TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13082282
Played Sep 6Finished
Lukasz Pietraszko
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911611119115116
Jakub Zochniak
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:30 and never touched — 55.6% is still 55.6%
Graded at full timeJakub Zochniak to win
55.6%
55.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLukasz Pietraszko above · Jakub Zochniak below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 90 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Jakub Zochniak at 55.6%
90 points played in total.
H2H Lukasz Pietraszko 20–17 Jakub Zochniak Jakub Zochniak has won 17 of their 37 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:30What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Pietraszko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-17 in 37
Pietraszko
Correct
gap of 3 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pietraszko 1610 vs Zochniak 1611
Zochniak
Wrong
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pietraszko 20% vs Zochniak 60%
Zochniak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pietraszko 40% vs Zochniak 60%
Zochniak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pietraszko -1 · Zochniak -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pietraszko) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pietraszko form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPietraszko 1.73 / Zochniak 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Pietraszko)+0.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13082282
Pietraszko1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 123 of 191
Up 2–0, closes it92% 58 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it80% 89 of 111
Zochniak2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 158 of 460
Down 0–1, comes back13% 34 of 260
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 137
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePietraszko8wins
AwayZochniak2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderPietraszko leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePietraszko85.7%6 of 7
AwayZochniak33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pietraszko7Zochniak3n = 10Pietraszko took 7 of 10
S2Pietraszko5Zochniak5n = 10split evenly
S3Pietraszko8Zochniak2n = 10Pietraszko took 8 of 10
S4Pietraszko3Zochniak4n = 7Zochniak took 4 of 7
S5Pietraszko4Zochniak1n = 5Pietraszko took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPietraszkoZochniakP − ZBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.238.1+4.1per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPietraszkoZochniakBasisWin rate · lifetime425 / 846 vs 1183 / 224850.2%52.6%425 / 846 vs 1183 / 2248Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PietraszkoPietraszko 1.73/Zochniak 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Pietraszko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Pietraszko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 9 · 01:25L. Pietraszko—1111113J. Zochniak—7970
WJun 8 · 22:55L. Pietraszko—11711113J. Zochniak—711781
WJun 2 · 01:00L. Pietraszko—1113113J. Zochniak—91190
LJun 1 · 22:35L. Pietraszko—12911662J. Zochniak—1011611113
WJun 1 · 20:30L. Pietraszko—1110911113J. Zochniak—71211972
WMay 25 · 23:50L. Pietraszko—912114113J. Zochniak—111051192
LMay 25 · 21:30L. Pietraszko—641291J. Zochniak—111110113
WMay 24 · 19:25L. Pietraszko—912118113J. Zochniak—111061162
WApr 6 · 18:10L. Pietraszko—1111113J. Zochniak—7660
WMar 16 · 18:20L. Pietraszko—1191011153J. Zochniak—711126132
L. Pietraszko10
WSep 7 · 24:35A. Wos2.201121111102L. Pietraszko1.61811613123LSep 6 · 22:55D. Jadam1.67115811113L. Pietraszko2.1091111792WSep 6 · 22:10F. Mlynarski1.501156101L. Pietraszko2.5071111123WSep 6 · 21:25K. Kapik1.671091181L. Pietraszko2.1012119113LSep 6 · 20:05L. Pietraszko3.401110961J. Kuzmicz1.3091211113WSep 6 · 18:30D. Jadam1.67105120L. Pietraszko2.101211143WSep 6 · 17:40F. Mlynarski1.4491311962L. Pietraszko2.631111511113WSep 6 · 16:55L. Pietraszko1.831111123K. Kapik1.8362100LSep 2 · 23:20J. Chmielowski1.67117911153L. Pietraszko2.10811116132WSep 2 · 22:35M. Rutkowski1.449111181L. Pietraszko2.6311137113
J. Zochniak10
WSep 7 · 06:25J. Zochniak1.54111111113M. Minda2.25881381LSep 7 · 05:15J. Zochniak1.75991281D. Solilo1.95111110113LSep 7 · 04:00M. Sklensky1.42111111113J. Zochniak2.60471351LSep 7 · 03:20J. Zochniak2.95881141K. Wisniewski1.3311116113LSep 6 · 19:40D. Jadam1.61178912113J. Zochniak2.201511111092WSep 6 · 18:50F. Mlynarski1.40810111192J. Zochniak2.75111254113WSep 6 · 18:05J. Zochniak2.6371111123K. Kapik1.441159101WSep 6 · 16:30J. Zochniak2.75139144113J. Kuzmicz1.401111121162LSep 4 · 13:50J. Zochniak3.25114481G. Poliniewicz1.2761111113LSep 4 · 12:35J. Zochniak4.955980K. Wloczko1.131111113
Upcoming Matches
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J. Zochniak
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