TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13070489
Played Sep 4Finished
Artur Grela
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811119118511119
Adam Dosz
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:08 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeAdam Dosz to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingArtur Grela above · Adam Dosz below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 94 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Adam Dosz at 54.1%
94 points played in total.
H2H Artur Grela 4–7 Adam Dosz Artur Grela has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:08What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Dosz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-7 in 11
Dosz
Wrong
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Grela 1968 vs Dosz 1952
Grela
Correct
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Grela 80% vs Dosz 60%
Grela
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Grela 80% vs Dosz 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Grela +2 · Dosz -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dosz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grela form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrela 2.00 / Dosz 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Dosz)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13070489
Grela2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 137 of 291
Down 0–1, comes back30% 47 of 158
Down 0–2, comes back8% 5 of 63
Dosz1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite66% won 74 of 112
Up 2–0, closes it100% 34 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it90% 47 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGrela3wins
AwayDosz7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderDosz leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGrela50%3 of 6
AwayDosz100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Grela6Dosz4n = 10Grela took 6 of 10
S2Grela3Dosz7n = 10Dosz took 7 of 10
S3Grela4Dosz6n = 10Dosz took 6 of 10
S4Grela2Dosz5n = 7Dosz took 5 of 7
S5Grela2Dosz3n = 5Dosz took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricGrelaDoszG − DBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.841.9−1.1per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrelaDoszBasisWin rate · lifetime621 / 1231 vs 172 / 29650.5%58.1%621 / 1231 vs 172 / 296Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DoszGrela 2.00/Dosz 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Dosz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Grela won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 4 · 11:10A. Grela—1181110113A. Dosz—61171272
LMay 4 · 06:40A. Grela—11591182A. Dosz—511119113
LFeb 20 · 13:00A. Grela—61116962A. Dosz—1131411113
LFeb 20 · 07:15A. Grela—5111751A. Dosz—11419113
LFeb 19 · 11:00A. Grela—11680A. Dosz—1311113
WFeb 19 · 09:50A. Grela—183149113A. Dosz—1611121182
LOct 20 · 11:10A. Grela—96130A. Dosz—1111153
WOct 20 · 06:40A. Grela—1211143A. Dosz—106120
LJan 11 · 06:05A. Grela—11891192A. Dosz—211114113
LJan 10 · 13:25A. Grela—117971A. Dosz—41111113
A. Grela10
LSep 5 · 13:45A. Grela1.8391111492S. Kolasa1.83117811113LSep 5 · 12:30A. Grela1.5314381142M. Nowalinski2.381211114113WSep 5 · 11:15A. Grela1.33811711113G. Adamiak3.2511611732WSep 5 · 10:00M. Domin3.251111471A. Grela1.3313711113WSep 5 · 09:20A. Grela1.3011712113S. Sporek3.407111071LSep 5 · 08:30A. Grela1.8081141182S. Kolasa1.91117116113LSep 5 · 06:55A. Grela1.3011611982M. Domin3.40911611113WSep 5 · 05:40A. Grela1.3081111123S. Sporek3.401167101WSep 5 · 04:10A. Grela1.3311117113G. Adamiak3.25641151WSep 5 · 03:00A. Grela1.4011511123M. Nowalinski2.759115101
A. Dosz10
WSep 4 · 15:25D. Michna2.10136121182A. Dosz1.671111149113LSep 4 · 14:35K. Kolodziej2.751181011113A. Dosz1.4061112752LSep 4 · 12:30A. Wiecek1.91111459113A. Dosz1.80912111172LSep 4 · 11:40M. Jadczyk1.8311912133A. Dosz1.8381110111WSep 4 · 10:00A. Grela2.6351161162A. Dosz1.44116119113LSep 4 · 07:20D. Michna1.80121111113A. Dosz1.911013771LSep 4 · 05:15S. Dosz2.0081111113A. Dosz1.73118871WSep 4 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.83811871A. Dosz1.8311811113WSep 4 · 03:00A. Wiecek2.00951151A. Dosz1.7311118113WSep 3 · 14:35A. Dosz1.5711911113S. Dosz2.25811691
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