TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13073786
Played Sep 5Finished
Mateusz Rutkowski
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
14121311115––––
Patryk Jendrzejewski
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:28 and never touched — 62.2% is still 62.2%
Graded at full timePatryk Jendrzejewski to win
62.2%
62.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMateusz Rutkowski above · Patryk Jendrzejewski below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 66 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Patryk Jendrzejewski at 62.2%
66 points played in total.
H2H Mateusz Rutkowski 35–48 Patryk Jendrzejewski Mateusz Rutkowski has won 35 of their 83 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:28What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Rutkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
35-48 in 83
Jendrzejewski
Wrong
gap of 13 in 83, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rutkowski 1672 vs Jendrzejewski 1619
Rutkowski
Correct
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rutkowski 60% vs Jendrzejewski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rutkowski 60% vs Jendrzejewski 40%
Rutkowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rutkowski +2 · Jendrzejewski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rutkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 38% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRutkowski 1.80 / Jendrzejewski 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Rutkowski)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13073786
Rutkowski1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 381 of 552
Up 2–0, closes it96% 184 of 191
Up 1–0, closes it88% 306 of 346
Jendrzejewski1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 87 of 199
Down 0–1, comes back23% 23 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back12% 7 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRutkowski5wins
AwayJendrzejewski5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRutkowski66.7%4 of 6
AwayJendrzejewski75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rutkowski6Jendrzejewski4n = 10Rutkowski took 6 of 10
S2Rutkowski7Jendrzejewski3n = 10Rutkowski took 7 of 10
S3Rutkowski7Jendrzejewski3n = 10Rutkowski took 7 of 10
S4Rutkowski4Jendrzejewski3n = 7Rutkowski took 4 of 7
S5Rutkowski0Jendrzejewski4n = 4Jendrzejewski took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRutkowskiJendrzejewskiR − JBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.734.8+2.9per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRutkowskiJendrzejewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime767 / 1368 vs 345 / 70356.1%49.1%767 / 1368 vs 345 / 703Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RutkowskiRutkowski 1.80/Jendrzejewski 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Rutkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Rutkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 9 · 22:30M. Rutkowski—66111162P. Jendrzejewski—111183113
WJul 9 · 20:30M. Rutkowski—81111113P. Jendrzejewski—117821
WJul 3 · 20:30M. Rutkowski—1111113P. Jendrzejewski—7760
WJul 2 · 15:00M. Rutkowski—1112113P. Jendrzejewski—71060
LJun 17 · 23:55M. Rutkowski—11411552P. Jendrzejewski—311911113
LJun 17 · 21:45M. Rutkowski—11118692P. Jendrzejewski—421111113
WJun 16 · 23:35M. Rutkowski—1111113P. Jendrzejewski—8960
LJun 16 · 21:20M. Rutkowski—711591P. Jendrzejewski—11911113
WJun 16 · 19:15M. Rutkowski—11114113P. Jendrzejewski—731181
LJun 16 · 24:20M. Rutkowski—87111552P. Jendrzejewski—1111913113
M. Rutkowski10
LSep 5 · 01:10M. Rutkowski1.57812111192M. Kolek2.251110139113WSep 4 · 22:50M. Rutkowski1.731111113J. Kuzmicz2.009680WSep 4 · 22:30M. Rutkowski1.731111113T. Filbrandt2.007380LSep 4 · 21:45P. Jendrzejewski1.801111113M. Rutkowski1.919550WSep 4 · 20:30M. Rutkowski1.57101211113M. Kolek2.251210961LSep 4 · 19:15K. Kolodziej1.361311113M. Rutkowski3.0011610WSep 4 · 18:05T. Filbrandt2.101191171M. Rutkowski1.6771113113LSep 4 · 16:30A. Daniel1.501271113113M. Rutkowski2.50141141192WSep 4 · 24:35M. Kolek2.63831191M. Rutkowski1.4411116113WSep 3 · 22:55J. Glanowski3.75121050M. Rutkowski1.251412113
P. Jendrzejewski10
WSep 6 · 24:35P. Jendrzejewski2.001111123F. Mlynarski1.7396100LSep 5 · 23:45D. Jadam1.911111113P. Jendrzejewski1.805980WSep 5 · 22:35P. Jendrzejewski1.731111113T. Filbrandt2.008980WSep 5 · 21:50A. Wos2.759870P. Jendrzejewski1.401111113WSep 5 · 19:40J. Kuzmicz1.731013691P. Jendrzejewski2.00121111113LSep 5 · 18:50T. Filbrandt1.83121177123P. Jendrzejewski1.831071111102LSep 5 · 18:05P. Jendrzejewski1.4091361152A. Wos2.751111116113LSep 5 · 16:30P. Jendrzejewski1.739850D. Jadam2.001111113WSep 5 · 15:45F. Mlynarski1.8391060P. Jendrzejewski1.831112113WSep 4 · 21:45P. Jendrzejewski1.801111113M. Rutkowski1.919550
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