TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13073790
Played Sep 4Finished
Patryk Jendrzejewski
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119115115––––
Mateusz Rutkowski
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:29 and never touched — 62.2% is still 62.2%
Graded at full timePatryk Jendrzejewski to win
62.2%
62.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPatryk Jendrzejewski above · Mateusz Rutkowski below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 52 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Patryk Jendrzejewski at 62.2%
52 points played in total.
H2H Patryk Jendrzejewski 48–35 Mateusz Rutkowski Mateusz Rutkowski has won 35 of their 83 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:29What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Jendrzejewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
48-35 in 83
Jendrzejewski
Correct
gap of 13 in 83, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jendrzejewski 1636 vs Rutkowski 1621
Jendrzejewski
Correct
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jendrzejewski 20% vs Rutkowski 60%
Rutkowski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jendrzejewski 40% vs Rutkowski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jendrzejewski -4 · Rutkowski +1
Jendrzejewski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jendrzejewski) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jendrzejewski form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJendrzejewski 1.80 / Rutkowski 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jendrzejewski)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13073790
Jendrzejewski1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 151 of 266
Up 2–0, closes it96% 66 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it80% 114 of 143
Rutkowski1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 167 of 384
Down 0–1, comes back22% 47 of 216
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJendrzejewski5wins
AwayRutkowski5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJendrzejewski75%3 of 4
AwayRutkowski66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jendrzejewski4Rutkowski6n = 10Rutkowski took 6 of 10
S2Jendrzejewski3Rutkowski7n = 10Rutkowski took 7 of 10
S3Jendrzejewski3Rutkowski7n = 10Rutkowski took 7 of 10
S4Jendrzejewski3Rutkowski4n = 7Rutkowski took 4 of 7
S5Jendrzejewski4Rutkowski0n = 4Jendrzejewski took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricJendrzejewskiRutkowskiJ − RBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.837.7−2.9per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJendrzejewskiRutkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime343 / 699 vs 764 / 136549.1%56%343 / 699 vs 764 / 1365Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JendrzejewskiJendrzejewski 1.80/Rutkowski 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Jendrzejewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Jendrzejewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 9 · 22:30P. Jendrzejewski—111183113M. Rutkowski—66111162
LJul 9 · 20:30P. Jendrzejewski—117821M. Rutkowski—81111113
LJul 3 · 20:30P. Jendrzejewski—7760M. Rutkowski—1111113
LJul 2 · 15:00P. Jendrzejewski—71060M. Rutkowski—1112113
WJun 17 · 23:55P. Jendrzejewski—311911113M. Rutkowski—11411552
WJun 17 · 21:45P. Jendrzejewski—421111113M. Rutkowski—11118692
LJun 16 · 23:35P. Jendrzejewski—8960M. Rutkowski—1111113
WJun 16 · 21:20P. Jendrzejewski—11911113M. Rutkowski—711591
LJun 16 · 19:15P. Jendrzejewski—731181M. Rutkowski—11114113
WJun 16 · 24:20P. Jendrzejewski—1111913113M. Rutkowski—87111552
P. Jendrzejewski10
WSep 6 · 24:35P. Jendrzejewski2.001111123F. Mlynarski1.7396100LSep 5 · 23:45D. Jadam1.911111113P. Jendrzejewski1.805980WSep 5 · 22:35P. Jendrzejewski1.731111113T. Filbrandt2.008980WSep 5 · 21:50A. Wos2.759870P. Jendrzejewski1.401111113WSep 5 · 19:40J. Kuzmicz1.731013691P. Jendrzejewski2.00121111113LSep 5 · 18:50T. Filbrandt1.83121177123P. Jendrzejewski1.831071111102LSep 5 · 18:05P. Jendrzejewski1.4091361152A. Wos2.751111116113LSep 5 · 16:30P. Jendrzejewski1.739850D. Jadam2.001111113WSep 5 · 15:45F. Mlynarski1.8391060P. Jendrzejewski1.831112113LSep 5 · 24:20M. Rutkowski1.801413113P. Jendrzejewski1.91121150
M. Rutkowski10
LSep 5 · 01:10M. Rutkowski1.57812111192M. Kolek2.251110139113WSep 5 · 24:20M. Rutkowski1.801413113P. Jendrzejewski1.91121150WSep 4 · 22:50M. Rutkowski1.731111113J. Kuzmicz2.009680WSep 4 · 22:30M. Rutkowski1.731111113T. Filbrandt2.007380WSep 4 · 20:30M. Rutkowski1.57101211113M. Kolek2.251210961LSep 4 · 19:15K. Kolodziej1.361311113M. Rutkowski3.0011610WSep 4 · 18:05T. Filbrandt2.101191171M. Rutkowski1.6771113113LSep 4 · 16:30A. Daniel1.501271113113M. Rutkowski2.50141141192WSep 4 · 24:35M. Kolek2.63831191M. Rutkowski1.4411116113WSep 3 · 22:55J. Glanowski3.75121050M. Rutkowski1.251412113
Upcoming Matches
P. Jendrzejewski
Nothing scheduled
M. Rutkowski
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