TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13070629
Played Sep 4Finished
Artur Grela
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811611811––––
Adrian Wiecek
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:39 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdrian Wiecek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingArtur Grela above · Adrian Wiecek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 55 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Adrian Wiecek at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Artur Grela 58–77 Adrian Wiecek Artur Grela has won 58 of their 135 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:39What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Wiecek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
58-77 in 135
Wiecek
Correct
gap of 19 in 135, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Grela 1975 vs Wiecek 1864
Grela
Wrong
both rated, 111 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Grela 60% vs Wiecek 40%
Grela
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Grela 70% vs Wiecek 30%
Grela
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Grela -1 · Wiecek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Grela) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wiecek form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrela 1.83 / Wiecek 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Grela)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13070629
Grela1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Wiecek1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGrela2wins
AwayWiecek8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderWiecek leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGrela16.7%1 of 6
AwayWiecek75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Grela6Wiecek4n = 10Grela took 6 of 10
S2Grela3Wiecek7n = 10Wiecek took 7 of 10
S3Grela4Wiecek6n = 10Wiecek took 6 of 10
S4Grela0Wiecek10n = 10Wiecek took 10 of 10
S5Grela2Wiecek1n = 3Grela took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away770%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGrelaWiecekG − WBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.044.7−5.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrelaWiecekBasisWin rate · lifetime622 / 1233 vs 782 / 142350.5%55%622 / 1233 vs 782 / 1423Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.440.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrelaGrela 1.83/Wiecek 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Grela · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Wiecek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 17 · 13:45A. Grela—11111481A. Wiecek—91316113
LJun 17 · 08:30A. Grela—137641A. Wiecek—111111113
LJun 16 · 11:15A. Grela—118111292A. Wiecek—711914113
LJun 16 · 03:00A. Grela—11611101A. Wiecek—61113123
LJun 15 · 14:35A. Grela—12111221A. Wiecek—14614113
WJun 15 · 07:45A. Grela—311115113A. Wiecek—11861172
WJun 9 · 11:10A. Grela—119117113A. Wiecek—71181192
LJun 9 · 05:05A. Grela—117871A. Wiecek—81111113
LJun 8 · 10:00A. Grela—1261191A. Wiecek—14118113
LJun 8 · 09:10A. Grela—711471A. Wiecek—11811113
A. Grela10
LSep 5 · 13:45A. Grela1.8391111492S. Kolasa1.83117811113LSep 5 · 12:30A. Grela1.5314381142M. Nowalinski2.381211114113WSep 5 · 11:15A. Grela1.33811711113G. Adamiak3.2511611732WSep 5 · 10:00M. Domin3.251111471A. Grela1.3313711113WSep 5 · 09:20A. Grela1.3011712113S. Sporek3.407111071LSep 5 · 08:30A. Grela1.8081141182S. Kolasa1.91117116113LSep 5 · 06:55A. Grela1.3011611982M. Domin3.40911611113WSep 5 · 05:40A. Grela1.3081111123S. Sporek3.401167101WSep 5 · 04:10A. Grela1.3311117113G. Adamiak3.25641151WSep 5 · 03:00A. Grela1.4011511123M. Nowalinski2.759115101
A. Wiecek10
LSep 4 · 15:00A. Wiecek2.38811581M. Jadczyk1.5311511113WSep 4 · 13:45A. Wiecek1.4411119113D. Michna2.63891191WSep 4 · 12:30A. Wiecek1.91111459113A. Dosz1.80912111172LSep 4 · 10:25A. Wiecek1.331171121K. Kolodziej3.2513119113LSep 4 · 08:30A. Wiecek1.539111181D. Michna2.3811713113WSep 4 · 06:55A. Wiecek1.9111511113M. Jadczyk1.80911581LSep 4 · 05:40A. Wiecek1.9111311992A. Grela1.80811811113WSep 4 · 04:10A. Wiecek1.40111011113S. Dosz2.75712591LSep 4 · 03:00A. Wiecek2.00951151A. Dosz1.7311118113LSep 3 · 14:10A. Wiecek1.339980K. Kolodziej3.251111113
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