TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13078181
Played Sep 5Finished
Tomasz Filbrandt
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 7
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
12101177117111210
Patryk Jendrzejewski
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:09 and never touched — 57.3% is still 57.3%
Graded at full timePatryk Jendrzejewski to win
57.3%
57.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomasz Filbrandt above · Patryk Jendrzejewski below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 98 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Patryk Jendrzejewski at 57.3%
98 points played in total.
H2H Tomasz Filbrandt 10–11 Patryk Jendrzejewski Tomasz Filbrandt has won 10 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:09What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Jendrzejewski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-11 in 21
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Filbrandt 1590 vs Jendrzejewski 1566
Filbrandt
Correct
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Filbrandt 0% vs Jendrzejewski 20%
Jendrzejewski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Filbrandt 30% vs Jendrzejewski 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Filbrandt -5 · Jendrzejewski -2
Filbrandt
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jendrzejewski) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jendrzejewski form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFilbrandt 1.83 / Jendrzejewski 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Jendrzejewski)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13078181
Filbrandt1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Jendrzejewski1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFilbrandt6wins
AwayJendrzejewski4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderFilbrandt leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFilbrandt83.3%5 of 6
AwayJendrzejewski75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Filbrandt6Jendrzejewski4n = 10Filbrandt took 6 of 10
S2Filbrandt5Jendrzejewski5n = 10split evenly
S3Filbrandt5Jendrzejewski5n = 10split evenly
S4Filbrandt3Jendrzejewski4n = 7Jendrzejewski took 4 of 7
S5Filbrandt4Jendrzejewski2n = 6Filbrandt took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricFilbrandtJendrzejewskiF − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.039.4+1.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFilbrandtJendrzejewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime677 / 1270 vs 346 / 70553.3%49.1%677 / 1270 vs 346 / 705Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JendrzejewskiFilbrandt 1.83/Jendrzejewski 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Jendrzejewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Filbrandt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 18:50T. Filbrandt—111177123P. Jendrzejewski—881111102
LAug 6 · 17:40T. Filbrandt—11781182P. Jendrzejewski—711116113
WJul 17 · 24:20T. Filbrandt—1111113P. Jendrzejewski—8490
LJul 16 · 22:05T. Filbrandt—571111102P. Jendrzejewski—111158123
LJul 16 · 16:55T. Filbrandt—1011981P. Jendrzejewski—12511113
WApr 1 · 24:40T. Filbrandt—135911113P. Jendrzejewski—111111672
WMar 31 · 22:15T. Filbrandt—611115113P. Jendrzejewski—11841192
LMar 31 · 17:50T. Filbrandt—86110P. Jendrzejewski—1111133
WMar 18 · 02:05T. Filbrandt—1111113P. Jendrzejewski—7990
WMar 17 · 23:40T. Filbrandt—1112116113P. Jendrzejewski—61451182
T. Filbrandt10
WSep 5 · 23:20A. Wos2.38101115572T. Filbrandt1.531291311113LSep 5 · 22:35P. Jendrzejewski1.731111113T. Filbrandt2.008980WSep 5 · 22:10T. Filbrandt1.67119124113F. Mlynarski2.10411101172WSep 5 · 21:00D. Jadam2.0091490T. Filbrandt1.731116113WSep 5 · 20:30T. Filbrandt1.5711711113A. Wos2.25711691LSep 5 · 17:40T. Filbrandt1.83511761F. Mlynarski1.8311911113LSep 5 · 16:05T. Filbrandt2.251111781J. Kuzmicz1.5791311103LSep 5 · 15:00T. Filbrandt1.7361111952D. Jadam2.00113711113LSep 5 · 01:30J. Kuzmicz1.50111188113T. Filbrandt2.5048111192LSep 4 · 23:55M. Kolek2.1011911113T. Filbrandt1.67411791
P. Jendrzejewski10
WSep 6 · 24:35P. Jendrzejewski2.001111123F. Mlynarski1.7396100LSep 5 · 23:45D. Jadam1.911111113P. Jendrzejewski1.805980WSep 5 · 22:35P. Jendrzejewski1.731111113T. Filbrandt2.008980WSep 5 · 21:50A. Wos2.759870P. Jendrzejewski1.401111113WSep 5 · 19:40J. Kuzmicz1.731013691P. Jendrzejewski2.00121111113LSep 5 · 18:05P. Jendrzejewski1.4091361152A. Wos2.751111116113LSep 5 · 16:30P. Jendrzejewski1.739850D. Jadam2.001111113WSep 5 · 15:45F. Mlynarski1.8391060P. Jendrzejewski1.831112113LSep 5 · 24:20M. Rutkowski1.801413113P. Jendrzejewski1.91121150LSep 4 · 23:35J. Kuzmicz1.679111211113P. Jendrzejewski2.10118101382
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.