TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13098419
Played Sep 9Finished
Tibor Spanik
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
81114124111210811
Krzysztof Wloczko
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:00 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTibor Spanik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTibor Spanik above · Krzysztof Wloczko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 101 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Tibor Spanik at 54.0%
101 points played in total.
H2H Tibor Spanik 10–10 Krzysztof Wloczko Dead even across their 20 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:00What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Spanik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-10 in 20
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Spanik 1907 vs Wloczko 1885
Spanik
Wrong
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Spanik 60% vs Wloczko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Spanik 70% vs Wloczko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Spanik +1 · Wloczko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Spanik)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSpanik 1.73 / Wloczko 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Spanik)+0.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13098419
Spanik1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 151 of 261
Up 2–0, closes it92% 73 of 79
Up 1–0, closes it76% 108 of 143
Wloczko2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 155 of 392
Down 0–1, comes back18% 38 of 215
Down 0–2, comes back8% 10 of 131
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSpanik5wins
AwayWloczko5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSpanik71.4%5 of 7
AwayWloczko100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Spanik7Wloczko3n = 10Spanik took 7 of 10
S2Spanik5Wloczko5n = 10split evenly
S3Spanik6Wloczko4n = 10Spanik took 6 of 10
S4Spanik1Wloczko4n = 5Wloczko took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSpanikWloczkoS − WBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.034.1+0.9per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSpanikWloczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime234 / 417 vs 946 / 180856.1%52.3%234 / 417 vs 946 / 1808Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SpanikSpanik 1.73/Wloczko 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Spanik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Wloczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 11:15T. Spanik—1111113K. Wloczko—7540
WAug 31 · 03:00T. Spanik—1111113K. Wloczko—9950
LAug 7 · 12:30T. Spanik—136461K. Wloczko—111111113
WAug 7 · 03:00T. Spanik—1111123K. Wloczko—85100
WAug 6 · 03:45T. Spanik—1111128113K. Wloczko—713101132
WAug 3 · 14:15T. Spanik—1112113K. Wloczko—71040
LAug 2 · 09:00T. Spanik—10660K. Wloczko—1211113
LAug 2 · 06:30T. Spanik—125851K. Wloczko—101111113
LJul 20 · 11:15T. Spanik—85111162K. Wloczko—111189113
LJun 22 · 12:30T. Spanik—10119111K. Wloczko—12711133
T. Spanik10
WSep 9 · 06:05D. Michna1.731110431T. Spanik2.0071211113LSep 9 · 04:55A. Grela1.80111213113T. Spanik1.916141181LSep 9 · 03:25G. Felkel1.917141011113T. Spanik1.80111212632WSep 8 · 14:35T. Spanik1.73101111113A. Wiecek2.00129781WSep 8 · 12:55T. Spanik1.9111118143M. Olejnik1.804611121WSep 8 · 11:40T. Spanik1.8013116123K. Wloczko1.9111811101WSep 8 · 10:00T. Spanik2.201111113J. Kosowski1.619850WSep 8 · 09:00T. Spanik1.611113113K. Kolodziej2.2051180LSep 8 · 07:45J. Folwarski1.4411115113T. Spanik2.63571181WSep 8 · 06:55J. Kosowski1.739131191T. Spanik2.0011154113
K. Wloczko10
WSep 9 · 05:15G. Felkel1.36512111092K. Wloczko3.001110912113WSep 9 · 04:30D. Michna1.6196131172K. Wloczko2.201111119113LSep 9 · 03:00A. Wiecek1.33111178143K. Wloczko3.25971111122WSep 8 · 14:10K. Wloczko1.8071111113K. Kolodziej1.91119991LSep 8 · 12:30J. Kosowski1.361211113K. Wloczko3.0010980LSep 8 · 11:40T. Spanik1.8013116123K. Wloczko1.9111811101WSep 8 · 10:50K. Wloczko2.7511117113A. Wiecek1.40981181WSep 8 · 09:40K. Wloczko2.3871112113M. Olejnik1.531141081LSep 7 · 14:15K. Wisniewski2.80111136113K. Wloczko1.3798111162WSep 7 · 13:25K. Glazowski2.406980K. Wloczko1.501111113
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