TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13078178
Played Sep 5Finished
Patryk Jendrzejewski
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118119118––––
Tomasz Filbrandt
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:08 and never touched — 57.3% is still 57.3%
Graded at full timePatryk Jendrzejewski to win
57.3%
57.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPatryk Jendrzejewski above · Tomasz Filbrandt below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 58 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Patryk Jendrzejewski at 57.3%
58 points played in total.
H2H Patryk Jendrzejewski 12–11 Tomasz Filbrandt Tomasz Filbrandt has won 11 of their 23 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:08What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Jendrzejewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-11 in 23
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jendrzejewski 1620 vs Filbrandt 1629
Filbrandt
Wrong
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jendrzejewski 40% vs Filbrandt 80%
Filbrandt
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jendrzejewski 50% vs Filbrandt 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jendrzejewski +2 · Filbrandt +4
Filbrandt
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Jendrzejewski) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Filbrandt form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJendrzejewski 1.73 / Filbrandt 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Jendrzejewski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13078178
Jendrzejewski1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 154 of 271
Up 2–0, closes it96% 68 of 71
Up 1–0, closes it80% 116 of 145
Filbrandt2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog32% won 60 of 185
Down 0–1, comes back18% 21 of 115
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJendrzejewski5wins
AwayFilbrandt5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJendrzejewski75%3 of 4
AwayFilbrandt66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jendrzejewski4Filbrandt6n = 10Filbrandt took 6 of 10
S2Jendrzejewski5Filbrandt5n = 10split evenly
S3Jendrzejewski7Filbrandt3n = 10Jendrzejewski took 7 of 10
S4Jendrzejewski5Filbrandt3n = 8Jendrzejewski took 5 of 8
S5Jendrzejewski2Filbrandt4n = 6Filbrandt took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJendrzejewskiFilbrandtJ − FBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.541.0+0.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJendrzejewskiFilbrandtBasisWin rate · lifetime349 / 710 vs 681 / 127549.2%53.4%349 / 710 vs 681 / 1275Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.939.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JendrzejewskiJendrzejewski 1.73/Filbrandt 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.5%
Jendrzejewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Jendrzejewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 18:50P. Jendrzejewski—1071111102T. Filbrandt—121177123
WSep 4 · 23:15P. Jendrzejewski—81111113T. Filbrandt—119691
LSep 4 · 18:50P. Jendrzejewski—881111102T. Filbrandt—111177123
WAug 6 · 17:40P. Jendrzejewski—711116113T. Filbrandt—11781182
LJul 17 · 24:20P. Jendrzejewski—8490T. Filbrandt—1111113
WJul 16 · 22:05P. Jendrzejewski—111158123T. Filbrandt—571111102
WJul 16 · 16:55P. Jendrzejewski—12511113T. Filbrandt—1011981
LApr 1 · 24:40P. Jendrzejewski—111111672T. Filbrandt—135911113
LMar 31 · 22:15P. Jendrzejewski—11841192T. Filbrandt—611115113
WMar 31 · 17:50P. Jendrzejewski—1111133T. Filbrandt—86110
P. Jendrzejewski10
WSep 6 · 24:35P. Jendrzejewski2.001111123F. Mlynarski1.7396100LSep 5 · 23:45D. Jadam1.911111113P. Jendrzejewski1.805980WSep 5 · 21:50A. Wos2.759870P. Jendrzejewski1.401111113WSep 5 · 19:40J. Kuzmicz1.731013691P. Jendrzejewski2.00121111113LSep 5 · 18:50T. Filbrandt1.83121177123P. Jendrzejewski1.831071111102LSep 5 · 18:05P. Jendrzejewski1.4091361152A. Wos2.751111116113LSep 5 · 16:30P. Jendrzejewski1.739850D. Jadam2.001111113WSep 5 · 15:45F. Mlynarski1.8391060P. Jendrzejewski1.831112113LSep 5 · 24:20M. Rutkowski1.801413113P. Jendrzejewski1.91121150LSep 4 · 23:35J. Kuzmicz1.679111211113P. Jendrzejewski2.10118101382
T. Filbrandt10
WSep 5 · 23:20A. Wos2.38101115572T. Filbrandt1.531291311113WSep 5 · 22:10T. Filbrandt1.67119124113F. Mlynarski2.10411101172WSep 5 · 21:00D. Jadam2.0091490T. Filbrandt1.731116113WSep 5 · 20:30T. Filbrandt1.5711711113A. Wos2.25711691WSep 5 · 18:50T. Filbrandt1.83121177123P. Jendrzejewski1.831071111102LSep 5 · 17:40T. Filbrandt1.83511761F. Mlynarski1.8311911113LSep 5 · 16:05T. Filbrandt2.251111781J. Kuzmicz1.5791311103LSep 5 · 15:00T. Filbrandt1.7361111952D. Jadam2.00113711113LSep 5 · 01:30J. Kuzmicz1.50111188113T. Filbrandt2.5048111192LSep 4 · 23:55M. Kolek2.1011911113T. Filbrandt1.67411791
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.