TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13072249
Played Sep 4Finished
Patryk Jendrzejewski
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
711119411119811
Artur Daniel
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:48 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timePatryk Jendrzejewski to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPatryk Jendrzejewski above · Artur Daniel below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 92 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Patryk Jendrzejewski at 57.7%
92 points played in total.
H2H Patryk Jendrzejewski 8–7 Artur Daniel Artur Daniel has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:48What took a side0 for · 5 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Daniel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-7 in 15
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jendrzejewski 1685 vs Daniel 1781
Daniel
Correct
both rated, 96 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jendrzejewski 60% vs Daniel 80%
Daniel
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jendrzejewski 50% vs Daniel 70%
Daniel
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jendrzejewski -1 · Daniel +4
Daniel
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Daniel) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Daniel form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJendrzejewski 2.00 / Daniel 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Daniel)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13072249
Jendrzejewski2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 87 of 199
Down 0–1, comes back23% 23 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back12% 7 of 60
Daniel1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 202 of 334
Up 2–0, closes it95% 104 of 110
Up 1–0, closes it77% 156 of 202
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJendrzejewski5wins
AwayDaniel5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJendrzejewski50%2 of 4
AwayDaniel50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jendrzejewski4Daniel6n = 10Daniel took 6 of 10
S2Jendrzejewski5Daniel5n = 10split evenly
S3Jendrzejewski5Daniel5n = 10split evenly
S4Jendrzejewski5Daniel3n = 8Jendrzejewski took 5 of 8
S5Jendrzejewski1Daniel2n = 3Daniel took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricJendrzejewskiDanielJ − DBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.937.5+0.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJendrzejewskiDanielBasisWin rate · lifetime342 / 695 vs 779 / 146149.2%53.3%342 / 695 vs 779 / 1461Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DanielJendrzejewski 2.00/Daniel 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Daniel · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Daniel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 31 · 19:15P. Jendrzejewski—711911113A. Daniel—11511982
WJul 15 · 18:50P. Jendrzejewski—11811113A. Daniel—511631
LJun 11 · 17:00P. Jendrzejewski—101111832A. Daniel—125611113
LJun 10 · 16:40P. Jendrzejewski—11911752A. Daniel—911911113
WJun 3 · 19:45P. Jendrzejewski—91211113A. Daniel—1110591
WApr 16 · 15:05P. Jendrzejewski—11145113A. Daniel—8121141
LApr 9 · 15:55P. Jendrzejewski—7580A. Daniel—1111113
LMar 19 · 21:10P. Jendrzejewski—1129101A. Daniel—61111123
LMar 14 · 12:10P. Jendrzejewski—75110A. Daniel—1111133
WMar 12 · 18:50P. Jendrzejewski—91311113A. Daniel—1111821
P. Jendrzejewski10
WSep 6 · 24:35P. Jendrzejewski2.001111123F. Mlynarski1.7396100LSep 5 · 23:45D. Jadam1.911111113P. Jendrzejewski1.805980WSep 5 · 22:35P. Jendrzejewski1.731111113T. Filbrandt2.008980WSep 5 · 21:50A. Wos2.759870P. Jendrzejewski1.401111113WSep 5 · 19:40J. Kuzmicz1.731013691P. Jendrzejewski2.00121111113LSep 5 · 18:50T. Filbrandt1.83121177123P. Jendrzejewski1.831071111102LSep 5 · 18:05P. Jendrzejewski1.4091361152A. Wos2.751111116113LSep 5 · 16:30P. Jendrzejewski1.739850D. Jadam2.001111113WSep 5 · 15:45F. Mlynarski1.8391060P. Jendrzejewski1.831112113LSep 5 · 24:20M. Rutkowski1.801413113P. Jendrzejewski1.91121150
A. Daniel10
WSep 4 · 21:00A. Daniel2.10581211113K. Kolodziej1.67111110592LSep 4 · 19:40A. Daniel1.3311114992T. Filbrandt3.25651111113LSep 4 · 18:30A. Daniel1.30123561M. Kolek3.40101111113WSep 4 · 16:30A. Daniel1.501271113113M. Rutkowski2.50141141192WSep 4 · 14:35A. Daniel3.0011611113S. Dosz1.33411681WSep 4 · 13:00A. Daniel1.3511711113G. Poliniewicz2.85611591WSep 4 · 11:45A. Daniel1.80711911113K. Wloczko1.9011911682LSep 4 · 10:05A. Daniel1.3711911982J. Zochniak2.75611911113LSep 4 · 09:00A. Daniel1.42114711112K. Wisniewski2.60311119133LSep 3 · 19:40J. Braun1.731311113A. Daniel2.0011750
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