TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13078436
Played Sep 5Finished
Tomasz Filbrandt
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511119711611––
Filip Mlynarski
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:02 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeFilip Mlynarski to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomasz Filbrandt above · Filip Mlynarski below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 71 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Filip Mlynarski at 54.9%
71 points played in total.
H2H Tomasz Filbrandt 13–16 Filip Mlynarski Tomasz Filbrandt has won 13 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:02What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Mlynarski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-16 in 29
Mlynarski
Correct
gap of 3 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Filbrandt 1600 vs Mlynarski 1681
Mlynarski
Correct
both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Filbrandt 0% vs Mlynarski 40%
Mlynarski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Filbrandt 30% vs Mlynarski 60%
Mlynarski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Filbrandt -5 · Mlynarski +1
Filbrandt
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mlynarski) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mlynarski form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFilbrandt 1.83 / Mlynarski 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Mlynarski)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13078436
Filbrandt1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Mlynarski1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFilbrandt4wins
AwayMlynarski6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderMlynarski leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFilbrandtn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayMlynarski62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Filbrandt2Mlynarski8n = 10Mlynarski took 8 of 10
S2Filbrandt6Mlynarski4n = 10Filbrandt took 6 of 10
S3Filbrandt6Mlynarski4n = 10Filbrandt took 6 of 10
S4Filbrandt2Mlynarski7n = 9Mlynarski took 7 of 9
S5Filbrandt3Mlynarski2n = 5Filbrandt took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricFilbrandtMlynarskiF − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match38.942.5−3.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFilbrandtMlynarskiBasisWin rate · lifetime677 / 1269 vs 157 / 27853.4%56.5%677 / 1269 vs 157 / 278Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MlynarskiFilbrandt 1.83/Mlynarski 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Mlynarski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Mlynarski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 2 · 24:10T. Filbrandt—7101391F. Mlynarski—111211113
WAug 1 · 18:05T. Filbrandt—712125113F. Mlynarski—1110101192
LJul 27 · 24:45T. Filbrandt—31511192F. Mlynarski—1113911113
WJul 26 · 22:30T. Filbrandt—81112113F. Mlynarski—1141081
LJul 26 · 20:30T. Filbrandt—5970F. Mlynarski—1111113
LJul 26 · 01:10T. Filbrandt—118691F. Mlynarski—61111113
WJul 25 · 22:50T. Filbrandt—117116113F. Mlynarski—71171182
LJul 6 · 24:45T. Filbrandt—311781F. Mlynarski—11411113
LJul 5 · 22:30T. Filbrandt—51211692F. Mlynarski—1110411113
WJul 5 · 20:30T. Filbrandt—1011511123F. Mlynarski—126112102
T. Filbrandt10
WSep 5 · 23:20A. Wos2.38101115572T. Filbrandt1.531291311113LSep 5 · 22:35P. Jendrzejewski1.731111113T. Filbrandt2.008980WSep 5 · 22:10T. Filbrandt1.67119124113F. Mlynarski2.10411101172WSep 5 · 21:00D. Jadam2.0091490T. Filbrandt1.731116113WSep 5 · 20:30T. Filbrandt1.5711711113A. Wos2.25711691WSep 5 · 18:50T. Filbrandt1.83121177123P. Jendrzejewski1.831071111102LSep 5 · 16:05T. Filbrandt2.251111781J. Kuzmicz1.5791311103LSep 5 · 15:00T. Filbrandt1.7361111952D. Jadam2.00113711113LSep 5 · 01:30J. Kuzmicz1.50111188113T. Filbrandt2.5048111192LSep 4 · 23:55M. Kolek2.1011911113T. Filbrandt1.67411791
F. Mlynarski10
WSep 6 · 23:20K. Kapik1.9161151172F. Mlynarski1.80119115113LSep 6 · 22:35A. Wos3.25125117113F. Mlynarski1.33101181162LSep 6 · 22:10F. Mlynarski1.501156101L. Pietraszko2.5071111123LSep 6 · 21:00D. Jadam1.911311118113F. Mlynarski1.8015941172LSep 6 · 20:30F. Mlynarski1.8311811382K. Kapik1.83811811113LSep 6 · 18:50F. Mlynarski1.40810111192J. Zochniak2.75111254113LSep 6 · 17:40F. Mlynarski1.4491311962L. Pietraszko2.631111511113WSep 6 · 16:05F. Mlynarski1.4411812113D. Jadam2.638111011LSep 6 · 15:00F. Mlynarski2.38131171172J. Kuzmicz1.53158114113LSep 5 · 22:10T. Filbrandt1.67119124113F. Mlynarski2.10411101172
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