TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13072250
Played Sep 4Finished
Artur Daniel
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
12147111141311119
Mateusz Rutkowski
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:48 and never touched — 57.6% is still 57.6%
Graded at full timeArtur Daniel to win
57.6%
57.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingArtur Daniel above · Mateusz Rutkowski below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 7-6
Point 96 set 5, 7-6 — our read held Artur Daniel at 57.6%
96 points drawn · the score is 7 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Artur Daniel 8–5 Mateusz Rutkowski Mateusz Rutkowski has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:48What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Daniel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-5 in 13
Daniel
Correct
gap of 3 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Daniel 1774 vs Rutkowski 1617
Daniel
Correct
both rated, 157 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Daniel 60% vs Rutkowski 40%
Daniel
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Daniel 70% vs Rutkowski 40%
Daniel
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Daniel +3 · Rutkowski +2
Daniel
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Daniel) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDaniel 1.50 / Rutkowski 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Daniel)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13072250
Daniel1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 202 of 334
Up 2–0, closes it95% 104 of 110
Up 1–0, closes it77% 156 of 202
Rutkowski2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 167 of 384
Down 0–1, comes back22% 47 of 216
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDaniel6wins
AwayRutkowski4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDaniel leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDaniel100%6 of 6
AwayRutkowski100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Daniel6Rutkowski4n = 10Daniel took 6 of 10
S2Daniel5Rutkowski5n = 10split evenly
S3Daniel7Rutkowski3n = 10Daniel took 7 of 10
S4Daniel4Rutkowski2n = 6Daniel took 4 of 6
S5Daniel1Rutkowski2n = 3Rutkowski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDanielRutkowskiD − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.936.5+2.4per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDanielRutkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime778 / 1460 vs 762 / 136053.3%56%778 / 1460 vs 762 / 1360Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DanielDaniel 1.50/Rutkowski 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Daniel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Daniel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 25 · 15:45A. Daniel—1211113M. Rutkowski—10770
LJun 11 · 18:35A. Daniel—1012151342M. Rutkowski—12101315113
WApr 29 · 16:40A. Daniel—12811143M. Rutkowski—10119121
WApr 22 · 18:15A. Daniel—113911113M. Rutkowski—81111342
LApr 9 · 17:00A. Daniel—861191M. Rutkowski—11115113
WApr 2 · 16:20A. Daniel—1112113M. Rutkowski—91080
LMar 19 · 17:40A. Daniel—511411102M. Rutkowski—116118123
LMar 12 · 16:55A. Daniel—71090M. Rutkowski—1112113
WMar 1 · 17:25A. Daniel—1111113M. Rutkowski—6690
WFeb 12 · 16:05A. Daniel—12911113M. Rutkowski—1011571
A. Daniel10
WSep 4 · 21:00A. Daniel2.10581211113K. Kolodziej1.67111110592LSep 4 · 19:40A. Daniel1.3311114992T. Filbrandt3.25651111113LSep 4 · 18:30A. Daniel1.30123561M. Kolek3.40101111113WSep 4 · 17:20P. Jendrzejewski2.0071141182A. Daniel1.73119119113WSep 4 · 14:35A. Daniel3.0011611113S. Dosz1.33411681WSep 4 · 13:00A. Daniel1.3511711113G. Poliniewicz2.85611591WSep 4 · 11:45A. Daniel1.80711911113K. Wloczko1.9011911682LSep 4 · 10:05A. Daniel1.3711911982J. Zochniak2.75611911113LSep 4 · 09:00A. Daniel1.42114711112K. Wisniewski2.60311119133LSep 3 · 19:40J. Braun1.731311113A. Daniel2.0011750
M. Rutkowski10
LSep 5 · 01:10M. Rutkowski1.57812111192M. Kolek2.251110139113WSep 5 · 24:20M. Rutkowski1.801413113P. Jendrzejewski1.91121150WSep 4 · 22:50M. Rutkowski1.731111113J. Kuzmicz2.009680WSep 4 · 22:30M. Rutkowski1.731111113T. Filbrandt2.007380LSep 4 · 21:45P. Jendrzejewski1.801111113M. Rutkowski1.919550WSep 4 · 20:30M. Rutkowski1.57101211113M. Kolek2.251210961LSep 4 · 19:15K. Kolodziej1.361311113M. Rutkowski3.0011610WSep 4 · 18:05T. Filbrandt2.101191171M. Rutkowski1.6771113113WSep 4 · 24:35M. Kolek2.63831191M. Rutkowski1.4411116113WSep 3 · 22:55J. Glanowski3.75121050M. Rutkowski1.251412113
Upcoming Matches
A. Daniel
Nothing scheduled
M. Rutkowski
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