TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13070564
Played Sep 4Finished
Adrian Wiecek
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118311118911911
Artur Grela
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdrian Wiecek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAdrian Wiecek above · Artur Grela below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 92 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Adrian Wiecek at 54.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Adrian Wiecek 77–58 Artur Grela Artur Grela has won 58 of their 135 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:28What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Grela
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
77-58 in 135
Wiecek
Wrong
gap of 19 in 135, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wiecek 1884 vs Grela 1935
Grela
Correct
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wiecek 40% vs Grela 80%
Grela
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wiecek 40% vs Grela 70%
Grela
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wiecek +1 · Grela -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Grela) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grela form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWiecek 1.91 / Grela 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Grela)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13070564
Wiecek1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 90 of 222
Down 0–1, comes back18% 21 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 53
Grela1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 160 of 243
Up 2–0, closes it95% 55 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it76% 107 of 141
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWiecek8wins
AwayGrela2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderWiecek leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWiecek75%3 of 4
AwayGrela16.7%1 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wiecek4Grela6n = 10Grela took 6 of 10
S2Wiecek7Grela3n = 10Wiecek took 7 of 10
S3Wiecek6Grela4n = 10Wiecek took 6 of 10
S4Wiecek10Grela0n = 10Wiecek took 10 of 10
S5Wiecek1Grela2n = 3Grela took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home770%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricWiecekGrelaW − GBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match44.739.0+5.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWiecekGrelaBasisWin rate · lifetime781 / 1419 vs 619 / 122955%50.4%781 / 1419 vs 619 / 1229Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.238.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrelaWiecek 1.91/Grela 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Grela · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Grela won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 17 · 13:45A. Wiecek—91316113A. Grela—11111481
WJun 17 · 08:30A. Wiecek—111111113A. Grela—137641
WJun 16 · 11:15A. Wiecek—711914113A. Grela—118111292
WJun 16 · 03:00A. Wiecek—61113123A. Grela—11611101
WJun 15 · 14:35A. Wiecek—14614113A. Grela—12111221
LJun 15 · 07:45A. Wiecek—11861172A. Grela—311115113
LJun 9 · 11:10A. Wiecek—71181192A. Grela—119117113
WJun 9 · 05:05A. Wiecek—81111113A. Grela—117871
WJun 8 · 10:00A. Wiecek—14118113A. Grela—1261191
WJun 8 · 09:10A. Wiecek—11811113A. Grela—711471
A. Wiecek10
LSep 4 · 15:00A. Wiecek2.38811581M. Jadczyk1.5311511113WSep 4 · 13:45A. Wiecek1.4411119113D. Michna2.63891191WSep 4 · 12:30A. Wiecek1.91111459113A. Dosz1.80912111172WSep 4 · 11:15A. Grela1.838680A. Wiecek1.831111113LSep 4 · 10:25A. Wiecek1.331171121K. Kolodziej3.2513119113LSep 4 · 08:30A. Wiecek1.539111181D. Michna2.3811713113WSep 4 · 06:55A. Wiecek1.9111511113M. Jadczyk1.80911581WSep 4 · 04:10A. Wiecek1.40111011113S. Dosz2.75712591LSep 4 · 03:00A. Wiecek2.00951151A. Dosz1.7311118113LSep 3 · 14:10A. Wiecek1.339980K. Kolodziej3.251111113
A. Grela10
LSep 5 · 13:45A. Grela1.8391111492S. Kolasa1.83117811113LSep 5 · 12:30A. Grela1.5314381142M. Nowalinski2.381211114113WSep 5 · 11:15A. Grela1.33811711113G. Adamiak3.2511611732WSep 5 · 10:00M. Domin3.251111471A. Grela1.3313711113WSep 5 · 09:20A. Grela1.3011712113S. Sporek3.407111071LSep 5 · 08:30A. Grela1.8081141182S. Kolasa1.91117116113LSep 5 · 06:55A. Grela1.3011611982M. Domin3.40911611113WSep 5 · 05:40A. Grela1.3081111123S. Sporek3.401167101WSep 5 · 04:10A. Grela1.3311117113G. Adamiak3.25641151LSep 4 · 11:15A. Grela1.838680A. Wiecek1.831111113
Upcoming Matches
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A. Grela
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