiJadamBasisWin rate · lifetime162 / 286 vs 149 / 30856.6%48.4%162 / 286 vs 149 / 308Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MlynarskiMlynarski 1.44/Jadam 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Mlynarski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Mlynarski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 5 · 22:55F. Mlynarski—1611113D. Jadam—14630
WSep 5 · 20:05F. Mlynarski—1111113D. Jadam—4860
LAug 16 · 22:35F. Mlynarski—116121282D. Jadam—9111410113
WAug 16 · 18:50F. Mlynarski—13911113D. Jadam—1111951
LAug 15 · 23:45F. Mlynarski—91191172D. Jadam—113119113
WAug 15 · 20:05F. Mlynarski—81111113D. Jadam—117391
F. Mlynarski10
WSep 6 · 23:20K. Kapik1.9161151172F. Mlynarski1.80119115113LSep 6 · 22:35A. Wos3.25125117113F. Mlynarski1.33101181162LSep 6 · 22:10F. Mlynarski1.501156101L. Pietraszko2.5071111123LSep 6 · 21:00D. Jadam1.911311118113F. Mlynarski1.8015941172LSep 6 · 20:30F. Mlynarski1.8311811382K. Kapik1.83811811113LSep 6 · 18:50F. Mlynarski1.40810111192J. Zochniak2.75111254113LSep 6 · 17:40F. Mlynarski1.4491311962L. Pietraszko2.631111511113LSep 6 · 15:00F. Mlynarski2.38131171172J. Kuzmicz1.53158114113LSep 6 · 24:35P. Jendrzejewski2.001111123F. Mlynarski1.7396100WSep 5 · 22:55D. Jadam1.7314630F. Mlynarski2.001611113
D. Jadam10
WSep 7 · 24:10K. Kapik2.251261081D. Jadam1.57101112113WSep 6 · 23:45D. Jadam1.5011113113A. Wos2.50711161WSep 6 · 22:55D. Jadam1.67115811113L. Pietraszko2.1091111792WSep 6 · 21:00D. Jadam1.911311118113F. Mlynarski1.8015941172WSep 6 · 19:40D. Jadam1.61178912113J. Zochniak2.201511111092LSep 6 · 18:30D. Jadam1.67105120L. Pietraszko2.101211143LSep 6 · 17:20D. Jadam2.3881141172J. Kuzmicz1.53117118113LSep 6 · 15:25D. Jadam1.6766100K. Kapik2.101111113LSep 6 · 24:10A. Wos2.5011116113D. Jadam1.50851191LSep 5 · 22:55D. Jadam1.7314630F. Mlynarski2.001611113
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