TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13082241
Played Sep 5Finished
Dawid Jadam
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1416611311––––
Filip Mlynarski
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:20 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDawid Jadam to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDawid Jadam above · Filip Mlynarski below
Set 1 · 14-16
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 61 set 3, 3-11 — our read held Dawid Jadam at 54.0%
61 points played in total.
H2H Dawid Jadam 2–4 Filip Mlynarski Dawid Jadam has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:20What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Jadam
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Mlynarski
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jadam 1643 vs Mlynarski 1749
Mlynarski
Correct
both rated, 106 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jadam 40% vs Mlynarski 80%
Mlynarski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jadam 40% vs Mlynarski 60%
Mlynarski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jadam -2 · Mlynarski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jadam)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mlynarski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJadam 1.73 / Mlynarski 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jadam)+0.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13082241
Jadam1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 63 of 102
Up 2–0, closes it97% 29 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it86% 42 of 49
Mlynarski2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog28% won 18 of 65
Down 0–1, comes back19% 8 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeJadam2wins
AwayMlynarski4wins
2 of 6 to a deciderMlynarski leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJadamn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayMlynarski75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jadam2Mlynarski4n = 6Mlynarski took 4 of 6
S2Jadam2Mlynarski4n = 6Mlynarski took 4 of 6
S3Jadam2Mlynarski4n = 6Mlynarski took 4 of 6
S4Jadam0Mlynarski4n = 4Mlynarski took 4 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away233%
These 6 meetings
MetricJadamMlynarskiJ − MBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match34.542.0−7.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJadamMlynarskiBasisWin rate · lifetime148 / 305 vs 162 / 28448.5%57%148 / 305 vs 162 / 284Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadamJadam 1.73/Mlynarski 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Jadam · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Mlynarski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 5 · 22:55D. Jadam—14630F. Mlynarski—1611113
LSep 5 · 20:05D. Jadam—4860F. Mlynarski—1111113
WAug 16 · 22:35D. Jadam—9111410113F. Mlynarski—116121282
LAug 16 · 18:50D. Jadam—1111951F. Mlynarski—13911113
WAug 15 · 23:45D. Jadam—113119113F. Mlynarski—91191172
LAug 15 · 20:05D. Jadam—117391F. Mlynarski—81111113
D. Jadam10
WSep 7 · 24:10K. Kapik2.251261081D. Jadam1.57101112113WSep 6 · 23:45D. Jadam1.5011113113A. Wos2.50711161WSep 6 · 22:55D. Jadam1.67115811113L. Pietraszko2.1091111792WSep 6 · 21:00D. Jadam1.911311118113F. Mlynarski1.8015941172WSep 6 · 19:40D. Jadam1.61178912113J. Zochniak2.201511111092LSep 6 · 18:30D. Jadam1.67105120L. Pietraszko2.101211143LSep 6 · 17:20D. Jadam2.3881141172J. Kuzmicz1.53117118113LSep 6 · 16:05F. Mlynarski1.4411812113D. Jadam2.638111011LSep 6 · 15:25D. Jadam1.6766100K. Kapik2.101111113LSep 6 · 24:10A. Wos2.5011116113D. Jadam1.50851191
F. Mlynarski10
WSep 6 · 23:20K. Kapik1.9161151172F. Mlynarski1.80119115113LSep 6 · 22:35A. Wos3.25125117113F. Mlynarski1.33101181162LSep 6 · 22:10F. Mlynarski1.501156101L. Pietraszko2.5071111123LSep 6 · 21:00D. Jadam1.911311118113F. Mlynarski1.8015941172LSep 6 · 20:30F. Mlynarski1.8311811382K. Kapik1.83811811113LSep 6 · 18:50F. Mlynarski1.40810111192J. Zochniak2.75111254113LSep 6 · 17:40F. Mlynarski1.4491311962L. Pietraszko2.631111511113WSep 6 · 16:05F. Mlynarski1.4411812113D. Jadam2.638111011LSep 6 · 15:00F. Mlynarski2.38131171172J. Kuzmicz1.53158114113LSep 6 · 24:35P. Jendrzejewski2.001111123F. Mlynarski1.7396100
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.