TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13082848
Played Sep 6Finished
Dawid Jadam
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6116111011––––
Krzysztof Kapik
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:41 and never touched — 67.5% is still 67.5%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Kapik to win
67.5%
67.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDawid Jadam above · Krzysztof Kapik below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 10-11
Point 55 set 3, 10-11 — our read held Krzysztof Kapik at 67.5%
55 points played in total.
H2H Dawid Jadam 4–12 Krzysztof Kapik Dawid Jadam has won 4 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:41What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Jadam
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-12 in 16
Kapik
Correct
gap of 8 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jadam 1647 vs Kapik 1701
Kapik
Correct
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jadam 20% vs Kapik 80%
Kapik
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jadam 40% vs Kapik 70%
Kapik
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jadam -1 · Kapik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jadam) · live re-read · sealed at 33% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kapik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJadam 1.67 / Kapik 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jadam)-1.8pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13082848
Jadam1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 64 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it97% 29 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it86% 42 of 49
Kapik2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog47% won 206 of 439
Down 0–1, comes back27% 62 of 231
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 96
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJadam4wins
AwayKapik6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKapik leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJadam50%2 of 4
AwayKapik66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jadam4Kapik6n = 10Kapik took 6 of 10
S2Jadam4Kapik6n = 10Kapik took 6 of 10
S3Jadam6Kapik4n = 10Jadam took 6 of 10
S4Jadam2Kapik6n = 8Kapik took 6 of 8
S5Jadam2Kapik1n = 3Jadam took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJadamKapikJ − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.040.7−3.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJadamKapikBasisWin rate · lifetime149 / 307 vs 1129 / 212448.5%53.2%149 / 307 vs 1129 / 2124Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.739.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadamJadam 1.67/Kapik 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Jadam · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kapik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 8 · 23:15D. Jadam—91111462K. Kapik—118911113
LJul 8 · 21:00D. Jadam—1051191K. Kapik—12119113
WJul 8 · 16:55D. Jadam—611114113K. Kapik—11991172
LJul 7 · 19:15D. Jadam—51311101K. Kapik—11157123
LJul 2 · 23:35D. Jadam—118931K. Kapik—91111113
WJul 2 · 21:20D. Jadam—111115113K. Kapik—1331381
LJul 1 · 23:55D. Jadam—10660K. Kapik—1211113
LJul 1 · 21:45D. Jadam—145561K. Kapik—121111113
WJun 21 · 23:15D. Jadam—1112113K. Kapik—81090
WJun 21 · 21:00D. Jadam—115911113K. Kapik—71111532
D. Jadam10
WSep 7 · 24:10K. Kapik2.251261081D. Jadam1.57101112113WSep 6 · 23:45D. Jadam1.5011113113A. Wos2.50711161WSep 6 · 22:55D. Jadam1.67115811113L. Pietraszko2.1091111792WSep 6 · 21:00D. Jadam1.911311118113F. Mlynarski1.8015941172WSep 6 · 19:40D. Jadam1.61178912113J. Zochniak2.201511111092LSep 6 · 18:30D. Jadam1.67105120L. Pietraszko2.101211143LSep 6 · 17:20D. Jadam2.3881141172J. Kuzmicz1.53117118113LSep 6 · 16:05F. Mlynarski1.4411812113D. Jadam2.638111011LSep 6 · 24:10A. Wos2.5011116113D. Jadam1.50851191WSep 5 · 23:45D. Jadam1.911111113P. Jendrzejewski1.805980
K. Kapik10
LSep 7 · 24:10K. Kapik2.251261081D. Jadam1.57101112113LSep 6 · 23:20K. Kapik1.9161151172F. Mlynarski1.80119115113WSep 6 · 21:50K. Kapik1.441111113A. Wos2.638640LSep 6 · 21:25K. Kapik1.671091181L. Pietraszko2.1012119113WSep 6 · 20:30F. Mlynarski1.8311811382K. Kapik1.83811811113LSep 6 · 19:15K. Kapik2.258911101J. Kuzmicz1.5711115123LSep 6 · 18:05J. Zochniak2.6371111123K. Kapik1.441159101LSep 6 · 16:55L. Pietraszko1.831111123K. Kapik1.8362100LSep 2 · 20:05M. Olbrycht1.83611116113K. Kapik1.8311981182WSep 2 · 19:15J. Chmielowski1.6111411882K. Kapik2.20911811113
Upcoming Matches
D. Jadam
Nothing scheduled
K. Kapik5 of 9 neutral
Sep 7 · 15:45K. Kapik—K. Glazowski——Sep 7 · 16:55K. Kapik—M. Rutkowski——Sep 7 · 17:40K. Kapik—K. Staszczyk——Sep 7 · 18:30K. Kapik—K. Strowski——Sep 7 · 20:05K. Kapik—K. Kostyk——Sep 7 · 21:25K. Kapik—M. Rutkowski——Sep 7 · 22:10K. Kapik—K. Staszczyk——Sep 7 · 22:55K. Kapik—K. Kostyk——Sep 8 · 24:35K. Kapik—B. Sulkowski——
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.