TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13083191
Played Sep 6Finished
Dawid Jadam
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
17158119111210119
Jakub Zochniak
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:21 and never touched — 57.8% is still 57.8%
Graded at full timeJakub Zochniak to win
57.8%
57.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDawid Jadam above · Jakub Zochniak below
Set 1 · 17-15
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 113 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Jakub Zochniak at 57.8%
113 points played in total.
H2H Dawid Jadam 2–2 Jakub Zochniak Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:21What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Jadam
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jadam 1593 vs Zochniak 1638
Zochniak
Wrong
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jadam 0% vs Zochniak 60%
Zochniak
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jadam 20% vs Zochniak 60%
Zochniak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jadam -5 · Zochniak +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Jadam) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zochniak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJadam 1.61 / Zochniak 2.20
Signal prob.56% / 45%
Edge (Jadam)-2.2pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13083191
Jadam1.61
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite61% won 64 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it97% 29 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it86% 42 of 49
Zochniak2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog34% won 158 of 460
Down 0–1, comes back13% 34 of 260
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 137
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeJadam2wins
AwayZochniak2wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jadam2Zochniak2n = 4split evenly
S2Jadam1Zochniak3n = 4Zochniak took 3 of 4
S3Jadam3Zochniak1n = 4Jadam took 3 of 4
S4Jadam1Zochniak2n = 3Zochniak took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricJadamZochniakJ − ZBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match40.037.8+2.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJadamZochniakBasisWin rate · lifetime149 / 311 vs 1186 / 225247.9%52.7%149 / 311 vs 1186 / 2252Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadamJadam 1.61/Zochniak 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.5%
Jadam · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Jadam won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WJun 9 · 23:50D. Jadam—1111113J. Zochniak—9490
LJun 9 · 21:30D. Jadam—8811111J. Zochniak—11116133
WJun 5 · 17:50D. Jadam—1551011133J. Zochniak—1311125112
LJun 4 · 20:10D. Jadam—1091151J. Zochniak—12112113
D. Jadam10
WSep 7 · 24:10K. Kapik2.251261081D. Jadam1.57101112113WSep 6 · 23:45D. Jadam1.5011113113A. Wos2.50711161WSep 6 · 22:55D. Jadam1.67115811113L. Pietraszko2.1091111792WSep 6 · 21:00D. Jadam1.911311118113F. Mlynarski1.8015941172LSep 6 · 18:30D. Jadam1.67105120L. Pietraszko2.101211143LSep 6 · 17:20D. Jadam2.3881141172J. Kuzmicz1.53117118113LSep 6 · 16:05F. Mlynarski1.4411812113D. Jadam2.638111011LSep 6 · 15:25D. Jadam1.6766100K. Kapik2.101111113LSep 6 · 24:10A. Wos2.5011116113D. Jadam1.50851191WSep 5 · 23:45D. Jadam1.911111113P. Jendrzejewski1.805980
J. Zochniak10
WSep 7 · 06:25J. Zochniak1.54111111113M. Minda2.25881381LSep 7 · 05:15J. Zochniak1.75991281D. Solilo1.95111110113LSep 7 · 04:00M. Sklensky1.42111111113J. Zochniak2.60471351LSep 7 · 03:20J. Zochniak2.95881141K. Wisniewski1.3311116113WSep 6 · 18:50F. Mlynarski1.40810111192J. Zochniak2.75111254113WSep 6 · 18:05J. Zochniak2.6371111123K. Kapik1.441159101WSep 6 · 16:30J. Zochniak2.75139144113J. Kuzmicz1.401111121162LSep 6 · 15:45L. Pietraszko1.73961111113J. Zochniak2.0011119562LSep 4 · 13:50J. Zochniak3.25114481G. Poliniewicz1.2761111113LSep 4 · 12:35J. Zochniak4.955980K. Wloczko1.131111113
Upcoming Matches
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J. Zochniak
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