TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13092285
Played Sep 8Finished
Jakub Kosowski
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7111214116911––
Adrian Wiecek
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:17 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Kosowski to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Kosowski above · Adrian Wiecek below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 81 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Jakub Kosowski at 57.0%
81 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Kosowski 71–69 Adrian Wiecek Adrian Wiecek has won 69 of their 140 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:17What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kosowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
71-69 in 140
Kosowski
Wrong
gap of 2 in 140, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosowski 1968 vs Wiecek 1863
Kosowski
Wrong
both rated, 105 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosowski 40% vs Wiecek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosowski 70% vs Wiecek 40%
Kosowski
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosowski -3 · Wiecek -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kosowski) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kosowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosowski 1.67 / Wiecek 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Kosowski)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13092285
Kosowski1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 295 of 447
Up 2–0, closes it95% 138 of 146
Up 1–0, closes it85% 230 of 270
Wiecek2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 88 of 217
Down 0–1, comes back18% 20 of 109
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKosowski5wins
AwayWiecek5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosowski100%5 of 5
AwayWiecek100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosowski5Wiecek5n = 10split evenly
S2Kosowski5Wiecek5n = 10split evenly
S3Kosowski4Wiecek6n = 10Wiecek took 6 of 10
S4Kosowski1Wiecek7n = 8Wiecek took 7 of 8
S5Kosowski4Wiecek0n = 4Kosowski took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosowskiWiecekK − WBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.843.3−1.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosowskiWiecekBasisWin rate · lifetime745 / 1263 vs 775 / 140459%55.2%745 / 1263 vs 775 / 1404Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.640.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosowskiKosowski 1.67/Wiecek 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59%
Kosowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Wiecek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 25 · 13:45J. Kosowski—109100A. Wiecek—1211123
LAug 25 · 08:30J. Kosowski—814791A. Wiecek—111211113
WAug 24 · 14:35J. Kosowski—1113711123A. Wiecek—815114102
WAug 24 · 06:30J. Kosowski—1113113A. Wiecek—81180
WAug 18 · 11:15J. Kosowski—1111108113A. Wiecek—99121172
LAug 18 · 04:10J. Kosowski—811781A. Wiecek—11911113
LJul 21 · 10:00J. Kosowski—681161A. Wiecek—11115113
WJul 21 · 05:40J. Kosowski—158138113A. Wiecek—1311111192
LJul 7 · 11:15J. Kosowski—1471181A. Wiecek—16116113
WJul 7 · 04:10J. Kosowski—111269133A. Wiecek—8101111112
J. Kosowski10
LSep 8 · 04:10J. Kosowski2.3881151182J. Folwarski1.53115119113LSep 8 · 03:00J. Kosowski2.3811611642P. David1.53711711113LSep 7 · 14:35P. David1.611111143J. Kosowski2.2097120WSep 7 · 12:05J. Folwarski1.5711811982J. Kosowski2.25911711113WSep 7 · 10:50K. Kolodziej3.259780J. Kosowski1.331111113WSep 7 · 09:20S. Kolasa2.1011760J. Kosowski1.671311113WSep 7 · 07:45J. Kosowski1.8181111113M. Jadczyk1.86117871WSep 7 · 06:30J. Kosowski1.831212113P. David1.83101090WSep 7 · 04:10S. Kolasa2.386270J. Kosowski1.531111113WSep 7 · 03:25J. Kosowski1.281211133G. Poliniewicz3.50107110
A. Wiecek10
LSep 8 · 04:55A. Wiecek2.109580M. Olejnik1.671111113LSep 8 · 03:45A. Wiecek2.00181174102T. Spanik1.731691111123LSep 4 · 15:00A. Wiecek2.38811581M. Jadczyk1.5311511113WSep 4 · 13:45A. Wiecek1.4411119113D. Michna2.63891191WSep 4 · 12:30A. Wiecek1.91111459113A. Dosz1.80912111172WSep 4 · 11:15A. Grela1.838680A. Wiecek1.831111113LSep 4 · 10:25A. Wiecek1.331171121K. Kolodziej3.2513119113LSep 4 · 08:30A. Wiecek1.539111181D. Michna2.3811713113WSep 4 · 06:55A. Wiecek1.9111511113M. Jadczyk1.80911581LSep 4 · 05:40A. Wiecek1.9111311992A. Grela1.80811811113
Upcoming Matches
J. Kosowski
A. Wiecek
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.