TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13070486
Played Sep 4Finished
Krystian Kolodziej
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1168111012117115
Adam Dosz
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:08 and never touched — 71.6% is still 71.6%
Graded at full timeAdam Dosz to win
71.6%
71.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingKrystian Kolodziej above · Adam Dosz below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 92 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Adam Dosz at 71.6%
92 points played in total.
H2H Krystian Kolodziej 0–2 Adam Dosz Krystian Kolodziej has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:08What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Dosz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kolodziej 1848 vs Dosz 1938
Dosz
Wrong
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolodziej 60% vs Dosz 20%
Kolodziej
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolodziej 50% vs Dosz 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolodziej +1 · Dosz -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Dosz) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dosz form (20%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolodziej 2.75 / Dosz 1.40
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Dosz)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13070486
Kolodziej2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog35% won 68 of 196
Down 0–1, comes back20% 23 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 62
Dosz1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite66% won 74 of 112
Up 2–0, closes it100% 34 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it90% 47 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKolodziej0wins
AwayDosz2wins
Dosz leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricKolodziejDoszK − DBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match26.036.0−10.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolodziejDoszBasisWin rate · lifetime1327 / 1970 vs 173 / 30067.4%57.7%1327 / 1970 vs 173 / 300Avg sets wonper match2.42.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DoszKolodziej 2.75/Dosz 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
69.1%
Dosz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kolodziej won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LOct 18 · 12:00K. Kolodziej—981161A. Dosz—11117103
LOct 18 · 09:10K. Kolodziej—6480A. Dosz—1111113
K. Kolodziej10
LSep 4 · 21:00A. Daniel2.10581211113K. Kolodziej1.67111110592WSep 4 · 20:05P. Jendrzejewski2.63471291K. Kolodziej1.44111110113WSep 4 · 19:15K. Kolodziej1.361311113M. Rutkowski3.0011610WSep 4 · 17:40K. Kolodziej1.1451111113M. Kolek5.00113921WSep 4 · 16:55T. Filbrandt2.63116110K. Kolodziej1.441311133WSep 4 · 15:45A. Grela1.61116100K. Kolodziej2.201311123WSep 4 · 13:20M. Jadczyk1.44591191K. Kolodziej2.6311118113LSep 4 · 12:05D. Michna1.671111113K. Kolodziej2.109480WSep 4 · 10:25A. Wiecek1.331171121K. Kolodziej3.2513119113WSep 3 · 14:10A. Wiecek1.339980K. Kolodziej3.251111113
A. Dosz10
WSep 4 · 15:25D. Michna2.10136121182A. Dosz1.671111149113LSep 4 · 12:30A. Wiecek1.91111459113A. Dosz1.80912111172LSep 4 · 11:40M. Jadczyk1.8311912133A. Dosz1.8381110111WSep 4 · 10:00A. Grela2.6351161162A. Dosz1.44116119113LSep 4 · 08:05A. Grela2.00811115113A. Dosz1.7311981192LSep 4 · 07:20D. Michna1.80121111113A. Dosz1.911013771LSep 4 · 05:15S. Dosz2.0081111113A. Dosz1.73118871WSep 4 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.83811871A. Dosz1.8311811113WSep 4 · 03:00A. Wiecek2.00951151A. Dosz1.7311118113WSep 3 · 14:35A. Dosz1.5711911113S. Dosz2.25811691
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