TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13093652
Played Sep 8Finished
Artur Daniel
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1113811119114115
Krzysztof Kapik
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:53 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeArtur Daniel to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingArtur Daniel above · Krzysztof Kapik below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 94 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Artur Daniel at 61.7%
94 points played in total.
H2H Artur Daniel 45–22 Krzysztof Kapik Krzysztof Kapik has won 22 of their 67 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:53What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Daniel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
45-22 in 67
Daniel
Correct
gap of 23 in 67, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Daniel 1757 vs Kapik 1711
Daniel
Correct
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Daniel 40% vs Kapik 80%
Kapik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Daniel 50% vs Kapik 80%
Kapik
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Daniel -1 · Kapik +3
Kapik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Daniel) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kapik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDaniel 1.61 / Kapik 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Daniel)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13093652
Daniel1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 206 of 342
Up 2–0, closes it94% 104 of 111
Up 1–0, closes it76% 158 of 208
Kapik2.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog47% won 210 of 445
Down 0–1, comes back27% 62 of 231
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 96
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDaniel6wins
AwayKapik4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderDaniel leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDaniel83.3%5 of 6
AwayKapik75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Daniel6Kapik4n = 10Daniel took 6 of 10
S2Daniel5Kapik5n = 10split evenly
S3Daniel6Kapik4n = 10Daniel took 6 of 10
S4Daniel3Kapik5n = 8Kapik took 5 of 8
S5Daniel3Kapik2n = 5Daniel took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDanielKapikD − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.737.7+3.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDanielKapikBasisWin rate · lifetime776 / 1460 vs 1122 / 211153.2%53.2%776 / 1460 vs 1122 / 2111Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.039.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DanielDaniel 1.61/Kapik 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Daniel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Daniel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 25 · 16:55A. Daniel—1111113K. Kapik—7250
LJun 18 · 15:45A. Daniel—4121291K. Kapik—111410113
WMay 28 · 15:55A. Daniel—11118113K. Kapik—251141
WMay 21 · 15:30A. Daniel—11159113K. Kapik—7131191
WMay 14 · 18:15A. Daniel—1191112113K. Kapik—91171442
LMay 7 · 19:25A. Daniel—61111772K. Kapik—116611113
WApr 29 · 19:25A. Daniel—4101111113K. Kapik—11126952
WApr 16 · 12:45A. Daniel—116116113K. Kapik—61191122
LApr 2 · 18:35A. Daniel—111179112K. Kapik—871111133
LMar 19 · 20:25A. Daniel—2920K. Kapik—1111113
A. Daniel10
WSep 8 · 16:05K. Kostyk2.75881161A. Daniel1.4011117113LSep 8 · 14:35K. Glazowski1.86101111113A. Daniel1.80128581WSep 8 · 13:25A. Daniel1.5441111113K. Wisniewski2.22116761LSep 8 · 12:10M. Sklensky1.811211113A. Daniel1.8310970WSep 8 · 10:55J. Kuzmicz1.9011711792A. Daniel1.76911711113LSep 8 · 09:20G. Poliniewicz2.101151211113A. Daniel1.6041114842WSep 4 · 21:00A. Daniel2.10581211113K. Kolodziej1.67111110592LSep 4 · 19:40A. Daniel1.3311114992T. Filbrandt3.25651111113LSep 4 · 18:30A. Daniel1.30123561M. Kolek3.40101111113WSep 4 · 17:20P. Jendrzejewski2.0071141182A. Daniel1.73119119113
K. Kapik10
WSep 8 · 24:35B. Sulkowski3.75811781K. Kapik1.2511211113WSep 7 · 22:55K. Kostyk2.63149971K. Kapik1.44121111113WSep 7 · 22:10K. Staszczyk1.9191190K. Kapik1.801113113LSep 7 · 21:25M. Rutkowski1.73714413113K. Kapik2.001112111182WSep 7 · 20:05K. Kapik1.57811119123K. Kostyk2.25117911102WSep 7 · 18:30K. Strowski1.5781111662K. Kapik2.25118911113WSep 7 · 17:40K. Staszczyk1.8391161182K. Kapik1.83117119113WSep 7 · 16:55K. Kapik1.911112113M. Rutkowski1.8081070WSep 7 · 15:45K. Kapik2.2512511113K. Glazowski1.571011661LSep 7 · 24:10K. Kapik2.251261081D. Jadam1.57101112113
Upcoming Matches
A. Daniel4 of 10 neutral
Sep 8 · 17:20A. Daniel1.61M. Rutkowski2.20—Sep 8 · 18:30A. Daniel1.33L. Pietraszko3.25—Sep 8 · 19:40A. Daniel1.67K. Glazowski2.10—Sep 9 · 09:00A. Daniel—K. Wisniewski——Sep 9 · 10:05A. Daniel—T. Spanik——Sep 9 · 11:45A. Daniel—J. Braun——Sep 9 · 13:00A. Daniel—J. Kuzmicz——Sep 9 · 14:35A. Daniel—M. Benes——Sep 9 · 15:25A. Daniel—J. Krawczyk——Sep 9 · 16:05A. Daniel—J. Chmielowski——
K. Kapik3 of 10 neutral
Sep 8 · 18:05K. Kapik2.38K. Glazowski1.53—Sep 8 · 19:15K. Kapik2.00M. Rutkowski1.73—Sep 8 · 20:30K. Kapik1.44K. Kostyk2.63—Sep 8 · 21:25K. Kapik1.67L. Pietraszko2.10—Sep 8 · 21:50K. Kapik2.00K. Staszczyk1.73—Sep 8 · 23:20K. Kapik1.44K. Kostyk2.63—Sep 9 · 24:10K. Kapik2.00M. Rutkowski1.73—Sep 9 · 21:00K. Kapik—J. Chmielowski——Sep 9 · 22:10K. Kapik—M. Olbrycht——Sep 9 · 22:35K. Kapik—K. Staszczyk——
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.