Alan Wos vs Filip Mlynarski 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesMatch #13083279

Played Sep 6Finished

Alan Wos

Home

3.25

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 3

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

1210511118711116

Filip Mlynarski

Away

1.33

At publish

Lost last 5

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 5

The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:30 and never touched — 67.2% is still 67.2%

Graded at full time

Filip Mlynarski to win

67.2%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

no pick shipped

How it is goingAlan Wos above · Filip Mlynarski below

Set 1 · 12-10

Set 2 · 5-11

Set 3 · 11-8

Set 4 · 7-11

Set 5 · 11-6

Point 92 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Filip Mlynarski at 67.2%

92 points played in total.

H2H Alan Wos 5–14 Filip Mlynarski Alan Wos has won 5 of their 19 meetings.

Last 10 · 4–6Same sideHead to head

The pickNo pick published

Sealed 15:30

What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.33 (71%)

Mlynarski

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

5-14 in 19

Mlynarski

Wrong

gap of 9 in 19, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Wos 1535 vs Mlynarski 1641

Mlynarski

Wrong

both rated, 106 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Wos 40% vs Mlynarski 0%

Wos

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Wos 40% vs Mlynarski 20%

Wos

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Wos -3 · Mlynarski -5

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Mlynarski) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Mlynarski form (0%) is below what odds imply (75%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsWos 3.25 / Mlynarski 1.33

Signal prob.25% / 75%

Edge (Mlynarski)+4.4pp

TT Elite Series · #13083279

Wos3.25

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog31% won 95 of 303

Down 0–1, comes back17% 31 of 179

Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 98

Mlynarski1.33

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 5

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite65% won 139 of 213

Up 2–0, closes it96% 73 of 76

Up 1–0, closes it81% 100 of 123

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeWos4wins

AwayMlynarski6wins

2 of 10 to a deciderMlynarski leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeWos40%2 of 5

AwayMlynarski60%3 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Wos5Mlynarski5n = 10split evenly

S2Wos3Mlynarski7n = 10Mlynarski took 7 of 10

S3Wos4Mlynarski6n = 10Mlynarski took 6 of 10

S4Wos3Mlynarski6n = 9Mlynarski took 6 of 9

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away550%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricWosMlynarskiW − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.439.6−5.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricWosMlynarskiBasisWin rate · lifetime265 / 687 vs 163 / 29338.6%55.6%265 / 687 vs 163 / 293Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.238.7per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Mlynarski

Wos 3.25/Mlynarski 1.33

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

75.3%

Mlynarski · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Wos won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WSep 6 · 22:35A. Wos—125117113F. Mlynarski—101181162

LSep 5 · 21:25A. Wos—771161F. Mlynarski—11119113

LSep 5 · 16:55A. Wos—1011621F. Mlynarski—12711113

WAug 30 · 15:00A. Wos—119911113F. Mlynarski—91111962

LAug 29 · 18:30A. Wos—51050F. Mlynarski—1112113

LAug 22 · 18:30A. Wos—118831F. Mlynarski—71111113

WAug 16 · 16:05A. Wos—51111113F. Mlynarski—116371

LAug 15 · 18:30A. Wos—118461F. Mlynarski—61111113

WJul 26 · 17:40A. Wos—31211123F. Mlynarski—11109101

LJul 25 · 15:45A. Wos—115791F. Mlynarski—81111113

A. Wos10

LSep 7 · 24:35A. Wos2.201121111102L. Pietraszko1.61811613123 LSep 6 · 23:45D. Jadam1.5011113113A. Wos2.50711161 LSep 6 · 21:50K. Kapik1.441111113A. Wos2.638640 LSep 6 · 20:05A. Wos1.63115111082A. Lilien2.10911712113 LSep 6 · 18:30J. Michalczyk2.50411117113A. Wos1.4611681172 WSep 6 · 17:45M. Trela2.851110121062A. Wos1.359121012113 WSep 6 · 16:55A. Wos1.361111113A. Myszewski2.805640 WSep 6 · 15:50A. Wos1.421511113113B. Sulkowski2.6017761162 WSep 6 · 24:10A. Wos2.5011116113D. Jadam1.50851191 LSep 5 · 23:20A. Wos2.38101115572T. Filbrandt1.531291311113

F. Mlynarski10

WSep 6 · 23:20K. Kapik1.9161151172F. Mlynarski1.80119115113 LSep 6 · 22:10F. Mlynarski1.501156101L. Pietraszko2.5071111123 LSep 6 · 21:00D. Jadam1.911311118113F. Mlynarski1.8015941172 LSep 6 · 20:30F. Mlynarski1.8311811382K. Kapik1.83811811113 LSep 6 · 18:50F. Mlynarski1.40810111192J. Zochniak2.75111254113 LSep 6 · 17:40F. Mlynarski1.4491311962L. Pietraszko2.631111511113 WSep 6 · 16:05F. Mlynarski1.4411812113D. Jadam2.638111011 LSep 6 · 15:00F. Mlynarski2.38131171172J. Kuzmicz1.53158114113 LSep 6 · 24:35P. Jendrzejewski2.001111123F. Mlynarski1.7396100 WSep 5 · 22:55D. Jadam1.7314630F. Mlynarski2.001611113

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