TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13072254
Played Sep 4Finished
Artur Daniel
Home
1.37
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
116911119911811
Jakub Zochniak
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:52 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Zochniak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
96 points played in total.
Set by set
116911119911811
H2H Artur Daniel 5–5 Jakub Zochniak Dead even across their 10 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:52What took a side0 for · 2 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.37 (67%)
Daniel
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-5 in 10
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Daniel 1746 vs Zochniak 1596
Daniel
Wrong
both rated, 150 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Daniel 60% vs Zochniak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Daniel 50% vs Zochniak 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Daniel -2 · Zochniak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Daniel) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zochniak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDaniel 1.37 / Zochniak 2.75
Signal prob.70% / 31%
Edge (Daniel)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13072254
Daniel1.37
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 202 of 334
Up 2–0, closes it95% 104 of 110
Up 1–0, closes it77% 156 of 202
Zochniak2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 159 of 464
Down 0–1, comes back13% 35 of 265
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 139
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDaniel5wins
AwayZochniak5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDaniel100%3 of 3
AwayZochniak71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Daniel3Zochniak7n = 10Zochniak took 7 of 10
S2Daniel7Zochniak3n = 10Daniel took 7 of 10
S3Daniel7Zochniak3n = 10Daniel took 7 of 10
S4Daniel3Zochniak4n = 7Zochniak took 4 of 7
S5Daniel1Zochniak2n = 3Zochniak took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDanielZochniakD − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.735.5+3.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDanielZochniakBasisWin rate · lifetime777 / 1461 vs 1194 / 226653.2%52.7%777 / 1461 vs 1194 / 2266Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DanielDaniel 1.37/Zochniak 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
69.5%
Daniel · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zochniak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WApr 9 · 20:10A. Daniel—11811113J. Zochniak—511691
LMar 12 · 21:10A. Daniel—11750J. Zochniak—1311113
WMar 6 · 06:00A. Daniel—911119113J. Zochniak—11841182
LJan 23 · 09:20A. Daniel—961331J. Zochniak—111111113
WDec 27 · 13:20A. Daniel—1111113J. Zochniak—8550
WNov 30 · 18:05A. Daniel—1111113J. Zochniak—4760
LNov 6 · 16:05A. Daniel—711711102J. Zochniak—117115123
WOct 23 · 17:00A. Daniel—91111113J. Zochniak—118761
LOct 15 · 16:20A. Daniel—811121092J. Zochniak—1171012113
LJun 13 · 08:20A. Daniel—811991J. Zochniak—11611113
A. Daniel10
WSep 4 · 21:00A. Daniel2.10581211113K. Kolodziej1.67111110592LSep 4 · 19:40A. Daniel1.3311114992T. Filbrandt3.25651111113LSep 4 · 18:30A. Daniel1.30123561M. Kolek3.40101111113WSep 4 · 17:20P. Jendrzejewski2.0071141182A. Daniel1.73119119113WSep 4 · 16:30A. Daniel1.501271113113M. Rutkowski2.50141141192WSep 4 · 14:35A. Daniel3.0011611113S. Dosz1.33411681WSep 4 · 13:00A. Daniel1.3511711113G. Poliniewicz2.85611591WSep 4 · 11:45A. Daniel1.80711911113K. Wloczko1.9011911682LSep 4 · 09:00A. Daniel1.42114711112K. Wisniewski2.60311119133LSep 3 · 19:40J. Braun1.731311113A. Daniel2.0011750
J. Zochniak10
WSep 7 · 06:25J. Zochniak1.54111111113M. Minda2.25881381LSep 7 · 05:15J. Zochniak1.75991281D. Solilo1.95111110113LSep 7 · 04:00M. Sklensky1.42111111113J. Zochniak2.60471351LSep 7 · 03:20J. Zochniak2.95881141K. Wisniewski1.3311116113LSep 6 · 19:40D. Jadam1.61178912113J. Zochniak2.201511111092WSep 6 · 18:50F. Mlynarski1.40810111192J. Zochniak2.75111254113WSep 6 · 18:05J. Zochniak2.6371111123K. Kapik1.441159101WSep 6 · 16:30J. Zochniak2.75139144113J. Kuzmicz1.401111121162LSep 6 · 15:45L. Pietraszko1.73961111113J. Zochniak2.0011119562LSep 4 · 13:50J. Zochniak3.25114481G. Poliniewicz1.2761111113
Upcoming Matches
A. Daniel
Nothing scheduled
J. Zochniak
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