TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13092312
Played Sep 8Finished
Krzysztof Wloczko
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119118711118––
Adrian Wiecek
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:28 and never touched — 66.7% is still 66.7%
Graded at full timeAdrian Wiecek to win
66.7%
66.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKrzysztof Wloczko above · Adrian Wiecek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 76 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Adrian Wiecek at 66.7%
76 points played in total.
H2H Krzysztof Wloczko 17–26 Adrian Wiecek Krzysztof Wloczko has won 17 of their 43 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:28What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Wiecek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-26 in 43
Wiecek
Wrong
gap of 9 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wloczko 1881 vs Wiecek 1862
Wloczko
Correct
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wloczko 60% vs Wiecek 20%
Wloczko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wloczko 70% vs Wiecek 40%
Wloczko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wloczko +1 · Wiecek -3
Wiecek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Wiecek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wiecek form (20%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWloczko 2.75 / Wiecek 1.40
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Wiecek)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13092312
Wloczko2.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 155 of 391
Down 0–1, comes back18% 37 of 211
Down 0–2, comes back8% 10 of 128
Wiecek1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 201 of 323
Up 2–0, closes it95% 82 of 86
Up 1–0, closes it80% 147 of 185
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWloczko4wins
AwayWiecek6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderWiecek leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWloczkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayWiecek75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wloczko2Wiecek8n = 10Wiecek took 8 of 10
S2Wloczko3Wiecek7n = 10Wiecek took 7 of 10
S3Wloczko4Wiecek6n = 10Wiecek took 6 of 10
S4Wloczko3Wiecek1n = 4Wloczko took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricWloczkoWiecekWloczko − WiecekBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match33.436.5−3.1per matchSweeps15−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWloczkoWiecekBasisWin rate · lifetime942 / 1801 vs 776 / 140852.3%55.1%942 / 1801 vs 776 / 1408Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.340.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WiecekWloczko 2.75/Wiecek 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.7%
Wiecek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Wloczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 16 · 08:30K. Wloczko—7619101A. Wiecek—111117123
LJun 10 · 04:00K. Wloczko—63110A. Wiecek—1111133
WJun 8 · 07:40K. Wloczko—91411113A. Wiecek—1112971
WMay 18 · 12:50K. Wloczko—116811113A. Wiecek—81111962
LApr 1 · 06:15K. Wloczko—89110A. Wiecek—1111133
WMar 11 · 05:15K. Wloczko—81111133A. Wiecek—1157111
LFeb 23 · 15:50K. Wloczko—6890A. Wiecek—1111113
WJan 7 · 15:50K. Wloczko—1111113A. Wiecek—8990
LJan 7 · 10:35K. Wloczko—8980A. Wiecek—1111113
LJan 5 · 13:45K. Wloczko—99100A. Wiecek—1111123
K. Wloczko10
LSep 9 · 08:05A. Grela1.531111133K. Wloczko2.3887110WSep 9 · 07:20T. Spanik1.7381441282K. Wloczko2.0011121110113WSep 9 · 05:15G. Felkel1.36512111092K. Wloczko3.001110912113WSep 9 · 04:30D. Michna1.6196131172K. Wloczko2.201111119113LSep 9 · 03:00A. Wiecek1.33111178143K. Wloczko3.25971111122WSep 8 · 14:10K. Wloczko1.8071111113K. Kolodziej1.91119991LSep 8 · 12:30J. Kosowski1.361211113K. Wloczko3.0010980LSep 8 · 11:40T. Spanik1.8013116123K. Wloczko1.9111811101WSep 8 · 09:40K. Wloczko2.3871112113M. Olejnik1.531141081LSep 7 · 14:15K. Wisniewski2.80111136113K. Wloczko1.3798111162
A. Wiecek10
WSep 9 · 12:30A. Wiecek1.4461111113K. Kolodziej2.63116771LSep 9 · 11:15A. Wiecek1.739117121G. Felkel2.0011711143WSep 9 · 10:00D. Michna2.10411411112A. Wiecek1.67114119133WSep 9 · 09:20A. Wiecek1.67117137133A. Grela2.104111111112WSep 9 · 08:30A. Wiecek1.611114116113T. Spanik2.2091671162WSep 9 · 06:55A. Wiecek1.6191111113D. Michna2.20118591LSep 9 · 05:40A. Wiecek1.8396121162A. Grela1.831111108113LSep 9 · 04:10A. Wiecek1.73911451G. Felkel2.0011811113WSep 9 · 03:00A. Wiecek1.33111178143K. Wloczko3.25971111122LSep 8 · 14:35T. Spanik1.73101111113A. Wiecek2.00129781
Upcoming Matches
K. Wloczko1 of 8 neutral
Sep 10 · 03:20K. Wloczko—D. Michna——Sep 10 · 04:00K. Wloczko2.38A. Grela1.53—Sep 10 · 05:30K. Wloczko3.00G. Felkel1.36—Sep 10 · 06:35K. Wloczko2.00M. Miastowski1.73—Sep 10 · 07:45K. Wloczko2.50M. Jadczyk1.50—Sep 10 · 10:00K. Wloczko2.38A. Grela1.53—Sep 10 · 12:55K. Wloczko2.50M. Jadczyk1.50—Sep 10 · 14:35K. Wloczko2.10K. Kolodziej1.67—
A. Wiecek
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