TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13083289
Played Sep 6Finished
Filip Mlynarski
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1315118711114711
Jakub Kuzmicz
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:34 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeJakub Kuzmicz to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Mlynarski above · Jakub Kuzmicz below
Set 1 · 13-15
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 5-9
Point 94 set 5, 5-9 — our read held Jakub Kuzmicz at 62.5%
94 points drawn · the score is 4 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Filip Mlynarski 2–5 Jakub Kuzmicz Filip Mlynarski has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:34What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Kuzmicz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-5 in 7
Kuzmicz
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mlynarski 1730 vs Kuzmicz 1742
Kuzmicz
Correct
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mlynarski 60% vs Kuzmicz 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mlynarski 70% vs Kuzmicz 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mlynarski -1 · Kuzmicz -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Kuzmicz) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mlynarski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMlynarski 2.38 / Kuzmicz 1.53
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Kuzmicz)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13083289
Mlynarski2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog30% won 21 of 69
Down 0–1, comes back18% 8 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 19
Kuzmicz1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 422 of 683
Up 2–0, closes it98% 173 of 177
Up 1–0, closes it82% 291 of 357
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeMlynarski2wins
AwayKuzmicz5wins
Kuzmicz leads 5–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMlynarskin = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayKuzmicz71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mlynarski0Kuzmicz7n = 7Kuzmicz took 7 of 7
S2Mlynarski2Kuzmicz5n = 7Kuzmicz took 5 of 7
S3Mlynarski2Kuzmicz5n = 7Kuzmicz took 5 of 7
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away571%
These 7 meetings
MetricMlynarskiKuzmiczM − KBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set07−7of 7Avg pointsper match27.434.3−6.9per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMlynarskiKuzmiczBasisWin rate · lifetime162 / 285 vs 655 / 113756.8%57.6%162 / 285 vs 655 / 1137Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.540.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzmiczMlynarski 2.38/Kuzmicz 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.8%
Kuzmicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kuzmicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WJul 25 · 23:15F. Mlynarski—101111113J. Kuzmicz—125751
WJul 25 · 21:00F. Mlynarski—31111153J. Kuzmicz—1197131
LJul 25 · 20:05F. Mlynarski—104120J. Kuzmicz—1211143
LJul 19 · 20:30F. Mlynarski—8770J. Kuzmicz—1111113
LJul 18 · 18:30F. Mlynarski—51050J. Kuzmicz—1112113
LJul 4 · 20:05F. Mlynarski—76100J. Kuzmicz—1111123
LJun 28 · 15:00F. Mlynarski—8460J. Kuzmicz—1111113
F. Mlynarski10
WSep 6 · 23:20K. Kapik1.9161151172F. Mlynarski1.80119115113LSep 6 · 22:35A. Wos3.25125117113F. Mlynarski1.33101181162LSep 6 · 22:10F. Mlynarski1.501156101L. Pietraszko2.5071111123LSep 6 · 21:00D. Jadam1.911311118113F. Mlynarski1.8015941172LSep 6 · 20:30F. Mlynarski1.8311811382K. Kapik1.83811811113LSep 6 · 18:50F. Mlynarski1.40810111192J. Zochniak2.75111254113LSep 6 · 17:40F. Mlynarski1.4491311962L. Pietraszko2.631111511113WSep 6 · 16:05F. Mlynarski1.4411812113D. Jadam2.638111011LSep 6 · 24:35P. Jendrzejewski2.001111123F. Mlynarski1.7396100WSep 5 · 22:55D. Jadam1.7314630F. Mlynarski2.001611113
J. Kuzmicz10
WSep 6 · 20:05L. Pietraszko3.401110961J. Kuzmicz1.3091211113WSep 6 · 19:15K. Kapik2.258911101J. Kuzmicz1.5711115123WSep 6 · 17:20D. Jadam2.3881141172J. Kuzmicz1.53117118113LSep 6 · 16:30J. Zochniak2.75139144113J. Kuzmicz1.401111121162LSep 5 · 19:40J. Kuzmicz1.731013691P. Jendrzejewski2.00121111113LSep 5 · 18:30J. Kuzmicz1.5091171172F. Mlynarski2.50118119113WSep 5 · 17:20J. Kuzmicz1.5711118113D. Jadam2.25661171WSep 5 · 16:05T. Filbrandt2.251111781J. Kuzmicz1.5791311103WSep 5 · 15:25J. Kuzmicz1.22911116113A. Wos4.0011991192WSep 5 · 01:30J. Kuzmicz1.50111188113T. Filbrandt2.5048111192
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