TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13070487
Played Sep 4Finished
Adrian Wiecek
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911511118511––
Adam Dosz
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:08 and never touched — 59.1% is still 59.1%
Graded at full timeAdam Dosz to win
59.1%
59.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdrian Wiecek above · Adam Dosz below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 71 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Adam Dosz at 59.1%
71 points played in total.
H2H Adrian Wiecek 5–2 Adam Dosz Adam Dosz has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:08What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Dosz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Wiecek
Wrong
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wiecek 1868 vs Dosz 1968
Dosz
Correct
both rated, 100 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wiecek 20% vs Dosz 80%
Dosz
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wiecek 40% vs Dosz 70%
Dosz
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wiecek -1 · Dosz +3
Dosz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Dosz) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dosz form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWiecek 2.00 / Dosz 1.73
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Dosz)+2.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13070487
Wiecek2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 89 of 219
Down 0–1, comes back19% 21 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 51
Dosz1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 68 of 104
Up 2–0, closes it100% 30 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it89% 42 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeWiecek5wins
AwayDosz2wins
1 of 7 to a deciderWiecek leads 5–2, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWiecek100%5 of 5
AwayDoszn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wiecek5Dosz2n = 7Wiecek took 5 of 7
S2Wiecek5Dosz2n = 7Wiecek took 5 of 7
S3Wiecek1Dosz6n = 7Dosz took 6 of 7
S4Wiecek4Dosz1n = 5Wiecek took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home343%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricWiecekDoszW − DBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match38.937.4+1.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWiecekDoszBasisWin rate · lifetime780 / 1418 vs 171 / 29355%58.4%780 / 1418 vs 171 / 293Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.239.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DoszWiecek 2.00/Dosz 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.9%
Dosz · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Dosz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WMar 23 · 13:25A. Wiecek—119611113A. Dosz—51111892
WFeb 20 · 11:25A. Wiecek—11115113A. Dosz—681191
WFeb 20 · 08:00A. Wiecek—1112113A. Dosz—81070
LFeb 19 · 15:05A. Wiecek—1011571A. Dosz—12711113
WFeb 19 · 08:15A. Wiecek—111114153A. Dosz—9616131
LOct 20 · 14:50A. Wiecek—10990A. Dosz—1211113
WSep 1 · 14:50A. Wiecek—11114143A. Dosz—8911121
A. Wiecek10
LSep 4 · 15:00A. Wiecek2.38811581M. Jadczyk1.5311511113WSep 4 · 13:45A. Wiecek1.4411119113D. Michna2.63891191WSep 4 · 12:30A. Wiecek1.91111459113A. Dosz1.80912111172WSep 4 · 11:15A. Grela1.838680A. Wiecek1.831111113LSep 4 · 10:25A. Wiecek1.331171121K. Kolodziej3.2513119113LSep 4 · 08:30A. Wiecek1.539111181D. Michna2.3811713113WSep 4 · 06:55A. Wiecek1.9111511113M. Jadczyk1.80911581LSep 4 · 05:40A. Wiecek1.9111311992A. Grela1.80811811113WSep 4 · 04:10A. Wiecek1.40111011113S. Dosz2.75712591LSep 3 · 14:10A. Wiecek1.339980K. Kolodziej3.251111113
A. Dosz10
WSep 4 · 15:25D. Michna2.10136121182A. Dosz1.671111149113LSep 4 · 14:35K. Kolodziej2.751181011113A. Dosz1.4061112752LSep 4 · 12:30A. Wiecek1.91111459113A. Dosz1.80912111172LSep 4 · 11:40M. Jadczyk1.8311912133A. Dosz1.8381110111WSep 4 · 10:00A. Grela2.6351161162A. Dosz1.44116119113LSep 4 · 08:05A. Grela2.00811115113A. Dosz1.7311981192LSep 4 · 07:20D. Michna1.80121111113A. Dosz1.911013771LSep 4 · 05:15S. Dosz2.0081111113A. Dosz1.73118871WSep 4 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.83811871A. Dosz1.8311811113WSep 3 · 14:35A. Dosz1.5711911113S. Dosz2.25811691
Upcoming Matches
A. Wiecek1 of 1 neutral
A. Dosz
Nothing scheduled
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