TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13073787
Played Sep 4Finished
Jakub Kuzmicz
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
91111812101113118
Patryk Jendrzejewski
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Kuzmicz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Kuzmicz above · Patryk Jendrzejewski below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 104 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Jakub Kuzmicz at 54.0%
104 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Kuzmicz 19–15 Patryk Jendrzejewski Patryk Jendrzejewski has won 15 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:28What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kuzmicz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-15 in 34
Kuzmicz
Correct
gap of 4 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzmicz 1800 vs Jendrzejewski 1632
Kuzmicz
Correct
both rated, 168 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmicz 60% vs Jendrzejewski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmicz 70% vs Jendrzejewski 50%
Kuzmicz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmicz -1 · Jendrzejewski +3
Jendrzejewski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kuzmicz) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jendrzejewski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmicz 1.67 / Jendrzejewski 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Kuzmicz)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13073787
Kuzmicz1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 421 of 684
Up 2–0, closes it98% 171 of 175
Up 1–0, closes it81% 290 of 357
Jendrzejewski2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 87 of 199
Down 0–1, comes back23% 23 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back12% 7 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzmicz6wins
AwayJendrzejewski4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKuzmicz leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzmicz25%1 of 4
AwayJendrzejewski16.7%1 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzmicz4Jendrzejewski6n = 10Jendrzejewski took 6 of 10
S2Kuzmicz5Jendrzejewski5n = 10split evenly
S3Kuzmicz5Jendrzejewski5n = 10split evenly
S4Kuzmicz5Jendrzejewski4n = 9Kuzmicz took 5 of 9
S5Kuzmicz4Jendrzejewski1n = 5Kuzmicz took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzmiczJendrzejewskiK − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.442.7−1.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmiczJendrzejewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime650 / 1130 vs 345 / 70257.5%49.2%650 / 1130 vs 345 / 702Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.938.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzmiczKuzmicz 1.67/Jendrzejewski 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Kuzmicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kuzmicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 23 · 21:20J. Kuzmicz—1111123P. Jendrzejewski—89100
WJul 22 · 18:50J. Kuzmicz—791211133P. Jendrzejewski—1111106112
LJul 17 · 01:10J. Kuzmicz—118891P. Jendrzejewski—91111113
WJul 16 · 22:50J. Kuzmicz—661112113P. Jendrzejewski—111191082
LJul 15 · 15:00J. Kuzmicz—114661P. Jendrzejewski—81111113
WJul 10 · 16:05J. Kuzmicz—51111123P. Jendrzejewski—1169101
WJul 9 · 18:05J. Kuzmicz—911147113P. Jendrzejewski—117121182
LJul 2 · 18:05J. Kuzmicz—611811102P. Jendrzejewski—117117123
LJun 17 · 23:15J. Kuzmicz—137961P. Jendrzejewski—111111113
WJun 17 · 21:00J. Kuzmicz—812511113P. Jendrzejewski—111011462
J. Kuzmicz10
WSep 6 · 20:05L. Pietraszko3.401110961J. Kuzmicz1.3091211113WSep 6 · 19:15K. Kapik2.258911101J. Kuzmicz1.5711115123WSep 6 · 17:20D. Jadam2.3881141172J. Kuzmicz1.53117118113LSep 6 · 16:30J. Zochniak2.75139144113J. Kuzmicz1.401111121162WSep 6 · 15:00F. Mlynarski2.38131171172J. Kuzmicz1.53158114113LSep 5 · 19:40J. Kuzmicz1.731013691P. Jendrzejewski2.00121111113LSep 5 · 18:30J. Kuzmicz1.5091171172F. Mlynarski2.50118119113WSep 5 · 17:20J. Kuzmicz1.5711118113D. Jadam2.25661171WSep 5 · 16:05T. Filbrandt2.251111781J. Kuzmicz1.5791311103WSep 5 · 15:25J. Kuzmicz1.22911116113A. Wos4.0011991192
P. Jendrzejewski10
WSep 6 · 24:35P. Jendrzejewski2.001111123F. Mlynarski1.7396100LSep 5 · 23:45D. Jadam1.911111113P. Jendrzejewski1.805980WSep 5 · 22:35P. Jendrzejewski1.731111113T. Filbrandt2.008980WSep 5 · 21:50A. Wos2.759870P. Jendrzejewski1.401111113WSep 5 · 19:40J. Kuzmicz1.731013691P. Jendrzejewski2.00121111113LSep 5 · 18:50T. Filbrandt1.83121177123P. Jendrzejewski1.831071111102LSep 5 · 18:05P. Jendrzejewski1.4091361152A. Wos2.751111116113LSep 5 · 16:30P. Jendrzejewski1.739850D. Jadam2.001111113WSep 5 · 15:45F. Mlynarski1.8391060P. Jendrzejewski1.831112113LSep 5 · 24:20M. Rutkowski1.801413113P. Jendrzejewski1.91121150
Upcoming Matches
J. Kuzmicz1 of 1 neutral
P. Jendrzejewski
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