TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13067437
Played Sep 3Finished
Jakub Glanowski
Home
3.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
12141012511––––
Mateusz Rutkowski
Away
1.25
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:58 and never touched — 67.7% is still 67.7%
Graded at full timeMateusz Rutkowski to win
67.7%
67.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Glanowski above · Mateusz Rutkowski below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 64 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Mateusz Rutkowski at 67.7%
64 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Glanowski 0–8 Mateusz Rutkowski Jakub Glanowski has won 0 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:58What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Rutkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-8 in 8
Rutkowski
Correct
gap of 8 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Glanowski 1508 vs Rutkowski 1593
Rutkowski
Correct
both rated, 85 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Glanowski 40% vs Rutkowski 0%
Glanowski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Glanowski 50% vs Rutkowski 20%
Glanowski
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Glanowski -1 · Rutkowski -5
Rutkowski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Rutkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rutkowski form (0%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGlanowski 3.75 / Rutkowski 1.25
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Rutkowski)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13067437
Glanowski3.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 171 of 405
Down 0–1, comes back21% 42 of 203
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 110
Rutkowski1.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite69% won 381 of 552
Up 2–0, closes it96% 184 of 191
Up 1–0, closes it89% 306 of 345
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeGlanowski0wins
AwayRutkowski8wins
Rutkowski leads 8–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGlanowski0%0 of 5
AwayRutkowski100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Glanowski5Rutkowski3n = 8Glanowski took 5 of 8
S2Glanowski0Rutkowski8n = 8Rutkowski took 8 of 8
S3Glanowski0Rutkowski8n = 8Rutkowski took 8 of 8
S4Glanowski0Rutkowski5n = 5Rutkowski took 5 of 5
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away563%
0–3Straight, away338%
These 8 meetings
MetricGlanowskiRutkowskiG − RBasisWins08−8in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match27.640.1−12.5per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGlanowskiRutkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime888 / 1801 vs 760 / 135849.3%56%888 / 1801 vs 760 / 1358Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RutkowskiGlanowski 3.75/Rutkowski 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.4%
Rutkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Rutkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LJul 22 · 21:45J. Glanowski—146441M. Rutkowski—121111113
LJul 21 · 23:35J. Glanowski—1172121M. Rutkowski—51111143
LJul 21 · 21:20J. Glanowski—29110M. Rutkowski—1111133
LJul 13 · 24:20J. Glanowski—155561M. Rutkowski—131111113
LJul 12 · 22:05J. Glanowski—168741M. Rutkowski—141111113
LJul 5 · 10:55J. Glanowski—9870M. Rutkowski—1111113
LApr 21 · 01:30J. Glanowski—9880M. Rutkowski—1111113
LApr 20 · 23:00J. Glanowski—118231M. Rutkowski—81111113
J. Glanowski10
LSep 4 · 24:10J. Kuzmicz1.221111113J. Glanowski4.007890LSep 3 · 23:45J. Glanowski2.2561060M. Kolek1.571112113LSep 3 · 21:00J. Glanowski2.7511631152J. Chmielowski1.40811118113WSep 3 · 08:30G. Poliniewicz1.45891111102J. Glanowski2.50111188123WSep 3 · 07:15J. Glanowski1.861311114113K. Rudomina1.8015751182LSep 3 · 06:00J. Zochniak1.47119311173J. Glanowski2.45811114152LSep 3 · 04:50M. Minda1.9011811123J. Glanowski1.807119101LSep 3 · 03:20D. Solilo1.731111113J. Glanowski2.004880WSep 2 · 13:55J. Glanowski1.851111113S. Brud1.858890WSep 2 · 12:40J. Glanowski1.83116114133K. Rudomina1.87211311112
M. Rutkowski10
LSep 5 · 01:10M. Rutkowski1.57812111192M. Kolek2.251110139113WSep 5 · 24:20M. Rutkowski1.801413113P. Jendrzejewski1.91121150WSep 4 · 22:50M. Rutkowski1.731111113J. Kuzmicz2.009680WSep 4 · 22:30M. Rutkowski1.731111113T. Filbrandt2.007380LSep 4 · 21:45P. Jendrzejewski1.801111113M. Rutkowski1.919550WSep 4 · 20:30M. Rutkowski1.57101211113M. Kolek2.251210961LSep 4 · 19:15K. Kolodziej1.361311113M. Rutkowski3.0011610WSep 4 · 18:05T. Filbrandt2.101191171M. Rutkowski1.6771113113LSep 4 · 16:30A. Daniel1.501271113113M. Rutkowski2.50141141192WSep 4 · 24:35M. Kolek2.63831191M. Rutkowski1.4411116113
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