TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13096889
Played Sep 8Finished
Artur Daniel
Home
1.54
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
411116117116––
Karol Wisniewski
Away
2.22
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeArtur Daniel to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
67 points played in total.
Set by set
411116117116––
H2H Artur Daniel 46–49 Karol Wisniewski Artur Daniel has won 46 of their 95 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:59What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.54 (59%)
Daniel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
46-49 in 95
Wisniewski
Wrong
gap of 3 in 95, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Daniel 1763 vs Wisniewski 1613
Daniel
Correct
both rated, 150 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Daniel 40% vs Wisniewski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Daniel 60% vs Wisniewski 30%
Daniel
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Daniel -1 · Wisniewski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Daniel) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Daniel form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDaniel 1.54 / Wisniewski 2.22
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Daniel)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13096889
Daniel1.54
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 206 of 342
Up 2–0, closes it94% 104 of 111
Up 1–0, closes it76% 158 of 208
Wisniewski2.22
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 239 of 619
Down 0–1, comes back19% 71 of 379
Down 0–2, comes back4% 8 of 225
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDaniel6wins
AwayWisniewski4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderDaniel leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDaniel66.7%6 of 9
AwayWisniewskin = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Daniel9Wisniewski1n = 10Daniel took 9 of 10
S2Daniel5Wisniewski5n = 10split evenly
S3Daniel2Wisniewski8n = 10Wisniewski took 8 of 10
S4Daniel6Wisniewski4n = 10Daniel took 6 of 10
S5Daniel3Wisniewski3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDanielWisniewskiD − WBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match44.041.1+2.9per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDanielWisniewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime775 / 1458 vs 1000 / 220253.2%45.4%775 / 1458 vs 1000 / 2202Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DanielDaniel 1.54/Wisniewski 2.22
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.2%
Daniel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Daniel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 09:00A. Daniel—114711112K. Wisniewski—311119133
WSep 3 · 12:10A. Daniel—111155113K. Wisniewski—58111172
WAug 26 · 13:25A. Daniel—119911153K. Wisniewski—311115132
LAug 20 · 13:00A. Daniel—1161231K. Wisniewski—91114113
WJul 31 · 14:35A. Daniel—1210118113K. Wisniewski—101241132
WJul 15 · 13:25A. Daniel—11113113K. Wisniewski—491191
WJul 2 · 05:40A. Daniel—11117123K. Wisniewski—7611101
LJul 1 · 12:10A. Daniel—111271192K. Wisniewski—914114113
LJun 24 · 12:10A. Daniel—712111062K. Wisniewski—1110512113
WJun 10 · 14:25A. Daniel—11118113K. Wisniewski—941151
A. Daniel10
WSep 9 · 16:05J. Chmielowski2.5051390A. Daniel1.501115113WSep 9 · 15:25A. Daniel1.2811711113J. Krawczyk3.50611891LSep 9 · 14:35A. Daniel2.10101231142M. Benes1.601210117113LSep 9 · 13:00A. Daniel1.83112661J. Kuzmicz1.8661111113WSep 9 · 11:45A. Daniel2.2561211123J. Braun1.5411105101LSep 9 · 10:05A. Daniel2.608870T. Spanik1.441111113WSep 9 · 09:00A. Daniel1.5311116113K. Wisniewski2.23261161WSep 8 · 19:40A. Daniel1.61116136113K. Glazowski2.20911111192LSep 8 · 18:30A. Daniel1.33851171L. Pietraszko3.2511117113LSep 8 · 17:20A. Daniel1.611198121M. Rutkowski2.2081111143
K. Wisniewski10
WSep 9 · 14:15J. Braun1.3586100K. Wisniewski2.801111123LSep 9 · 13:25M. Benes1.411115113K. Wisniewski2.6061330LSep 9 · 11:20T. Spanik1.2491111113K. Wisniewski3.45116891WSep 9 · 10:30J. Kuzmicz1.571291081K. Wisniewski2.16101112113LSep 9 · 09:00A. Daniel1.5311116113K. Wisniewski2.23261161LSep 8 · 14:15J. Kuzmicz1.571111113K. Wisniewski2.157650LSep 8 · 11:20G. Poliniewicz1.831111123K. Wisniewski1.8388100LSep 8 · 10:30M. Sklensky1.5211811113K. Wisniewski2.27511731WSep 8 · 09:00K. Glazowski1.5511713582K. Wisniewski2.205111111113WSep 7 · 14:15K. Wisniewski2.80111136113K. Wloczko1.3798111162
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