TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13092316
Played Sep 8Finished
Jakub Kosowski
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210119118––––
Krzysztof Wloczko
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:27 and never touched — 72.0% is still 72.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Kosowski to win
72.0%
72.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Kosowski above · Krzysztof Wloczko below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 61 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Jakub Kosowski at 72.0%
61 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Kosowski 20–12 Krzysztof Wloczko Krzysztof Wloczko has won 12 of their 32 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:27What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Kosowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-12 in 32
Kosowski
Correct
gap of 8 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosowski 1920 vs Wloczko 1880
Kosowski
Correct
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosowski 40% vs Wloczko 60%
Wloczko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosowski 30% vs Wloczko 70%
Wloczko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosowski -2 · Wloczko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Kosowski) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wloczko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosowski 1.36 / Wloczko 3.00
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Kosowski)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13092316
Kosowski1.36
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 295 of 447
Up 2–0, closes it95% 138 of 146
Up 1–0, closes it85% 230 of 270
Wloczko3.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 155 of 391
Down 0–1, comes back18% 37 of 211
Down 0–2, comes back8% 10 of 128
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKosowski6wins
AwayWloczko4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKosowski leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosowski57.1%4 of 7
AwayWloczkon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosowski7Wloczko2n = 9Kosowski took 7 of 9
S2Kosowski6Wloczko3n = 9Kosowski took 6 of 9
S3Kosowski3Wloczko6n = 9Wloczko took 6 of 9
S4Kosowski4Wloczko3n = 7Kosowski took 4 of 7
S5Kosowski2Wloczko3n = 5Wloczko took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosowskiWloczkoK − WBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set72+5of 9Avg pointsper match41.938.8+3.1per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosowskiWloczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime743 / 1263 vs 944 / 180558.8%52.3%743 / 1263 vs 944 / 1805Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosowskiKosowski 1.36/Wloczko 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70%
Kosowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kosowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 6 · 06:05J. Kosowski—1111113K. Wloczko—7360
WAug 2 · 10:25J. Kosowski—121211113K. Wloczko—10101341
LJul 21 · 11:15J. Kosowski—711511122K. Wloczko—117116143
LJul 21 · 03:00J. Kosowski—11116572K. Wloczko—671111113
LJul 20 · 13:20J. Kosowski—11861462K. Wloczko—9111112113
LJul 8 · 11:15J. Kosowski—117491K. Wloczko—31111113
WJul 8 · 05:40J. Kosowski—118119123K. Wloczko—611711102
WJun 10 · 08:25J. Kosowski—1212411113K. Wloczko—141011762
WJun 8 · 08:50J. Kosowski—1111133K. Wloczko—43110
J. Kosowski10
LSep 8 · 13:45J. Kosowski2.2044111282M. Olejnik1.611111410113LSep 8 · 11:15J. Kosowski1.3311711142K. Kolodziej3.25911911113LSep 8 · 10:00T. Spanik2.201111113J. Kosowski1.619850WSep 8 · 09:20J. Kosowski1.6712611133A. Wiecek2.1010118111WSep 8 · 08:30J. Kosowski2.101211143M. Olejnik1.67105120LSep 8 · 06:55J. Kosowski1.739131191T. Spanik2.0011154113LSep 8 · 05:40J. Kosowski1.677121191A. Wiecek2.1011146113LSep 8 · 04:10J. Kosowski2.3881151182J. Folwarski1.53115119113LSep 8 · 03:00J. Kosowski2.3811611642P. David1.53711711113LSep 7 · 14:35P. David1.611111143J. Kosowski2.2097120
K. Wloczko10
LSep 9 · 08:05A. Grela1.531111133K. Wloczko2.3887110WSep 9 · 07:20T. Spanik1.7381441282K. Wloczko2.0011121110113WSep 9 · 05:15G. Felkel1.36512111092K. Wloczko3.001110912113WSep 9 · 04:30D. Michna1.6196131172K. Wloczko2.201111119113LSep 9 · 03:00A. Wiecek1.33111178143K. Wloczko3.25971111122WSep 8 · 14:10K. Wloczko1.8071111113K. Kolodziej1.91119991LSep 8 · 11:40T. Spanik1.8013116123K. Wloczko1.9111811101WSep 8 · 10:50K. Wloczko2.7511117113A. Wiecek1.40981181WSep 8 · 09:40K. Wloczko2.3871112113M. Olejnik1.531141081LSep 7 · 14:15K. Wisniewski2.80111136113K. Wloczko1.3798111162
Upcoming Matches
J. Kosowski
Nothing scheduled
K. Wloczko
Sep 10 · 03:20K. Wloczko2.10D. Michna1.67—Sep 10 · 04:00K. Wloczko2.38A. Grela1.53—Sep 10 · 05:30K. Wloczko3.00G. Felkel1.36—Sep 10 · 06:35K. Wloczko2.00M. Miastowski1.73—Sep 10 · 07:45K. Wloczko2.50M. Jadczyk1.50—Sep 10 · 10:00K. Wloczko2.38A. Grela1.53—Sep 10 · 12:55K. Wloczko2.50M. Jadczyk1.50—Sep 10 · 14:35K. Wloczko2.10K. Kolodziej1.67—
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