TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13073793
Played Sep 4Finished
Tomasz Filbrandt
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1179111113711––
Mateusz Rutkowski
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:29 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomasz Filbrandt to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomasz Filbrandt above · Mateusz Rutkowski below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 80 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Tomasz Filbrandt at 54.0%
80 points played in total.
H2H Tomasz Filbrandt 19–23 Mateusz Rutkowski Tomasz Filbrandt has won 19 of their 42 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:29What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Rutkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-23 in 42
Rutkowski
Correct
gap of 4 in 42, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Filbrandt 1602 vs Rutkowski 1610
Rutkowski
Correct
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Filbrandt 20% vs Rutkowski 40%
Rutkowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Filbrandt 40% vs Rutkowski 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Filbrandt -4 · Rutkowski -1
Filbrandt
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Rutkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rutkowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFilbrandt 2.10 / Rutkowski 1.67
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Rutkowski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13073793
Filbrandt2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog33% won 58 of 178
Down 0–1, comes back18% 20 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 53
Rutkowski1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 381 of 552
Up 2–0, closes it96% 184 of 191
Up 1–0, closes it88% 306 of 346
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFilbrandt2wins
AwayRutkowski8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderRutkowski leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFilbrandt50%2 of 4
AwayRutkowski100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Filbrandt4Rutkowski5n = 9Rutkowski took 5 of 9
S2Filbrandt4Rutkowski5n = 9Rutkowski took 5 of 9
S3Filbrandt2Rutkowski7n = 9Rutkowski took 7 of 9
S4Filbrandt3Rutkowski3n = 6split evenly
S5Filbrandt0Rutkowski3n = 3Rutkowski took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricFilbrandtRutkowskiF − RBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match37.039.9−2.9per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFilbrandtRutkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime674 / 1259 vs 762 / 136153.5%56%674 / 1259 vs 762 / 1361Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.237.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RutkowskiFilbrandt 2.10/Rutkowski 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.6%
Rutkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Rutkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LJul 5 · 15:25T. Filbrandt—5970M. Rutkowski—1111113
WApr 29 · 24:40T. Filbrandt—11312123M. Rutkowski—71110101
LApr 28 · 22:15T. Filbrandt—1111814102M. Rutkowski—841116123
LApr 21 · 23:50T. Filbrandt—711100M. Rutkowski—1113123
LApr 21 · 21:30T. Filbrandt—131111862M. Rutkowski—157711113
LApr 21 · 20:35T. Filbrandt—117811102M. Rutkowski—711119123
LApr 7 · 23:25T. Filbrandt—912561M. Rutkowski—111011113
WApr 7 · 21:05T. Filbrandt—11118113M. Rutkowski—271141
LApr 4 · 17:55T. Filbrandt—9770M. Rutkowski—1111113
T. Filbrandt10
WSep 5 · 23:20A. Wos2.38101115572T. Filbrandt1.531291311113LSep 5 · 22:35P. Jendrzejewski1.731111113T. Filbrandt2.008980WSep 5 · 22:10T. Filbrandt1.67119124113F. Mlynarski2.10411101172WSep 5 · 21:00D. Jadam2.0091490T. Filbrandt1.731116113WSep 5 · 20:30T. Filbrandt1.5711711113A. Wos2.25711691WSep 5 · 18:50T. Filbrandt1.83121177123P. Jendrzejewski1.831071111102LSep 5 · 17:40T. Filbrandt1.83511761F. Mlynarski1.8311911113LSep 5 · 16:05T. Filbrandt2.251111781J. Kuzmicz1.5791311103LSep 5 · 15:00T. Filbrandt1.7361111952D. Jadam2.00113711113LSep 5 · 01:30J. Kuzmicz1.50111188113T. Filbrandt2.5048111192
M. Rutkowski10
LSep 5 · 01:10M. Rutkowski1.57812111192M. Kolek2.251110139113WSep 5 · 24:20M. Rutkowski1.801413113P. Jendrzejewski1.91121150WSep 4 · 22:50M. Rutkowski1.731111113J. Kuzmicz2.009680WSep 4 · 22:30M. Rutkowski1.731111113T. Filbrandt2.007380LSep 4 · 21:45P. Jendrzejewski1.801111113M. Rutkowski1.919550WSep 4 · 20:30M. Rutkowski1.57101211113M. Kolek2.251210961LSep 4 · 19:15K. Kolodziej1.361311113M. Rutkowski3.0011610LSep 4 · 16:30A. Daniel1.501271113113M. Rutkowski2.50141141192WSep 4 · 24:35M. Kolek2.63831191M. Rutkowski1.4411116113WSep 3 · 22:55J. Glanowski3.75121050M. Rutkowski1.251412113
Upcoming Matches
T. Filbrandt
Nothing scheduled
M. Rutkowski
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