TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13101487
Played Sep 9Finished
Tibor Spanik
Home
1.24
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911116118119––
Karol Wisniewski
Away
3.45
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:39 and never touched — 71.3% is still 71.3%
Graded at full timeTibor Spanik to win
71.3%
71.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
76 points played in total.
Set by set
911116118119––
H2H Tibor Spanik 2–1 Karol Wisniewski Karol Wisniewski has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:39What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.24 (74%)
Spanik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Spanik 1872 vs Wisniewski 1608
Spanik
Correct
both rated, 265 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Spanik 40% vs Wisniewski 20%
Spanik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Spanik 50% vs Wisniewski 30%
Spanik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Spanik +1 · Wisniewski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Spanik) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Spanik form (40%) is below what odds imply (81%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSpanik 1.24 / Wisniewski 3.45
Signal prob.76% / 24%
Edge (Spanik)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13101487
Spanik1.24
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 151 of 261
Up 2–0, closes it92% 73 of 79
Up 1–0, closes it76% 108 of 143
Wisniewski3.45
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 237 of 616
Down 0–1, comes back19% 72 of 379
Down 0–2, comes back4% 8 of 225
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSpanik2wins
AwayWisniewski1wins
2 of 3 to a deciderSpanik leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Spanik1Wisniewski2n = 3Wisniewski took 2 of 3
S2Spanik2Wisniewski1n = 3Spanik took 2 of 3
S3Spanik1Wisniewski2n = 3Wisniewski took 2 of 3
S4Spanik1Wisniewski2n = 3Wisniewski took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home267%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSpanikWisniewskiS − WBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match44.339.3+5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSpanikWisniewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime235 / 421 vs 994 / 219555.8%45.3%235 / 421 vs 994 / 2195Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.836.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SpanikSpanik 1.24/Wisniewski 3.45
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.4%
Spanik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Spanik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LJun 19 · 08:05T. Spanik—891161K. Wisniewski—11119113
WMay 22 · 11:55T. Spanik—111198113K. Wisniewski—66111142
WApr 12 · 09:10T. Spanik—911711113K. Wisniewski—11511652
T. Spanik10
LSep 9 · 12:35T. Spanik1.70115281J. Braun2.0081111113WSep 9 · 10:05A. Daniel2.608870T. Spanik1.441111113LSep 9 · 09:20T. Spanik1.54116861M. Benes2.2561111113LSep 9 · 08:30A. Wiecek1.611114116113T. Spanik2.2091671162LSep 9 · 07:20T. Spanik1.7381441282K. Wloczko2.0011121110113WSep 9 · 06:05D. Michna1.731110431T. Spanik2.0071211113LSep 9 · 04:55A. Grela1.80111213113T. Spanik1.916141181LSep 9 · 03:25G. Felkel1.917141011113T. Spanik1.80111212632WSep 8 · 14:35T. Spanik1.73101111113A. Wiecek2.00129781WSep 8 · 12:55T. Spanik1.9111118143M. Olejnik1.804611121
K. Wisniewski10
WSep 9 · 10:30J. Kuzmicz1.571291081K. Wisniewski2.16101112113LSep 9 · 09:00A. Daniel1.5311116113K. Wisniewski2.23261161LSep 8 · 14:15J. Kuzmicz1.571111113K. Wisniewski2.157650LSep 8 · 13:25A. Daniel1.5441111113K. Wisniewski2.22116761LSep 8 · 11:20G. Poliniewicz1.831111123K. Wisniewski1.8388100LSep 8 · 10:30M. Sklensky1.5211811113K. Wisniewski2.27511731WSep 8 · 09:00K. Glazowski1.5511713582K. Wisniewski2.205111111113WSep 7 · 14:15K. Wisniewski2.80111136113K. Wloczko1.3798111162LSep 7 · 12:35M. Sklensky1.35711911113K. Wisniewski2.9511211432LSep 7 · 11:45K. Strowski1.471113123K. Wisniewski2.45911100
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